← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
decronhorsecare.co.uk Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Hatamoto
SPECULATIVE Advised 2/1 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Hatamoto leads the field on SR (77) and carries a light 9-3, giving it a meaningful weight advantage over Mo Anam Chara (SR:76, 9-6) and Real Jack (SR:70, 8-12). The Course:W2P2 record at Thirsk is a compelling specialist angle — two wins and two places at this track is the strongest course form in the field by some distance. The market has backed it in 16% from morning price to 2/1, confirming professional confidence. The GoingFit:- is the one concern on good ground, but the course affinity and Tim Easterby/David Allan combination (both solid strike rates at 11% and 13% respectively with substantial career samples) outweigh that reservation — Easterby regularly runs course specialists back quickly and this horse was out just 5 days ago suggesting peak fitness. Each-way alternative: Mo Anam Chara. Main danger: Real Jack — Real Jack (SR:70, 4/1) has shortened 15% in the market, carries the lightest weight in the field at 8-12, and Connor Beasley's 14% career strike rate is the strongest jockey statistic on the card — the visor first-time application and light weight combination could unlock improvement.
Full result
Winner: Mo Anam Chara (IRE) at SP 5/2J. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Mo Anam Chara Fox #2 5/1
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2
Showtown 12/1
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3
Soca Star 11/1
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4
Real Jack Fox #3 7/2
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5
Napolian 16/1
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6
Derrygarran Lad 18/1
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7
Kody B 12/1
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8
Thornaby Annie 17/2
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9
Hatamoto Fox #1 9/4
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10
Riffa Spirit 40/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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3