← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox

Roxyfet Sports Lounge For Private Hire Handicap Hurdle Race

14:00 Sedgefield Mon 14 Sep 2026 3m3f9y Class 4 Good 3 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Paddy De Pole silks

Paddy De Pole

SPECULATIVE Advised 13/8 SP 15/8 Est. 48%

🏆 WON

Mr Fox says

Paddy De Pole (SR:117, 13/8) holds a 7-point SR advantage over Fairlawn Skipper and a 12-point edge over Parikarma, making him the class anchor of this tiny three-runner field. The 18% market shortening is a meaningful signal in a race this small — money is clearly landing on him. He drops two class tiers (ClassMv:↓2), which combined with confirmed good-going aptitude (GoingFit:+) and course form (W1P1 at Sedgefield) stacks multiple signals in his favour. Paul Nicholls at 22% strike rate is a strong yard, and the MarkMv:+2 is a negligible burden that does not offset the class drop. The +2lb mark increase is a minor concern but dwarfed by the class relief. Each-way alternative: Fairlawn Skipper. Main danger: Fairlawn Skipper — Fairlawn Skipper won last time out (Form ends in 1), carries the same mark (MarkMv:=), stays at the same class level, and at 6/5 the market clearly rates him the most likely winner — the short turnaround is the only real negative, and if that doesn't take its toll over this marathon trip he's fully capable of reversing the SR deficit.

Full result

Winner: Paddy De Pole (IRE) at SP 15/8. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Paddy De Pole silks Paddy De Pole Fox #1 Paul Nicholls · Freddie Keighley(5) 13/8
  2. 2 Fairlawn Skipper silks Fairlawn Skipper Fox #2 Mickey Bowen · Shane Fenelon(5) 11/10
  3. 3 Parikarma silks Parikarma Fox #3 Samuel Drinkwater · Miss Imogen Mathias(7) 4/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Paddy De Pole silks Paddy De Pole 13/8 SP 15/8 🏆 WON
  2. 2 Fairlawn Skipper silks Fairlawn Skipper 6/5 🥈 2ND
  3. 3 Parikarma silks Parikarma 4/1 🥉 3RD