Curragh 17:45 RESULTED

13 Sep 2026

Sunday 13 September Irish Stallion Farms EBF Northfields Handicap

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Northfields Handicap · 1m2f0y

Settled

23 declared
0 picked

Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 1 day ago

No.

Horse

Form

Jockey / Trainer

SR?

RPR/OR

Age

Wgt

Votes

Odds

Pick

Comment

Adelaide River

Age 6 · 10-0

70-305

Scott McCullagh 8%

Joseph Patrick O'Brien 16%

103

112

10-0

★☆☆☆☆

—

40/1 20/1 40/1

Winless in his last five starts, Adelaide River nonetheless shaped with promise when third three starts back, and his experience over today's trip and going counts in his favour; the top-rated runner here on 112, he carries 140 lb from stall 11 after 59 days off.

AI verdict

SR 73 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

Eastwatch

Age 4 · 9-10

65-278

Sam Coen(5) 12%

A. Slattery 11%

111

9-10

★★☆☆☆

—

40/1 20/1 40/1

Eastwatch shaped with promise when second three starts back, and he has experience of today's trip and going to call upon from stall five carrying 136 lb; the concern is that his last two runs have been well below that level, leaving him yet to win in recent starts.

AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Fixation

Age 4 · 9-9

-27101

Ben Coen 11%

J. P. Murtagh 11%

9-9

★★☆☆☆

—

12/1 7/1 11/1

Fixation won last time out and has previous experience over today's trip and going, but his profile looks daunting ranked 17 of 23 on our figures, and that unplaced run sandwiched between wins raises questions about consistency at this level.

AI verdict

SR 91 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Summer Is Tomorrow

Age 3 · 9-7

469221

J M Sheridan 10%

Joseph Patrick O'Brien 16%

102

101

9-7

★★☆☆☆

—

16/1 12/1 16/1

Winner last time out, though he has not built on that with back-to-back placings in his two previous starts, and a 50-day absence plus carrying 133 lb from stall 17 gives the assessors something to weigh up.

AI verdict

SR 87 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

High Degree

Age 4 · 9-6

235212

Tom Marquand 16%

William Haggas 23%

100

9-6

★★★☆☆

—

5/1 15/2 9/2

Placed three of his last four starts including a win two starts back, High Degree brings solid recent form and distance-and-going experience to the table, though carrying 132 lb from stall seven and ranking seventh of twenty-three in the field are factors to weigh.

AI verdict

SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Lord Massusus

Age 6 · 9-6

780501

G. F. Carroll 10%

Joseph G Murphy 12%

100

9-6

★★☆☆☆

—

20/1 16/1 20/1

Lord Massusus brings a recent win to the table and has run over today's trip and going before, but five days between runs is a quick turnaround and his last six starts include several below-par efforts; the 132 lb burden from stall six is no small ask either.

AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Orandi

Age 8 · 9-6

007810

Robbie Colgan 5%

A. J. Martin 7%

9-6

★☆☆☆☆

—

28/1 16/1 25/1

Showed he can win when hitting top form with a victory two starts back, but unplaced last time out and carrying 132 lb from stall 21 makes life harder; has run over today's going before, though inconsistency remains the concern.

AI verdict

SR 66 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

Perry Mason

Age 5 · 9-6

143156

Rory Cleary 5%

Maurice Andrew Ahern 8%

100

9-6

★★☆☆☆

—

18/1 12/1 18/1

Perry Mason won three starts back but has since finished fifth and sixth in his last two outings, and 77 days off the track adds a fitness query; he has run over today's trip and going, carries 132 lb from stall 14, and our rating of 100 suggests some residual ability to tap into.

AI verdict

SR 80 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Amadeus Mozart

Age 3 · 9-5

-27224

Ryan Moore 24%

Aidan O'Brien 22%

100

101

9-5

★★★☆☆

—

13/2 15/2 6/1

Consistent front-runner for placings, Amadeus Mozart has finished second three times in his last five starts and lines up having run over today's trip and going, with his rating of 101 underscoring his strong claims; the risk is he remains winless, and 50 days off adds a fitness query.

