Thirsk 16:21 RESULTED
Class 5 14 Sep 2026

Monday 14 September decronhorsecare.co.uk Handicap Stakes

decronhorsecare.co.uk Handicap Stakes · 0m7f0y

Official Result

decronhorsecare.co.uk Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Mo Anam Chara (IRE) Jake Dickson · Geoffrey Harker
    5/2J
  2. 22/1
  3. 14/1
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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Kody B silks
Kody B
Age 3 · 9-9
-04566
70
62
74
3
9-9
12/1 FCST 11/1
Kody B has been knocking on the door in recent starts, finishing fourth and fifth in his last few runs before a couple of sixths, and he returns here fit on 18 days' rest with experience of today's trip and conditions; the main risk is that he remains winless and must convert consistency into something more decisive.
AI verdict

SR 62 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Derrygarran Lad silks
Derrygarran Lad
Age 3 · 9-9
3228
70
57
66
3
9-9
18/1 8/1 18/1
Winless in his last four starts and ranked last on our figures, Derrygarran Lad faces a stiff ask here, though consecutive second-place finishes two and three starts back show some ability, and he has experience over today's trip and going, returning after 31 days off carrying 135 lb from stall three.
AI verdict

SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

3
Napolian silks
Napolian
Age 3 · 9-8
104726
69
55
67
3
9-8
16/1 17/2 16/1
Ranked bottom two on our figures and rated below the official mark, Napolian is hard to fancy on recent form that shows just one win in his last six starts, though he has run over today's distance and going before and draws stall one carrying 134 lb.
AI verdict

SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

4
Mo Anam Chara silks
Mo Anam Chara
Age 3 · 9-6
42-012
67
76
75
3
9-6
5/1 11/2 9/2
Mo Anam Chara shaped well when second last time out and was a winner two starts back, with experience over today's trip and going working in her favour; a 38-day break is the only mild query, but she rates narrowly the pick of these.
AI verdict

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Thornaby Annie silks
Thornaby Annie
Age 3 · 9-6
217276
67
66
74
3
9-6
17/2 11/2 15/2
Thornaby Annie shaped well for a second three starts back and a winner five starts back, and she returns quickly on 13 days' rest having already encountered today's trip and conditions — the risk is that her two most recent efforts were a sixth and a seventh.
AI verdict

SR 66 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Soca Star silks
Soca Star
Age 3 · 9-4
-25552
65
60
71
3
9-4
11/1 11/2 11/1
Twice runner-up in recent starts yet winless in her last five, Soca Star brings distance and going experience to the table from draw 6 carrying 130 lb, though a rating of 71 suggests she holds claims without looking an obvious threat to land this.
AI verdict

SR 60 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Hatamoto silks
Hatamoto
Age 3 · 9-3
116214
64
77
68
3
9-3
9/4 5/2 2/1
Hatamoto returns quickly on five days' rest and has run over today's trip and going, but ranked eighth of ten on our figures and rated a lowly 64 officially, he was only fourth last time out and faces a stiff task against stronger company here.
AI verdict

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Riffa Spirit silks
Riffa Spirit
Age 3 · 9-2
438768
63
38
68
3
9-2
40/1 16/1 40/1
SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
AI verdict

SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

9
Showtown silks
Showtown
Age 3 · 9-1
045888
62
63
74
3
9-1
12/1 FCST 11/1
Showtown catches the eye on our ratings, ranked second of ten in this field, and he has experience of both today's trip and conditions; the risk is that his recent form has left him winless in his last six starts.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Real Jack silks
Real Jack
Age 3 · 8-12
656772
59
70
69
3
8-12
7/2 4/1 10/3
Real Jack has run over today's trip and going, and his second last time out shows he can be competitive, though he has been winless in recent starts and his draw at stall ten is noted; at 124 lb, he remains one to keep an eye on rather than rely upon.
AI verdict

SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Kody B 12/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 15.00 11/1 12/1 Bet365
2 Derrygarran Lad 18/1 open 11.00 20/1 open 9.00 20/1 open 10.00 20/1 open 10.00 18/1 open 9.50 20/1 open 10.00 20/1 Paddy Power
3 Napolian 16/1 open 9.50 18/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 10.00 18/1 open 10.00 16/1 open 10.00 16/1 open 10.00 18/1 Paddy Power
4 Mo Anam Chara 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 9.00 5/1 open 7.50 5/1 open 7.50 5/1 open 7.50 9/2 open 8.00 5/1 Bet365
5 Thornaby Annie 17/2 open 8.50 9/1 open 6.50 17/2 open 7.50 17/2 open 7.50 17/2 open 7.50 15/2 open 8.00 9/1 Paddy Power
6 Soca Star 11/1 open 6.50 12/1 open 7.00 14/1 open 6.50 14/1 open 6.50 12/1 open 6.50 14/1 open 7.00 14/1 Coral
7 Hatamoto 9/4 open 3.75 2/1 open 3.50 9/4 open 3.50 9/4 open 3.50 9/4 open 3.50 2/1 open 3.50 9/4 Bet365
8 Riffa Spirit 40/1 open 17.00 50/1 open 23.00 50/1 open 19.00 50/1 open 19.00 50/1 open 19.00 50/1 open 21.00 50/1 Paddy Power
9 Showtown 12/1 open 15.00 11/1 11/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 13.00 12/1 Bet365
10 Real Jack 7/2 open 6.00 7/2 open 6.50 7/2 open 6.00 7/2 open 6.00 7/2 open 6.00 10/3 open 5.00 7/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Hatamoto

Speculative

Hatamoto owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (43) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/4 Tim Easterby David Allan
71% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Mo Anam Chara

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/1 · Geoffrey Harker
✓ Value Signal

Riffa Spirit

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Declan Carroll
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +16.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
90 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
34 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 7. Hatamoto
51.8 9/4
2 4. Mo Anam Chara
49.0 5/1
3 10. Real Jack
47.0 7/2
4 5. Thornaby Annie
46.2 17/2
5 6. Soca Star
44.8 11/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Hatamoto
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

7
Age 3 · 9-3
9/4
★★★☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Age 3 · 8-12
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 70 🐾

SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 3 · 9-6
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 3 · 9-6
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 66 🐾

SR 66 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 3 · 9-4
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾

SR 60 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 3 · 9-9
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 3 · 9-1
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 63 🐾

SR 63 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 3 · 9-8
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 55 🐾

SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

2
Age 3 · 9-9
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾

SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Hatamoto
Confidence: Speculative

Hatamoto leads the field on SR (77) and carries a light 9-3, giving it a meaningful weight advantage over Mo Anam Chara (SR:76, 9-6) and Real Jack (SR:70, 8-12). The Course:W2P2 record at Thirsk is a compelling specialist angle — two wins and two places at this track is the strongest course form in the field by some distance. The market has backed it in 16% from morning price to 2/1, confirming professional confidence. The GoingFit:- is the one concern on good ground, but the course affinity and Tim Easterby/David Allan combination (both solid strike rates at 11% and 13% respectively with substantial career samples) outweigh that reservation — Easterby regularly runs course specialists back quickly and this horse was out just 5 days ago suggesting peak fitness. Each-way alternative: Mo Anam Chara. Main danger: Real Jack — Real Jack (SR:70, 4/1) has shortened 15% in the market, carries the lightest weight in the field at 8-12, and Connor Beasley's 14% career strike rate is the strongest jockey statistic on the card — the visor first-time application and light weight combination could unlock improvement.

Case against 4 clamped
  • GoingFit:- on today's good ground is a direct red flag — Hatamoto's course wins may have come on different going, and the blank fit rating suggests it hasn't proven effective on this surface.
  • Ran just 5 days ago; while Easterby does recycle horses quickly, a bounce after a recent effort (Form shows '4' last time) is a real risk at the top of a handicap at 2/1.
  • MarkMv:+2 means the handicapper has nudged the mark up after recent form, squeezing the weight advantage; Mo Anam Chara at 9-6 is only 3lb heavier with an SR just 1 point below and a fresher 38-day b…
  • At 2/1 shortest price in the field, Hatamoto is fully exposed — its SR of 77 leaves minimal upside for the handicapper to exploit, and any underperformance at this odds-on-ish price represents poor e…
Shortlist Hatamoto, Mo Anam Chara, Real Jack
Each-way: Mo Anam Chara Danger: Real Jack

🗺 The Course Class 5

0m7f0y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Thirsk Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade