Patrick Hibbert-Foy Memorial Nursery Handicap Stakes

14:51 Thirsk Mon 14 Sep 2026 0m6f0y Class 6 Good 17 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Dissenter

SPECULATIVE Advised 10/3 Est. 32%

6TH

Mr Fox says

Dissenter (SR:62, 10/3) is the joint-highest rated runner in the field and has been backed significantly — a 24% market move in is the largest steaming signal in this race. Carrying 9-9 is the heaviest weight but the SR advantage over the next-best (Bladey Lady SR:62, Claret Time SR:60) is marginal, and 9-9 is not crippling at 6f on good ground. The form string 5-1-5-7 (rightmost last) reads as 7-5-1-5 left-to-right, showing a recent win mid-sequence; the drop from Class 5 (ClassMv:↓1) brings this horse back to a more favourable tier, and trainer Marcus Tregoning with Ashley Lewis (14% strike rate) aboard is a purposeful booking for a yard not prolific in numbers. DistFit:~ confirms moderate but not poor distance credentials, and the market confidence is the decisive swing factor. Each-way alternative: Bladey Lady. Main danger: Bladey Lady — Bladey Lady (SR:62, 4/1) matches Dissenter on SR, carries a lighter weight of 9-1, has GoingFit:+ confirming she handles good ground well, and her recent form string 3-4-7-1 (rightmost last) shows a last-time-out win at the same class — Tim Easterby's yard's clear number one with David Allan booked.

Verify· #17693

Full result

Winner: Bladey Lady (IRE) at SP 7/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.