Thirsk 14:51 RESULTED
Class 6 14 Sep 2026

Monday 14 September Patrick Hibbert-Foy Memorial Nursery Handicap Stakes

Patrick Hibbert-Foy Memorial Nursery Handicap Stakes · 0m6f0y

Official Result

Patrick Hibbert-Foy Memorial Nursery Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Bladey Lady (IRE) David Allan · Tim Easterby
    7/2
  2. 9/2
  3. 11/1
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Settled
  • 16 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Independent Roze silks
Independent Roze Non-Runner
Age 2 · 8-7
559
49
49OR
2
8-7
SP
1
Dissenter silks
Dissenter
Age 2 · 9-9
5157
65
62
58
2
9-9
10/3 7/2 10/3
Dissenter won three starts back but has posted a fifth and seventh since, suggesting she is finding things tough at present; she has run over today's trip and returns on a quick 19-day turnaround, though her rating of 58 leaves her with ground to make up on the principals.
AI verdict

SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Dream On Kent silks
Dream On Kent
Age 2 · 9-3
822698
59
40
68
2
9-3
12/1 20/1 11/1
Ranked top of the 16-runner field on our rating, Dream On Kent has run over today's trip and going and arrives here on a feasible weight of 129 lb from stall 17 after a 26-day break; the concern is that he has been winless in his last six starts, with recent efforts disappointing.
AI verdict

SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

3
Mrs Mole silks
Mrs Mole
Age 2 · 9-3
4933
59
53
62
2
9-3
17/2 8/1 15/2
Yet to score in her last four starts, Mrs Mole does at least bring consecutive third-place finishes into this, and has experience of today's trip and conditions; carrying 129 lb from stall one, her rating of 62 suggests she holds her own here without being the one to beat.
AI verdict

SR 53 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Claret And Blues silks
Claret And Blues
Age 2 · 9-3
53665
59
52
62
2
9-3
11/1 7/1 9/1
Winless in his last five starts and returning after 52 days off, Claret And Blues has experience over today's trip and going, though his recent string of fifths and sixths makes it hard to fancy him reversing that pattern from stall five.
AI verdict

SR 52 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Claret Time silks
Claret Time
Age 2 · 9-1
5782
57
60
61
2
9-1
6/1 10/3 11/2
Claret Time has run over today's trip and going, and his runner-up finish last time out offers some encouragement, yet he remains winless in his last four starts and a trainer firing at just 4% recently is a concern for a gelding drawn 16 carrying 127 lb.
AI verdict

SR 60 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Bladey Lady silks
Bladey Lady
Age 2 · 9-1
3471
57
62
57
2
9-1
4/1 10/3 4/1
Bladey Lady won last time out, just 12 days ago, and has experience of today's trip and going, though her rating of 57 and ranking of eleventh in a field of sixteen suggest she faces a stiff task from stall thirteen carrying 127 lb.
AI verdict

SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Sunrise At Dawn silks
Sunrise At Dawn
Age 2 · 9-0
5862
56
46
64
2
9-0
18/1 10/1 16/1
Sunrise At Dawn shaped well when runner-up last time out and her experience over today's trip and going is a clear asset; ranked second of sixteen on ratings, she looks a genuine threat, though winless in her last four starts and 61 days off the track are the main cautions.
AI verdict

SR 46 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Dadawada silks
Dadawada
Age 2 · 9-0
546
56
23
46
2
9-0
40/1 20/1 33/1
Winless in her last three starts and ranked near the foot of our ratings, Dadawada faces a stiff task here; she has run over today's trip and going before, and a return to form 12 days on from her latest sixth is the best that can be said.
AI verdict

SR 23 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

9
River Jordan silks
River Jordan
Age 2 · 8-13
7576
55
44
63
2
8-13
18/1 10/1 16/1
River Jordan is winless in his last four starts, with finishes no better than fifth in recent outings, and while he has run over today's trip and going before and returns on a quick 12-day turnaround, he faces a stiff task off 125 lb against a large field.
AI verdict

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

10
Breaking The Habit silks
Breaking The Habit
Age 2 · 8-13
340
55
24
48
2
8-13
40/1 16/1 28/1
Winless in his last three starts and ranked 14th of 16 on our figures, Breaking The Habit faces a stiff task here, though he has run over today's trip and going before and returns after a 23-day break on a manageable 125 lb.
AI verdict

SR 24 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

11
Baila Morena silks
Baila Morena
Age 2 · 8-11
7407
53
36
63
2
8-11
33/1 14/1 25/1
Baila Morena has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 63 marks her out as a live threat in a wide-open heat, but she arrives 69 days between runs and is yet to win in recent starts, which is the obvious concern.
AI verdict

SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

12
Purrista silks
Purrista
Age 2 · 8-11
3059
53
29
58
2
8-11
33/1 16/1 28/1
SR 29 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
AI verdict

SR 29 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

13
Le Ciel Noble silks
Le Ciel Noble
Age 2 · 8-7
6540
49
43
51
2
8-7
11/1 12/1 9/1
Winless in his last four starts and ranked 13 of 16 on our figures, Le Ciel Noble is hard to fancy despite his experience over today's trip and going, carrying 119 lb from stall four just seven days after his latest unplaced effort.
AI verdict

SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

14
Ma Fille de Reve silks
Ma Fille de Reve
Age 2 · 8-7
665
49
50
63
2
8-7
6/1 12/1 11/2
Winless in her last three starts and returning after 68 days off, Ma Fille de Reve nevertheless catches the eye on our figures, which place her notably above her official rating of 49, and she has run over today's trip before.
AI verdict

