← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Bowel Cancer Screening Programme Saves Lives Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Red Hat Eagle
SPECULATIVE Advised 10/3 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Red Hat Eagle (SR 72, 10/3) is the joint top-rated runner but crucially carries the same 9-9 as The Childe Of Hale while sitting 7lb lower than at his last win (MarkMv:-7), representing the most favourable handicap mark of any horse in this field. His GoingFit:~ and DistFit:~ at 7f are workable on good ground, and Cieren Fallon (18% strike rate from 1,812 rides) is a clear upgrade in jockey quality over most rivals. The combination of a meaningful mark reduction, the top SR in the field, and a high-calibre jockey booking makes him the logical selection in a weak Class 5 contest. Each-way alternative: Folkene. Main danger: The Childe Of Hale — The Childe Of Hale matches Red Hat Eagle on SR (71) and weight (9-9), is a younger 4-year-old with potential upside, and last ran just 5 days ago suggesting connections are chasing a race — though the GoingFit:- and class rise (↑1) are real concerns.
Full result
Winner: Forest Caper (GB) at SP 12/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Forest Caper 14/1
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2
The Childe Of Hale Fox #2 7/2
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3
Red Hat Eagle Fox #1 10/3
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4
Folkene Fox #4 17/2
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5
Evocative Spark 14/1
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6
Avatar Jet 9/2
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7
Novak Fox #3 6/1
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8
Jenni 16/1
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9
Precious Spartan 28/1
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10
Surprised 18/1
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11
Camera Shy 12/1
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12
Honved 100/1
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Bay Breeze -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Red Hat Eagle 10/3 🥉 3RD
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2
The Childe Of Hale 10/3 🥈 2ND
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3
Novak 6/1 7TH
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4
Folkene 8/1 🏁 4TH