Sedgefield 14:00 RESULTED
Class 4 14 Sep 2026

Monday 14 September Roxyfet Sports Lounge For Private Hire Handicap Hurdle Race

Roxyfet Sports Lounge For Private Hire Handicap Hurdle Race · 3m3f9y

Official Result

Roxyfet Sports Lounge For Private Hire Handicap Hurdle Race

Confirmed
  1. Winner Paddy De Pole (IRE) Freddie Keighley · Paul Nicholls
    15/8
  2. 11/8F
  3. 9/4
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Settled
  • 3 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Paddy De Pole silks
Paddy De Pole
Age 8 · 12-0
P14-24
115
117
115
8
12-0
13/8 18/13 3/2
Paddy De Pole landed a win four starts back and ran second two starts back, showing he can mix it at this level, and his experience over today's trip and going is a plus; the concern is a 50-day absence returning fresh.
AI verdict

SR 117 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Fairlawn Skipper silks
Fairlawn Skipper
Age 6 · 12-0
-901U1
108
110
111
6
12-0
11/10 FCST Evs
Fairlawn Skipper returns just seven days after winning last time out, and has run over today's trip and going, giving him a solid fitness edge carrying 168 lb; two wins in his last five starts underline a horse hitting a purple patch at the right moment.
AI verdict

SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Parikarma silks
Parikarma
Age 9 · 11-1
327231
102
105
99
9
11-1
4/1 9/4 4/1
Parikarma arrives here just nine days after a winning effort and has experience of today's going, making her an obvious live threat at 155 lb; the chief concern is that our rating has her third of the three runners assessed.
AI verdict

SR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Paddy De Pole 13/8 open 3.25 6/4 open 3.00 13/8 open 3.25 13/8 open 3.25 13/8 open 3.25 13/8 open 2.38 13/8 Bet365
2 Fairlawn Skipper 11/10 open 2.20 1/1 evn open 2.10 evn open 2.10 11/10 evn open 2.25 11/10 Bet365
3 Parikarma 4/1 open 3.25 4/1 open 3.75 4/1 open 3.50 4/1 open 3.50 4/1 open 3.25 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Fairlawn Skipper

Live signal

Fairlawn Skipper owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (61) and market confidence (95). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/10 Mickey Bowen Shane Fenelon(5)
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Paddy De Pole

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

13/8 · Paul Nicholls
✓ Value Signal

Parikarma

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

4/1 · Samuel Drinkwater
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +23.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
95 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 3 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Fairlawn Skipper
63.3 11/10
2 1. Paddy De Pole
62.0 13/8
3 3. Parikarma
57.9 4/1
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🤖 AI view
Paddy De Pole
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 6 · 12-0
11/10
★★★☆☆ SR 110 🐾

SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 8 · 12-0
13/8
★★★☆☆ SR 117 🐾

SR 117 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 9 · 11-1
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 105 🐾

SR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Paddy De Pole
Confidence: Speculative

Paddy De Pole (SR:117, 13/8) holds a 7-point SR advantage over Fairlawn Skipper and a 12-point edge over Parikarma, making him the class anchor of this tiny three-runner field. The 18% market shortening is a meaningful signal in a race this small — money is clearly landing on him. He drops two class tiers (ClassMv:↓2), which combined with confirmed good-going aptitude (GoingFit:+) and course form (W1P1 at Sedgefield) stacks multiple signals in his favour. Paul Nicholls at 22% strike rate is a strong yard, and the MarkMv:+2 is a negligible burden that does not offset the class drop. The +2lb mark increase is a minor concern but dwarfed by the class relief. Each-way alternative: Fairlawn Skipper. Main danger: Fairlawn Skipper — Fairlawn Skipper won last time out (Form ends in 1), carries the same mark (MarkMv:=), stays at the same class level, and at 6/5 the market clearly rates him the most likely winner — the short turnaround is the only real negative, and if that doesn't take its toll over this marathon trip he's fully capable of reversing the SR deficit.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Paddy De Pole's form reads P14-24 — a pulled-up run is buried in recent starts, and his last win came some time ago, suggesting he may not be firing at peak.
  • Fairlawn Skipper (6/5 market leader) ran just 7 days ago and arrives race-fit and battle-hardened, a sharp contrast to Paddy De Pole's 50-day absence.
  • Jockey Freddie Keighley (5lb claim) posts only an 11% strike rate from 134 rides — a modest book that raises questions about his suitability for a short-priced favourite in a three-runner race.
  • Fairlawn Skipper is actually shorter in the market at 6/5 versus 13/8 despite a lower SR, suggesting the market may be pricing in a fitness or form edge the SR model does not capture.
Shortlist Paddy De Pole, Fairlawn Skipper, Parikarma
Each-way: Fairlawn Skipper Danger: Fairlawn Skipper

🗺 The Course Class 4

3m3f9y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
3 Confirmed runners
Sedgefield Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade