← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
racingtv.com Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Mugheer
HIGH Advised 5/4 Est. 42%
Mr Fox says
Mugheer (SR:154, 5/4) is the clear class standout in this field, rating 13 points above the next best Paphos (SR:141) and a full 20 points clear of Cyberspace (SR:134). A winning debut (Form:1) at the same class level confirms the rating is grounded in performance, and the market has continued to shorten — in 5% since opening — reflecting stable confidence from the K.R. Burke yard (20% strike rate from 2,116 runners), a top-tier northern operation. Clifford Lee (17%, 1,562) is a competent booking. With just 9-7 on his back and the most progressive profile in a weak novice field, there is no compelling reason to oppose him. Each-way alternative: Muve On. Main danger: Paphos — Paphos (SR:141) is Declan Carroll's preferred runner over stablemate Rum Point — noted by the stronger jockey booking in Zak Wheatley and the higher SR — and while the 14% drift is a concern, a one-race form line (5th) in a 2yo leaves enough room for improvement to threaten if Mugheer under-performs.
Full result
Winner: Blake's Monarch (IRE) at SP 11/8. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Blake's Monarch 5/4
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2
Cyberspace Fox #3 16/1
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3
Paphos Fox #2 9/1
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4
Mugheer Fox #1 evn
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5
Muve On Fox #4 28/1
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6
Regal Adventure 80/1
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7
Rum Point 66/1
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8
Malulee 125/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Mugheer 5/4 🏁 4TH
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2
Paphos 8/1 🥉 3RD
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3
Cyberspace 14/1 🥈 2ND
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4
Muve On 22/1 5TH