← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Market Cross Jewellers Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Supplicate
SPECULATIVE Advised 6/4 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Supplicate (SR 93, 6/4) is the clear class leader in this field, carrying 9-12 which is a meaningful weight advantage over Obito (SR 89, 10-3) — 5lb lighter despite a near-equivalent ability level. The form string 51-111 reads as a horse in a purple patch, with three consecutive wins at the same class making this the strongest recent form in the race. Roger Varian's 20% career strike rate is the best of any trainer represented, and Jack Mitchell (16%) is a reliable booking. The 18% market drift is the one concern and cannot be ignored — but with GoingFit:? (unproven rather than poor on good ground) and DistFit:+, the drift is more likely nervousness about the unknown going bucket than a genuine stable signal, and the weight and form credentials override it. Each-way alternative: Magical Merlot. Main danger: Obito — Obito (SR 89, 11/4) has steamed in 14% in the market, carries proven course form (W0P2 at Redcar) and a confirmed distance record (DistFit:+), giving it the strongest course-and-distance profile in the field — Tudhope's 18% strike rate adds further weight to the market confidence despite the 10-3 burden.
Full result
Winner: Pol Roger (IRE) at SP 16/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Pol Roger 14/1
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2
Supplicate Fox #1 6/5
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3
Magical Merlot Fox #3 11/4
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4
Obito Fox #2 10/3
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5
Enamorus 40/1
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6
Panelli 40/1
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7
League of Justice 12/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3