AI verdict

SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Ribee

Age 4 · 9-5

152750

W. J. Lee 15%

Michael Mulvany 9%

103

9-5

★★☆☆☆

—

40/1 25/1 40/1

Ribee shaped well when second four starts back and has experience of today's trip and going in his favour, arriving fit on a 15-day turnaround and carrying 131 lb from stall 22; the risk is that he was unplaced last time and only fifth before that.

AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Iron Fist

Age 4 · 9-4

-02305

Shane Foley 11%

Mrs J. Harrington 11%

9-4

★★☆☆☆

—

16/1 16/1 14/1

Winless in his last five starts, Iron Fist does at least bring distance and going experience to the table, and third and second finishes three and four starts back show some ability; however, he's been below par more recently and 130 lb from stall 19 makes life no easier.

AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Sky Captain

Age 5 · 9-3

12-22

Colin Keane 16%

Joseph Patrick O'Brien 16%

100

9-3

★★☆☆☆

—

9/1 8/1 9/1

Consistent without quite winning, Sky Captain has been placed three times in a row since scoring, though 105 days on the sidelines is a concern; he has experience of today's going and carries 129 lb from stall two.

AI verdict

SR 96 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Manton Bay

Age 3 · 9-2

328212

Luke McAteer 8%

David Marnane 10%

103

101

9-2

★★★☆☆

—

6/1 7/1 6/1

Manton Bay ran a fine second last time out and was a winner two starts back, showing he retains form, though that solitary win in his last six starts suggests he finds ways to get beaten; has run over today's trip and going, and 128 lb from stall ten are the variables to weigh.

AI verdict

SR 103 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Pierre Royal

Age 4 · 9-2

-61243

Adam Caffrey 9%

Adrian McGuinness 9%

9-2

★★☆☆☆

—

14/1 10/1 12/1

Pierre Royal shaped well enough last time, finishing third, and he boasts a winner in his last five starts alongside experience of today's trip and going; however, carrying 128 lb from stall 20 and ranked 11 of 23 on our rating paints him as a solid midfield prospect rather than an obvious winning threat.

AI verdict

SR 85 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Lips Freedom

Age 6 · 9-1

50/50-

Rossa Ryan 18%

Andrew Kinirons 8%

9-1

★★☆☆☆

—

50/1 66/1 40/1

Winless in his last four starts and placed no better than fifth, Lips Freedom at least brings distance and going experience to the table, but a speed rating of 82 and a ranking of 14th in the field suggest he faces a stiff task on his return from a 43-day break.

AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Apercu

Age 6 · 8-12

480270

Chris Hayes 10%

A Oliver 11%

8-12

★★☆☆☆

—

66/1 40/1 50/1

Apercu returns after 29 days carrying 124 lb from stall nine, and her second three starts back offers a glimmer, though she was unplaced last time and only seventh before that and remains winless in her last six starts; experience over today's trip and going at least removes unknowns.

AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Retracement

Age 5 · 8-11

10-674

Jamie Powell 8%

J. P. Murtagh 11%

8-11

★☆☆☆☆

—

18/1 12/1 16/1

Retracement has been out of the frame in four of his last five starts, with only a win five starts back offering encouragement, and ranked 18th of 23 on our figures he faces a stiff task; he has run over today's trip and going, but 66 days off adds another question mark.

AI verdict

SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

Alphonsus Liguori

Age 3 · 8-9

211

Declan McDonogh 9%

Joseph Patrick O'Brien 16%

8-9

★★★☆☆

—

13/2 8/1 13/2

Ranked 20 of 23 on our figures, Alphonsus Liguori is hard to fancy despite a useful recent run of two wins in his last three starts, including back-to-back victories, though 51 days off the track and that rating gap make him difficult to get excited about.

