Sedgefield 16:00 RESULTED
Class 5 14 Sep 2026

Monday 14 September Paxtons No1 Caseih Dealer Handicap Hurdle Race

Paxtons No1 Caseih Dealer Handicap Hurdle Race · 2m3f188y

Official Result

Paxtons No1 Caseih Dealer Handicap Hurdle Race

Confirmed
  1. Winner Aimeric (GB) Sean Quinlan · Jennie Candlish
    11/4
  2. 6/5F
  3. 10/1
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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Aimeric silks
Aimeric
Age 7 · 12-0
4-442
100
87
96
7
12-0
3/1 FCST 5/2
Winless in his last four starts but a consistent performer, Aimeric has run over today's trip and going before and returns on a sound 17-day break; a burden of 168 lb, however, is a stern ask for a gelding yet to score.
AI verdict

SR 87 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Roadshow silks
Roadshow
Age 5 · 12-0
417-69
100
74
98
5
12-0
14/1 7/1 12/1
Roadshow landed a win four starts back and has experience of today's trip and conditions, giving him solid claims as a leading danger here; the concern is that his last three runs have all been disappointing, and 54 days off means he returns on trust.
AI verdict

SR 74 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

3
William Yeats silks
William Yeats
Age 5 · 11-13
5633-1
99
102
110
5
11-13
11/10 7/4 10/11
William Yeats arrives here in fine heart after winning last time out, and he has run over today's trip and going before; carrying 167 lb is the one query, but a rating of 110 marks him as the one to beat in this field.
AI verdict

SR 102 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Tracker Issue silks
Tracker Issue
Age 4 · 11-11
662
100
72
96
4
11-11
18/1 11/2 12/1
Tracker Issue ran second last time out but has posted back-to-back sixth-place finishes in his two prior starts, leaving him winless in recent starts; he has run over today's trip and going, though a hefty 165 lb burden looks the chief obstacle to reversing that mixed form.
AI verdict

SR 72 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

5
Beny Nahar Road silks
Beny Nahar Road
Age 7 · 11-9
F-8406
95
80
106
7
11-9
12/1 11/1 10/1
Beny Nahar Road shaped with promise when fourth three starts back, and our rating of 106 marks him as a leading threat carrying 163 lb with experience of today's distance and going; the risk is that he has been winless in recent starts and returns after a 50-day absence.
AI verdict

SR 80 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Lone Star silks
Lone Star
Age 9 · 11-5
-54374
91
74
91
9
11-5
14/1 11/2 14/1
Winless in her last five starts and ranked eighth of ten on our figures, Lone Star arrives just five days after her latest fourth, with 159 lb to shoulder making things harder still; experience over today's distance and going is at least something in her favour.
AI verdict

SR 74 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Bannister silks
Bannister
Age 9 · 11-5
85-604
91
58
97
9
11-5
33/1 16/1 20/1
Bannister has run over today's distance and going before and arrives here on a retrieval mission 26 days after his last outing, with our rating of 97 suggesting he holds more ability than his official mark of 91 implies; winless in his last five starts, he must convert that latent promise into a tangible effort under 159 lb.
AI verdict

SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

8
Bodygroove silks
Bodygroove
Age 6 · 11-5
5/P69-
91
59
95
6
11-5
28/1 20/1 25/1
Winless in his last four starts and returning from a 171-day absence, Bodygroove faces questions on fitness, though he has run over today's going before and a rating of 95 gives him something to work with stepping back in.
AI verdict

SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

9
Yanka Blue silks
Yanka Blue
Age 5 · 10-6
65227P
78
71
79
5
10-6
11/1 15/2 10/1
Pulled up just five days ago and ranked ninth of ten on our figures, Yanka Blue faces a stiff task, and her record of winless in her last six starts offers little encouragement; she has run over today's trip and going before, but 146 lb adds further to her burden.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Joto silks
Joto
Age 6 · 10-2
33U-U0
73
60
79
6
10-2
20/1 FCST 12/1
Winless in her last five starts and ranked bottom of this field on our figures, Joto has also unseated twice in recent outings, making her hard to fancy despite having run over today's distance and going before and returning after a 22-day break in reasonable time.
AI verdict

SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Aimeric 3/1 open 3.50 3/1 open 4.33 5/2 open 4.00 5/2 open 4.00 3/1 3/1 open 4.50 3/1 Bet365
2 Roadshow 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 8.00 14/1 open 8.50 14/1 open 8.50 14/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 8.50 14/1 Bet365
3 William Yeats 11/10 open 2.75 1/1 open 2.88 10/11 open 2.75 10/11 open 2.75 11/10 open 2.75 evn open 2.75 11/10 Bet365
4 Tracker Issue 18/1 open 9.00 20/1 open 6.50 12/1 open 7.50 12/1 open 7.50 20/1 open 7.50 22/1 open 7.50 22/1 Betfred
5 Beny Nahar Road 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 11/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 12.00 11/1 12/1 Bet365
6 Lone Star 14/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 7.00 16/1 open 7.00 14/1 open 6.50 14/1 open 6.50 16/1 Paddy Power
7 Bannister 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 26.00 20/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 26.00 33/1 Bet365
8 Bodygroove 28/1 open 26.00 30/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 25/1 30/1 Paddy Power
9 Yanka Blue 11/1 open 8.50 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 10/1 open 12.00 11/1 Bet365
10 Joto 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 26.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 20/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

William Yeats

Live signal

William Yeats owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (57) and market confidence (95). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/10 Sam England Jonathan England
87% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Aimeric

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

3/1 · Jennie Candlish
✓ Value Signal

Bodygroove

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Micky Hammond
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +21.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
95 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. William Yeats
62.7 11/10
2 1. Aimeric
52.9 3/1
3 9. Yanka Blue
48.7 11/1
4 5. Beny Nahar Road
47.2 12/1
5 6. Lone Star
46.0 14/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
William Yeats
High

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 5 · 11-13
11/10
★★★☆☆ SR 102 🐾

SR 102 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 7 · 12-0
3/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 87 🐾

SR 87 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 5 · 10-6
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 7 · 11-9
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 5 · 12-0
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾

SR 74 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

6
Age 9 · 11-5
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾

SR 74 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 4 · 11-11
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

10
Age 6 · 10-2
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾

SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
William Yeats
Confidence: High

William Yeats (SR:102, 11/10) is the clear class benchmark in this field, carrying 11-13 and holding a SR advantage of 15 points over the next-best runner Aimeric (SR:87). His last-time-out win confirms peak form, and the GoingFit:+ confirms he handles today's good ground well. The market has steamed 25% since opening — significant money arriving — and Course:W2P4 shows he is a proven Sedgefield specialist. Running off a mark 6lb higher than his last win is the only flag, but in a Class 5 field this weak the class edge simply overwhelms that concern. Each-way alternative: Aimeric. Main danger: Aimeric — Aimeric (SR:87, 10/3) is trained by Jennie Candlish (17% strike rate), ridden by Sean Quinlan (15%), holds a 2lb market-weight edge over William Yeats at 12-0 despite drifting 10%, and a MarkMv:-2 suggests the handicapper has given him a route back in.

Case against 4
  • Raised 6lb for last-time-out win and now runs off a career-high mark — horses in this spot frequently find the handicapper has caught up, even in weak Class 5 company.
  • Form string 5633-1 shows he was beaten in three consecutive starts before that win; the one-win pattern in a moderate race could be a flash of form rather than a durable peak.
  • HG:t flag indicates he has worn a tongue-tie today — equipment first-time or changed use can be a sign the yard is masking an issue, and market steamers with tie additions sometimes underperform.
  • Aimeric (SR:87) carries 12-0 and is ridden by Sean Quinlan (15% strike rate) for Jennie Candlish (17% strike rate) — a sharp handler/jockey combo who have clearly targeted this race given the 17-day…
Shortlist William Yeats, Aimeric, Beny Nahar Road
Each-way: Aimeric Danger: Aimeric

🗺 The Course Class 5

2m3f188y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Sedgefield Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade