Thirsk 17:21 RESULTED
Class 5 14 Sep 2026

Monday 14 September Bowel Cancer Screening Programme Saves Lives Handicap Stakes

Bowel Cancer Screening Programme Saves Lives Handicap Stakes · 0m7f0y

Official Result

Bowel Cancer Screening Programme Saves Lives Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Forest Caper (GB) Daniel Tudhope · David O'Meara
    12/1
  2. 9/4F
  3. 7/2
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Settled
  • 12 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Bay Breeze silks
Bay Breeze Non-Runner
Age 7 · 8-11
734463
58
58OR
7
8-11
SP
1
Red Hat Eagle silks
Red Hat Eagle
Age 6 · 9-9
554752
70
72
76
6
9-9
10/3 FCST 3/1
Consistent placed form makes Red Hat Eagle a clear threat here — second last time out, he has run over today's trip and going, and our rating has him narrowly on top, though the challenge is he remains winless in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
The Childe Of Hale silks
The Childe Of Hale
Age 4 · 9-9
6-9051
65
71
75
4
9-9
7/2 FCST 10/3
Winner five days ago and fit as a fiddle, The Childe Of Hale brings strong recent form to this test, with experience of today's trip and conditions working in his favour; carrying 135 lb from stall 11 gives connections something to ponder, but his profile makes him our pick.
AI verdict

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Forest Caper silks
Forest Caper
Age 5 · 9-7
344205
68
54
75
5
9-7
14/1 17/2 14/1
Forest Caper shaped with plenty of promise when second three starts back and has run over today's trip and going, with our rating of 75 putting him right in contention from stall two; the concern is he has been winless in recent starts and must find more after finishing fifth last time out.
AI verdict

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

4
Evocative Spark silks
Evocative Spark
Age 7 · 9-7
171479
68
61
68
7
9-7
14/1 FCST 11/1
Evocative Spark showed he can win, landing victories four and six starts back in recent form, but back-to-back finishes of seventh and ninth since then are a concern; experience over today's trip and going, plus a 28-day break, give him something to build on from stall seven carrying 133 lb.
AI verdict

SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

5
Surprised silks
Surprised
Age 4 · 9-6
-06387
67
50
70
4
9-6
18/1 8/1 18/1
Winless in her last five starts, Surprised does at least return to familiar distance and going conditions, and a third three starts back offers a crumb of encouragement; however, 71 days off the track and a hefty 132 lb from stall nine are the obvious questions to answer.
AI verdict

SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

6
Folkene silks
Folkene
Age 4 · 9-6
-64047
67
62
69
4
9-6
17/2 FCST 8/1
Winless in her last five starts, Folkene has at least shown some consistency with a pair of fourth-place finishes in that sequence, though a seventh last time out tempers expectations; she has run over today's trip and going, carries 132 lb from stall eight, and returns on a quick ten-day turnaround.
AI verdict

SR 62 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Honved silks
Honved
Age 4 · 9-4
5540-0
65
43
71
4
9-4
100/1 FCST 66/1
Honved has run over today's distance and going and arrives here fresh on a 12-day turnaround, with our rating of 71 putting him notably ahead of his official mark; the concern is that he has been winless in his last five starts, with two unplaced efforts most recently testing patience.
AI verdict

SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 100/1.

8
Novak silks
Novak
Age 7 · 9-4
234421
65
71
69
7
9-4
6/1 11/2 6/1
Novak won last time out and has run over today's trip and going, which counts in his favour, but two finishes outside the frame in his last six starts suggest consistency remains a question, and 130 lb is no featherweight ask.
AI verdict

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Avatar Jet silks
Avatar Jet
Age 5 · 9-2
134755
63
64
67
5
9-2
9/2 5/1 4/1
Avatar Jet has mustered just one win in his last six starts, finishing fifth in each of his two most recent outings, and ranked ninth of twelve on our figures he faces a stiff task here; he has run over today's trip and going before, and 14 days between runs suggests he arrives fresh.
AI verdict

SR 64 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Camera Shy silks
Camera Shy
Age 4 · 9-0
764559
61
54
63
4
9-0
12/1 FCST 11/1
Camera Shy has been winless in his last six starts, finishing no better than fourth in recent outings, and ranked 11th of 12 on our figures he faces a stiff task here; the positives are limited to experience over today's trip and going, and a run just five days ago confirming fitness.
AI verdict

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

12
Jenni silks
Jenni
Age 5 · 8-10
-90465
57
47
59
5
8-10
16/1 8/1 16/1
Winless in her last five starts and ranked last on our figures, Jenni has little in her favour beyond experience over today's trip and going, and six days between runs suggests fitness is not the concern — her form simply makes her very hard to fancy here.
AI verdict

SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

13
Precious Spartan silks
Precious Spartan
Age 4 · 8-8
3-9807
55
36
63
4
8-8
28/1 33/1 25/1
Winless in his last five starts, with finishes of seventh, unplaced, eighth and ninth in four of those, Precious Spartan is hard to fancy at a lowly official rating of 55, though he has run over today's trip and going before and returns on a sharp 13-day turnaround.
AI verdict

SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Bay Breeze
1 Red Hat Eagle 10/3 open 5.50 10/3 open 4.00 7/2 7/2 7/2 3/1 open 4.33 7/2 Coral
2 The Childe Of Hale 7/2 10/3 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 7/2 7/2 Bet365
3 Forest Caper 14/1 open 9.50 14/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 10.00 16/1 open 10.00 16/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 19.00 16/1 Coral
4 Evocative Spark 14/1 open 12.00 11/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 12.00 18/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 18/1 Coral
5 Surprised 18/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 9.00 20/1 open 9.50 20/1 open 9.50 20/1 open 10.00 18/1 open 17.00 20/1 Coral
6 Folkene 17/2 open 15.00 8/1 8/1 open 11.00 8/1 open 11.00 17/2 open 11.00 8/1 17/2 Bet365
7 Honved 100/1 80/1 open 67.00 80/1 80/1 80/1 66/1 open 81.00 100/1 Bet365
8 Novak 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 13/2 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.50 13/2 13/2 Coral
9 Avatar Jet 9/2 open 6.50 4/1 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 9/2 Bet365
10 Camera Shy 12/1 open 12.00 11/1 open 13.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 Bet365
12 Jenni 16/1 open 9.00 18/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 9.50 18/1 open 9.50 16/1 open 10.00 18/1 open 10.00 18/1 Paddy Power
13 Precious Spartan 28/1 open 34.00 25/1 open 51.00 28/1 open 41.00 28/1 open 41.00 28/1 open 41.00 25/1 open 51.00 28/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Avatar Jet

Speculative

Avatar Jet owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (36) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/2 Declan Carroll Zak Wheatley
64% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Red Hat Eagle

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

10/3 · William Knight
✓ Value Signal

Precious Spartan

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Patrick Neville
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +13.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
79 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
31 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
55 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.3 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 9. Avatar Jet
50.1 9/2
2 1. Red Hat Eagle
50.1 10/3
3 2. The Childe Of Hale
48.3 7/2
4 8. Novak
47.8 6/1
5 6. Folkene
45.3 17/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Red Hat Eagle
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 6 · 9-9
10/3
★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 4 · 9-9
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 5 · 9-2
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 64 🐾

SR 64 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 7 · 9-4
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 4 · 9-6
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 4 · 9-0
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 54 🐾

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

3
Age 5 · 9-7
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 54 🐾

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

4
Age 7 · 9-7
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 61 🐾

SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

12
Age 5 · 8-10
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 47 🐾

SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

5
Age 4 · 9-6
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 50 🐾

SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Red Hat Eagle
Confidence: Speculative

Red Hat Eagle (SR 72, 10/3) is the joint top-rated runner but crucially carries the same 9-9 as The Childe Of Hale while sitting 7lb lower than at his last win (MarkMv:-7), representing the most favourable handicap mark of any horse in this field. His GoingFit:~ and DistFit:~ at 7f are workable on good ground, and Cieren Fallon (18% strike rate from 1,812 rides) is a clear upgrade in jockey quality over most rivals. The combination of a meaningful mark reduction, the top SR in the field, and a high-calibre jockey booking makes him the logical selection in a weak Class 5 contest. Each-way alternative: Folkene. Main danger: The Childe Of Hale — The Childe Of Hale matches Red Hat Eagle on SR (71) and weight (9-9), is a younger 4-year-old with potential upside, and last ran just 5 days ago suggesting connections are chasing a race — though the GoingFit:- and class rise (↑1) are real concerns.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form reads 554752 — no win in last 6 outings and has been beaten in similar Class 5 company repeatedly; the -7 mark reduction hasn't yet triggered a return to winning ways.
  • GoingFit:~ and DistFit:~ both unconfirmed — no solid evidence he handles today's exact 7f trip at Thirsk on current going, unlike rivals with course or distance form on record.
  • The Childe Of Hale (same SR 71, same weight, fresher 5-day turnaround, 3-star rating vs Red Hat Eagle's 2-star) represents equal market value with better recent handicap form (0051 run-style) and you…
  • Novak (SR 71, 6/1) carries 5lb less at 9-4, ran 234421 showing consistent placing form, and despite a slight market drift is only marginally longer — offering a credible same-SR threat at a superior…
Shortlist Red Hat Eagle, The Childe Of Hale, Novak, Folkene
Each-way: Folkene Danger: The Childe Of Hale

🗺 The Course Class 5

0m7f0y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
12 Confirmed runners
Thirsk Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade