Redcar 13:53 RESULTED
Class 4 15 Sep 2026

Tuesday 15 September racingtv.com Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)

racingtv.com Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race) · 0m5f0y

Official Result

racingtv.com Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Blake's Monarch (IRE) Jason Hart · Ivan Furtado
    11/8
  2. 14/1
  3. Third Paphos (IRE)
    15/2
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Settled
  • 8 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 6 days, 11 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Mugheer silks
Mugheer
Age 2 · 9-7
1
154
2
9-7
SP 6/5 Evs
SR 154 backed by market confidence at 5/4 — a genuine contender.
AI verdict

SR 154 backed by market confidence at 5/4 — a genuine contender.

2
Paphos silks
Paphos
Age 2 · 9-6
5
141
2
9-6
9/1 11/2 6/1
SR 141 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 141 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Rum Point silks
Rum Point
Age 2 · 9-6
0
119
2
9-6
66/1 40/1 50/1
SR 119 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 119 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Blake's Monarch silks
Blake's Monarch
Age 2 · 9-3
260
86
91
86OR
2
9-3
5/4 8/11 11/10
SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Cyberspace silks
Cyberspace
Age 2 · 9-3
5
134
2
9-3
16/1 9/1 12/1
SR 134 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 134 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Regal Adventure silks
Regal Adventure
Age 2 · 9-3
7
119
2
9-3
80/1 40/1 66/1
SR 119 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 119 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Muve On silks
Muve On
Age 2 · 9-0
128
2
9-0
28/1 FCST 18/1
SR 128 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 128 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Malulee silks
Malulee
Age 2 · 8-9
00
127
2
8-9
125/1 FCST 100/1
SR 127 suggests ability but 125/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 127 suggests ability but 125/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Mugheer evn open 2.88 1/1 open 2.25 evn open 2.20 evn open 2.20 evn open 2.38 evn open 2.25 evn Bet365
2 Paphos 9/1 open 9.00 8/1 open 7.00 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 8/1 open 7.00 15/2 open 6.50 9/1 Bet365
3 Rum Point 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 50/1 66/1 Bet365
4 Blake's Monarch 5/4 open 1.73 5/4 open 2.10 5/4 open 2.00 5/4 open 2.00 11/8 open 2.10 11/10 open 2.00 11/8 William Hill
5 Cyberspace 16/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 10.00 16/1 Bet365
6 Regal Adventure 80/1 open 67.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 80/1 Bet365
7 Muve On 28/1 open 26.00 25/1 open 21.00 18/1 18/1 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 28/1 Bet365
8 Malulee 125/1 open 101.00 100/1 100/1 100/1 100/1 100/1 125/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Paphos

Live signal

Paphos owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (78) and market confidence (59). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/1 Declan Carroll Zak Wheatley
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Mugheer

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

evn · K. R. Burke
✓ Value Signal

Regal Adventure

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

80/1 · Nigel Tinkler
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating High conviction
78 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +29.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +12.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Live signal
71 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +7.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
70 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +7.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +3.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Paphos
67.1 9/1
2 1. Mugheer
65.4 evn
3 4. Blake's Monarch
58.8 5/4
4 5. Cyberspace
57.2 16/1
5 6. Regal Adventure
51.6 80/1
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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🤖 AI view
Mugheer
High

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 2 · 9-3
5/4
★★★☆☆ SR 91 🐾

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 2 · 9-6
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 141 🐾

SR 141 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 2 · 9-3
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 134 🐾

SR 134 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Mugheer
Confidence: High

Mugheer (SR:154, 5/4) is the clear class standout in this field, rating 13 points above the next best Paphos (SR:141) and a full 20 points clear of Cyberspace (SR:134). A winning debut (Form:1) at the same class level confirms the rating is grounded in performance, and the market has continued to shorten — in 5% since opening — reflecting stable confidence from the K.R. Burke yard (20% strike rate from 2,116 runners), a top-tier northern operation. Clifford Lee (17%, 1,562) is a competent booking. With just 9-7 on his back and the most progressive profile in a weak novice field, there is no compelling reason to oppose him. Each-way alternative: Muve On. Main danger: Paphos — Paphos (SR:141) is Declan Carroll's preferred runner over stablemate Rum Point — noted by the stronger jockey booking in Zak Wheatley and the higher SR — and while the 14% drift is a concern, a one-race form line (5th) in a 2yo leaves enough room for improvement to threaten if Mugheer under-performs.

Case against 3
  • Mugheer's entire form basis rests on a single winning debut 20 days ago — one run is a thin sample on which to anchor a 13-point SR gap, and the opposition that day may have been substandard.
  • Blake's Monarch (11/10) is trading marginally shorter than Mugheer (5/4) despite a lower SR, suggesting the market — which has drifted Monarch out only 6% — sees a genuine threat the SR model may und…
  • Mugheer's SR of 154 from one juvenile run at this level has not been stress-tested against stronger opposition; the rating could compress sharply if today's form produces a harder fight than the debu…
Shortlist Mugheer, Paphos, Cyberspace, Muve On
Each-way: Muve On Danger: Paphos

🗺 The Course Class 4

0m5f0y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
8 Confirmed runners
Redcar Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade