Consistent filly who has finished third or better in four of her last five starts, with experience over today's trip and going working in her favour; winless in recent starts but drawn three carrying 134 lb, and a rating of 119 makes her the one to beat.
Form last 63-3236
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
110SR119RPR110OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Shaool won five starts back and arrives with distance and going experience to call on, carrying 134 lb from stall 1, while our rating of 112 underlines her threat — the concern is that her last four runs have all produced a sixth or seventh.
Form last 61-6676
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
75SR112RPR99OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five starts, Snapretend at least showed some ability with a pair of second-place finishes in that spell, though her more recent efforts have been disappointing; she has run over today's trip and going before, and 134 lb from stall two gives her every chance off a mark of 101.
Form last 6-22648
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
77SR110RPR101OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 77 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last six starts, with unplaced efforts dominating her recent record, Spicy Margarita is hard to fancy from stall 10 carrying 134 lb, though she has run over today's distance and going before and a rating of 98 offers a sliver of encouragement.
Form last 6584870
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
64SR98RPR91OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 200/1.
Winless in her last five starts and stepping back out after 49 days, Wemightakedlongway does at least bring distance and going experience to the table, and a rating of 112 makes her a leading threat at the weights — though her recent string of mid-field efforts is the obvious worry.
Form last 6-73458
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
83SR113RPR107OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 83 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Thundering On boasts back-to-back wins in her recent form and has run over today's trip and going, making her a thoroughly grounded threat off 131 lb from stall nine, though that fourth last time out after a 78-day absence is the one note of caution.
Form last 62-2114
★AI Rating★★★★☆
130SR118RPR117OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Favourable weight of 9-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Bounced back to winning form most recently, though a ninth two starts back tempers confidence somewhat; Jennifer Jane has experience of today's distance and going, but 56 days off and 128 lb from stall six leave questions to answer.
Form last 627-191
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
100SR106RPR108OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Back-to-back wins two and three starts back give Lilt a solid foundation, but a sixth last time out and 91 days off cloud her claims, and a speed rating of 73 leaves her short of the top-rated rivals at the weights carrying 128 lb.
Form last 61-16
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
112SR103RPR105OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 112 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Symbol of Majesty arrives on the back of a win last time out and has shown a good recent strike-rate, with three wins in her last five starts, but our rating ranks her ninth of ten here and that gulf in class is hard to overlook despite her sound recent form.
Form last 61-1521
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
110SR100RPR106OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Ranked eighth of ten on our figures, Timeforshowcasing faces a stiff task off 128 lb, and a seventh three starts back clouds her profile, though she does arrive on the back of back-to-back placed efforts and has shown she can win in recent starts.
Form last 6101723
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
109SR101RPR113OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 109 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Thundering On owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (72) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
6/5Joseph Patrick O'BrienRyan Moore
75%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Lilt
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
9/2 · William Haggas✓ Value Signal
Jennifer Jane
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
20/1 · Charlie Johnston◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Thundering On (SR 130, 1/1) is the clear class leader in this field — a SR advantage of 18 points over the next-best runner (Lilt, SR 112) is substantial at Group 2 level. The market has backed up this assessment with a 14% inward move since opening, and critically, the JP O'Brien yard has deployed Ryan Moore (24% career strike rate, 1,020 runners) rather than the weaker jockey options on their other two runners, which is the definitive stable signal for their number one. The 3yo fillies' weight allowance (9-5 vs the older horses on 9-8) adds a further edge, meaning Thundering On carries 3lb less than Red Letter for a significant SR superiority. Form of 2-2114 shows a consistent progressive profile capped by back-to-back wins; a 78-day break is the only concern but Haggas-yard market support on Lilt at 5/1 makes that the chief danger.
Each-way alternative: Lilt.
Main danger: Lilt — Lilt (SR 112, 5/1) has shortened 12% in the market, is trained by William Haggas (23% strike rate) with Tom Marquand aboard, and her last-time-out run to a '6' form figure needs context — the '1-1' before it shows a winning profile, and at 9-2 she carries 3lb less than the older horses while representing one of Britain's sharpest yards.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
78-day absence is a real flag for a 3yo filly at Group 2 level — her form peak (back-to-back wins) may have come at a lesser level and fitness off a long break at the Curragh in September is unproven.
Course record is W0P1 — Thundering On has raced here before without winning; the Curragh's wide, galloping track may not suit her running style as well as her winning venues.
Lilt (SR 112, W Haggas 23% strike rate, in-market 12%) ran in a Group 1 last time and is trained by the highest-strike-rate handler in the field — a fresher, unexposed rival at a realistic 5/1 repres…
MarkMv of +10 on Thundering On suggests significant market support may already be baked in, inflating the favourite price relative to value — Symbol Of Majesty (Gosden/Buick, 24%/25% strike rates, SR…
ShortlistThundering On, Lilt, Symbol Of Majesty, Red Letter