AI verdict

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

God Of Power

Age 3 · 8-9

-12432

Andrew Slattery 9%

A. Slattery 11%

8-9

★★☆☆☆

—

16/1 8/1 16/1

Ranked well adrift of the field on our figures, God Of Power is hard to fancy despite consistent placings — third two starts back and runner-up last time out — and he does have experience over today's trip and going to call upon.

AI verdict

SR 82 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Bay Colony

Age 4 · 8-8

177-49

Gavin Ryan 8%

J A Stack 12%

8-8

★★☆☆☆

—

40/1 25/1 40/1

Bay Colony showed she can win in recent starts, scoring once in her last five, but a ninth last time out and 131 days off the track are clear concerns; she has run over today's distance and going before and carries 120 lb from stall three.

AI verdict

SR 60 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Genuine Article

Age 6 · 8-7

050074

Nathan Crosse 4%

Gerard Keane 8%

8-7

★★☆☆☆

—

80/1 33/1 66/1

Winless in his last six starts and ranked 19th of 23 on our figures, Genuine Article faces an uphill task, though he has run over today's distance and going before and a fourth last time out is his best recent effort — a return to that level may not be enough here.

AI verdict

SR 59 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Johnny Soda

Age 3 · 8-7

571120

Reese Holohan(7) 11%

Adrian McGuinness 9%

8-7

★★☆☆☆

—

50/1 20/1 50/1

Ranked near the foot of our assessments, Johnny Soda is hard to fancy on these figures despite two wins in his last six starts; a second two starts back is encouraging, but an unplaced effort last time and a speed rating of 70 leave plenty to prove from stall 16.

AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Kai Lung

Age 4 · 8-7

2212-8

W. M. Lordan 16%

W. P. Mullins 26%

8-7

★★☆☆☆

—

11/1 12/1 9/1

Ranked bottom of the field on our figures and drawn in stall 13, Kai Lung faces a stiff ask, though his record in recent starts shows a win and three runner-up finishes before a disappointing eighth last time out, 45 days ago.

AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse	Bet365	Paddy Power	Coral	Ladbrokes	William Hill	Betfred	Best
1 Adelaide River	40/1 open 23.00	40/1 open 26.00	40/1 open 26.00	40/1 open 26.00	40/1 open 21.00	40/1 open 26.00	40/1 Bet365
2 Eastwatch	40/1 open 23.00	50/1 open 29.00	40/1 open 21.00	40/1 open 21.00	40/1 open 21.00	40/1 open 29.00	50/1 Paddy Power
3 Fixation	12/1 open 10.00	12/1 open 9.00	11/1 open 9.00	11/1 open 9.00	11/1 open 8.00	11/1 open 8.50	12/1 Bet365
4 Summer Is Tomorrow	16/1 open 13.00	16/1 open 21.00	16/1 open 13.00	16/1 open 13.00	16/1 open 13.00	16/1 open 21.00	16/1 Bet365
5 High Degree	5/1 open 10.00	9/2 open 10.00	11/2 open 8.50	11/2 open 8.50	5/1 open 9.50	11/2 open 9.50	11/2 Coral
6 Lord Massusus	20/1 open 17.00	20/1 open 17.00	22/1 open 17.00	22/1 open 17.00	22/1 open 17.00	20/1 open 17.00	22/1 Coral
7 Orandi	28/1 open 17.00	25/1 open 21.00	28/1 open 17.00	28/1 open 17.00	28/1 open 17.00	28/1 open 23.00	28/1 Bet365
8 Perry Mason	18/1	22/1 open 21.00	20/1 open 13.00	20/1 open 13.00	22/1 open 19.00	20/1 open 19.00	22/1 Paddy Power
9 Amadeus Mozart	13/2 open 12.00	6/1 open 8.50	13/2 open 9.00	13/2 open 9.00	7/1 open 11.00	13/2 open 9.00	7/1 William Hill
10 Ribee	40/1 open 29.00	40/1 open 34.00	40/1 open 34.00	40/1 open 34.00	40/1 open 26.00	40/1 open 34.00	40/1 Bet365
11 Iron Fist	16/1 open 23.00	14/1 open 17.00	16/1	16/1	16/1 open 21.00	14/1 open 17.00	16/1 Bet365
12 Sky Captain	9/1 open 9.50	9/1 open 9.50	9/1 open 9.00	9/1 open 9.00	9/1 open 9.00	9/1 open 9.00	9/1 Bet365
13 Manton Bay	6/1 open 9.50	7/1	6/1 open 9.00	6/1 open 9.00	7/1 open 9.00	13/2 open 8.00	7/1 Paddy Power
14 Pierre Royal	14/1 open 12.00	12/1 open 12.00	14/1 open 12.00	14/1 open 12.00	14/1 open 11.00	12/1 open 12.00	14/1 Bet365
15 Lips Freedom	50/1 open 67.00	40/1 open 81.00	40/1 open 81.00	40/1 open 67.00	50/1 open 67.00	40/1 open 81.00	50/1 Bet365
16 Apercu	66/1 open 51.00	66/1	50/1 open 41.00	50/1 open 41.00	66/1 open 41.00	66/1 open 51.00	66/1 Bet365
17 Retracement	18/1 open 17.00	16/1 open 13.00	16/1 open 15.00	16/1 open 15.00	18/1 open 17.00	16/1 open 15.00	18/1 Bet365
18 Alphonsus Liguori	13/2 open 10.00	13/2 open 9.00	13/2 open 9.00	13/2 open 9.00	7/1 open 10.00	13/2 open 9.50	7/1 William Hill
19 God Of Power	16/1 open 9.50	16/1 open 11.00	16/1 open 11.00	16/1 open 11.00	16/1 open 9.00	16/1 open 11.00	16/1 Bet365
20 Bay Colony	40/1 open 29.00	40/1 open 29.00	40/1 open 29.00	40/1 open 29.00	40/1 open 26.00	40/1 open 29.00	40/1 Bet365
21 Genuine Article	80/1 open 34.00	66/1 open 41.00	66/1 open 34.00	66/1 open 34.00	66/1 open 34.00	66/1 open 41.00	80/1 Bet365
22 Johnny Soda	50/1 open 23.00	50/1 open 26.00	50/1 open 26.00	50/1 open 26.00	50/1 open 21.00	50/1 open 26.00	50/1 Bet365
23 Kai Lung	11/1 open 23.00	10/1 open 13.00	9/1 open 19.00	9/1 open 19.00	10/1 open 21.00	9/1 open 21.00	11/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

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Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

High Degree

Speculative

High Degree owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (56) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/1 William Haggas Tom Marquand

67% Confidence

⚠ Danger Runner

Manton Bay

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

6/1 · David Marnane

✓ Value Signal

Adelaide River

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Joseph Patrick O'Brien

◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.

Speed rating Speculative

56 / 100

⚖ Weight 38% ＋21.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction

77 / 100

⚖ Weight 22% ＋16.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction

43 / 100

⚖ Weight 12% ＋4.2 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative

51 / 100

⚖ Weight 10% ＋5.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant

55 / 100

⚖ Weight 10% ＋5.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative

52 / 100

⚖ Weight 8% ＋4.2 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.

1 5. High Degree

56.9 5/1

2 13. Manton Bay

55.4 6/1

3 9. Amadeus Mozart

54.5 13/2

4 18. Alphonsus Liguori

54.2 13/2

5 12. Sky Captain

50.4 9/1

YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view

High Degree

Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly

📊

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability

🤖

★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance

🐾

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

High Degree

Age 4 · 9-6

5/1

J: Tom Marquand
T: William Haggas

★★★☆☆ SR 100 🐾 —

SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Manton Bay

Age 3 · 9-2

6/1

J: Luke McAteer
T: David Marnane

★★★☆☆ SR 103 🐾 —

SR 103 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Amadeus Mozart

Age 3 · 9-5

13/2

J: Ryan Moore
T: Aidan O'Brien

★★★☆☆ SR 96 🐾 —

SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Alphonsus Liguori

Age 3 · 8-9

13/2

J: Declan McDonogh
T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien

★★★☆☆ SR 95 🐾 —

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Sky Captain

Age 5 · 9-3

9/1

J: Colin Keane
T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien

★★☆☆☆ SR 96 🐾 —

SR 96 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Kai Lung

Age 4 · 8-7

11/1

J: W. M. Lordan
T: W. P. Mullins

★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾 —

SR 75 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Fixation

Age 4 · 9-9

12/1

J: Ben Coen
T: J. P. Murtagh

★★☆☆☆ SR 91 🐾 —

SR 91 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Pierre Royal

Age 4 · 9-2

14/1

J: Adam Caffrey
T: Adrian McGuinness

★★☆☆☆ SR 85 🐾 —

SR 85 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Summer Is Tomorrow

Age 3 · 9-7

16/1

J: J M Sheridan
T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien

★★☆☆☆ SR 87 🐾 —

SR 87 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Iron Fist

Age 4 · 9-4

16/1

J: Shane Foley
T: Mrs J. Harrington

★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾 —

SR 72 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

God Of Power

Age 3 · 8-9

16/1

J: Andrew Slattery
T: A. Slattery

★★☆☆☆ SR 82 🐾 —

SR 82 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Perry Mason

Age 5 · 9-6

18/1

J: Rory Cleary
T: Maurice Andrew Ahern

★★☆☆☆ SR 80 🐾 —

SR 80 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Retracement

Age 5 · 8-11

18/1

J: Jamie Powell
T: J. P. Murtagh

★☆☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾 —

SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

Lord Massusus

Age 6 · 9-6

20/1

J: G. F. Carroll
T: Joseph G Murphy

★★☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾 —

SR 68 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Steamers Shortened — market backing

Drifters Drifted — market cooling

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

High Degree

Confidence: Speculative

High Degree (SR:100, 11/2, 9-6) carries the highest SR in the field and is the standout market mover — shortening 29% since opening, the most aggressive steam in this 23-runner field. William Haggas at 23% career strike rate with Tom Marquand (16%) is a strong connections pairing, and both DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ on today's Good ground over 1m2f are confirmed positives. The form string 235212 shows relentless consistency and the +4 mark move is manageable at 9-6; crucially, the market money is emphatic here where it has been reserved or drifting on almost every other rival. Each-way alternative: Manton Bay. Main danger: Manton Bay — Manton Bay (SR:103, 11/2, 9-2) is actually the SR leader, carries 4lb less than High Degree, shows DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ with a 15% market shortening and a consistent 328212 form string — lighter weight on confirmed going and distance is a genuine threat.

Case against 4 clamped

Manton Bay holds the field's highest SR (103 vs 100) at the same odds (11/2), has also shortened (15%) and shows an identical form profile (328212) — a direct SR rival that undercuts the 'standout' c…
HG code 'b' (blinkers) suggests the horse needs headgear to perform; equipment reliance in a 23-runner field where getting a clear run in blinkers can be problematic is a real risk.
In a 23-runner handicap, High Degree is drawn with no listed course form (no Course: entry), meaning no Curragh evidence of handling the track's pronounced undulations at 1m2f.
The +4 mark rise is on top of what appears a lightly-framed weight (9-6) already sitting in a competitive middle-market position; Amadeus Mozart (SR:96, 9/5 Ryan Moore, A P O'Brien 23%) represents a…

Shortlist High Degree, Manton Bay, Amadeus Mozart, Kai Lung

Each-way: Manton Bay Danger: Manton Bay

🗺 The Course Race conditions

1m2f0y Distance to cover

Good Expected going

23 Confirmed runners

Curragh Track and setting

Sunday 13 September Irish Stallion Farms EBF Northfields Handicap

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Northfields Handicap

Doncaster

Curragh

Bath

Balanced lens

High Degree

Manton Bay

Adelaide River

Balanced

How the chamber read the race

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Saturday Rating

AI Stars

Cub Votes

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

Race Steamers

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

🗺 The Course Race conditions