← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Paxtons No1 Caseih Dealer Handicap Hurdle Race
Mr Fox’s call
William Yeats
HIGH Advised 11/10 Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
William Yeats (SR:102, 11/10) is the clear class benchmark in this field, carrying 11-13 and holding a SR advantage of 15 points over the next-best runner Aimeric (SR:87). His last-time-out win confirms peak form, and the GoingFit:+ confirms he handles today's good ground well. The market has steamed 25% since opening — significant money arriving — and Course:W2P4 shows he is a proven Sedgefield specialist. Running off a mark 6lb higher than his last win is the only flag, but in a Class 5 field this weak the class edge simply overwhelms that concern. Each-way alternative: Aimeric. Main danger: Aimeric — Aimeric (SR:87, 10/3) is trained by Jennie Candlish (17% strike rate), ridden by Sean Quinlan (15%), holds a 2lb market-weight edge over William Yeats at 12-0 despite drifting 10%, and a MarkMv:-2 suggests the handicapper has given him a route back in.
Full result
Winner: Aimeric (GB) at SP 11/4. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Aimeric Fox #2 3/1
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2
William Yeats Fox #1 11/10
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3
Beny Nahar Road Fox #3 12/1
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4
Yanka Blue 11/1
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5
Joto 20/1
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6
Lone Star 14/1
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7
Bannister 33/1
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8
Roadshow 14/1
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9
Tracker Issue 18/1
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10
Bodygroove 28/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
William Yeats 11/10 🥈 2ND
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2
Aimeric 10/3 SP 11/4 🏆 WON
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3
Beny Nahar Road 12/1 🥉 3RD