SR 50 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

16
Tiger In The Tree silks
Tiger In The Tree
Age 2 · 8-6
693367
48
29
54
2
8-6
28/1 20/1 25/1
Winless in her last six starts and ranked 12 of 16 on our figures, Tiger In The Tree faces a stiff task here, though she has experience over today's trip and going, and two third-place finishes in recent starts show she can hit the frame on her day.
AI verdict

SR 29 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

17
Big Bad Storm silks
Big Bad Storm
Age 2 · 8-3
0806
32
10
29
2
8-3
80/1 40/1 66/1
Winless in his last four starts and ranked last on our figures, Big Bad Storm faces a stiff task here, though he has run over today's trip before and returns after a 35-day break carrying 115 lb from stall 10.
AI verdict

SR 10 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Independent Roze
1 Dissenter 10/3 open 7.50 10/3 open 5.00 10/3 open 6.00 10/3 open 6.00 7/2 open 6.00 10/3 open 4.50 7/2 William Hill
2 Dream On Kent 12/1 open 26.00 11/1 open 23.00 12/1 open 23.00 12/1 open 23.00 12/1 open 23.00 11/1 open 21.00 12/1 Bet365
3 Mrs Mole 17/2 open 11.00 8/1 8/1 open 9.50 15/2 open 9.50 8/1 open 9.50 15/2 open 10.00 17/2 Bet365
4 Claret And Blues 11/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 8.00 9/1 open 8.00 11/1 open 8.00 10/1 11/1 Bet365
5 Claret Time 6/1 open 4.50 11/2 open 4.50 11/2 open 4.33 11/2 open 4.33 6/1 open 4.33 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 Bet365
6 Bladey Lady 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 4.33 4/1 4/1 9/2 open 5.00 4/1 open 4.50 9/2 William Hill
7 Sunrise At Dawn 18/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 12.00 18/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 13.00 18/1 Bet365
8 Dadawada 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 23.00 40/1 Bet365
9 River Jordan 18/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 12.00 18/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 13.00 18/1 Bet365
10 Breaking The Habit 40/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 23.00 40/1 Bet365
11 Baila Morena 33/1 open 15.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 23.00 33/1 Bet365
12 Purrista 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 21.00 33/1 Bet365
13 Le Ciel Noble 11/1 open 15.00 9/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 13.00 11/1 Bet365
14 Ma Fille de Reve 6/1 open 17.00 6/1 open 21.00 6/1 open 19.00 6/1 open 19.00 13/2 open 17.00 11/2 open 13.00 13/2 William Hill
16 Tiger In The Tree 28/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 23.00 28/1 Bet365
17 Big Bad Storm 80/1 open 41.00 66/1 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 51.00 80/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Dissenter

Speculative

Dissenter owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (34) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

10/3 Marcus Tregoning Ashley Lewis(3)
73% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Bladey Lady

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Tim Easterby
✓ Value Signal

Dadawada

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Christopher Kellett
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
34 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +13.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
85 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
32 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.6 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Dissenter
50.6 10/3
2 6. Bladey Lady
46.8 4/1
3 14. Ma Fille de Reve
44.5 6/1
4 4. Claret And Blues
42.8 11/1
5 5. Claret Time
42.8 6/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Dissenter
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 2 · 9-9
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 2 · 9-1
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 2 · 9-1
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾

SR 60 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Age 2 · 8-7
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 50 🐾

SR 50 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 2 · 9-3
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 53 🐾

SR 53 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 2 · 9-3
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 52 🐾

SR 52 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Age 2 · 8-7
11/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 43 🐾

SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

2
Age 2 · 9-3
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 40 🐾

SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

7
Age 2 · 9-0
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 46 🐾

SR 46 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 2 · 8-13
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 44 🐾

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Dissenter
Confidence: Speculative

Dissenter (SR:62, 10/3) is the joint-highest rated runner in the field and has been backed significantly — a 24% market move in is the largest steaming signal in this race. Carrying 9-9 is the heaviest weight but the SR advantage over the next-best (Bladey Lady SR:62, Claret Time SR:60) is marginal, and 9-9 is not crippling at 6f on good ground. The form string 5-1-5-7 (rightmost last) reads as 7-5-1-5 left-to-right, showing a recent win mid-sequence; the drop from Class 5 (ClassMv:↓1) brings this horse back to a more favourable tier, and trainer Marcus Tregoning with Ashley Lewis (14% strike rate) aboard is a purposeful booking for a yard not prolific in numbers. DistFit:~ confirms moderate but not poor distance credentials, and the market confidence is the decisive swing factor. Each-way alternative: Bladey Lady. Main danger: Bladey Lady — Bladey Lady (SR:62, 4/1) matches Dissenter on SR, carries a lighter weight of 9-1, has GoingFit:+ confirming she handles good ground well, and her recent form string 3-4-7-1 (rightmost last) shows a last-time-out win at the same class — Tim Easterby's yard's clear number one with David Allan booked.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Dissenter's last two starts read 5-7 (most recent a 7th), suggesting a sharp decline in form since that mid-sequence win; class drop may not fully offset that trajectory.
  • Bladey Lady matches Dissenter's SR:62, carries 8lbs less (9-1 vs 9-9), ran just 12 days ago so sharper, and has a market move of +4 (stable confidence) from Tim Easterby's powerful northern yard with…
  • Marcus Tregoning's yard strike rate is only 8% (387 runners), and Ashley Lewis's 14% SR is respectable but in 482 rides — this is not a yard/jockey combo with a particularly strong regional footprint…
  • Claret Time (SR:60, 4/1, 12 days ago) also ran very recently and has a form figure of 2 last time out, making it a live rival at a shorter price than Dissenter's 10/3.
Shortlist Dissenter, Bladey Lady, Ma Fille de Reve
Each-way: Bladey Lady Danger: Bladey Lady

🗺 The Course Class 6

0m6f0y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
16 Confirmed runners
Thirsk Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade