← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Irish Stallion Farms EBF Northfields Handicap
Mr Fox’s call
High Degree
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/2 Est. 22%
Mr Fox says
High Degree (SR:100, 11/2, 9-6) carries the highest SR in the field and is the standout market mover — shortening 29% since opening, the most aggressive steam in this 23-runner field. William Haggas at 23% career strike rate with Tom Marquand (16%) is a strong connections pairing, and both DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ on today's Good ground over 1m2f are confirmed positives. The form string 235212 shows relentless consistency and the +4 mark move is manageable at 9-6; crucially, the market money is emphatic here where it has been reserved or drifting on almost every other rival. Each-way alternative: Manton Bay. Main danger: Manton Bay — Manton Bay (SR:103, 11/2, 9-2) is actually the SR leader, carries 4lb less than High Degree, shows DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ with a 15% market shortening and a consistent 328212 form string — lighter weight on confirmed going and distance is a genuine threat.
Full result
Winner: Orandi (FR) at SP 40/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
Orandi 28/1
-
2
Lord Massusus 20/1
-
3
Johnny Soda 50/1
-
4
Summer Is Tomorrow 16/1
-
5
Manton Bay Fox #2 6/1
-
6
Sky Captain 9/1
-
7
Amadeus Mozart Fox #3 13/2
-
8
High Degree Fox #1 5/1
-
9
Fixation 12/1
-
10
Kai Lung Fox #4 11/1
-
11
Iron Fist 16/1
-
12
Alphonsus Liguori 13/2
-
13
Eastwatch 40/1
-
14
Pierre Royal 14/1
-
15
Perry Mason 18/1
-
16
Genuine Article 80/1
-
17
Retracement 18/1
-
18
Lips Freedom 50/1
-
19
Apercu 66/1
-
20
God Of Power 16/1
-
21
Adelaide River 40/1
-
22
Ribee 40/1
-
—
Bay Colony 40/1
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
High Degree 11/2 8TH
-
2
Manton Bay 11/2 5TH
-
3
Amadeus Mozart 15/2 7TH
-
4
Kai Lung 12/1 10TH