Redcar 15:53 RESULTED
Class 4 15 Sep 2026

Tuesday 15 September Market Cross Jewellers Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)

Market Cross Jewellers Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race) · 1m2f1y

Official Result

Market Cross Jewellers Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Pol Roger (IRE) Connor Beasley · Michael Dods
    16/1
  2. 5/4F
  3. 9/4
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Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 6 days, 11 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Obito silks
Obito
Age 4 · 10-3
825513
86
89
94
4
10-3
10/3 3/1 10/3
Obito was a winner two starts back and shaped well with a third last time out, showing his form is in good order; he has run over today's trip and going before, and from stall two carrying 143 lb, he is the one to beat on his rating here.
AI verdict

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Supplicate silks
Supplicate
Age 3 · 9-12
51-111
87
93
84
3
9-12
6/5 Evs 11/10
Supplicate arrives on the back of four wins in her last five starts and has experience of today's trip and conditions, making her a serious threat at 138 lb from stall three — the slight query is whether 33 days between runs leaves her short of peak sharpness.
AI verdict

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Pol Roger silks
Pol Roger
Age 6 · 9-8
823412
77
80
81
6
9-8
14/1 5/1 14/1
Pol Roger shaped with plenty of promise when second last time out, and a winner two starts back, suggesting he retains his form well; he has experience over today's trip and going, and 134 lb is the chief query.
AI verdict

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Magical Merlot silks
Magical Merlot
Age 3 · 9-3
534341
78
88
85
3
9-3
11/4 10/3 9/4
Magical Merlot arrives on the back of a win last time out, has experience of today's distance and going, and his rating of 85 makes him a clear danger from stall five — the risk is that four of his last six starts have yielded only minor returns.
AI verdict

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
League of Justice silks
League of Justice
Age 3 · 9-0
643
75
55
60
3
9-0
12/1
Winless in his last three starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, League of Justice looks up against it here, though he returns on a quick turnaround, has experience of today's going, and that third last time out shows he can at least hit the frame.
AI verdict

SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

6
Panelli silks
Panelli
Age 4 · 8-11
224477
66
46
77
4
8-11
40/1 16/1 40/1
Winless in his last six starts, Panelli has posted back-to-back sevenths of late, though a brace of seconds and two fourths earlier in that sequence show he can be competitive; going experience helps, but he faces a stiff ask off 123 lb to reverse that recent slide.
AI verdict

SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

7
Enamorus silks
Enamorus
Age 3 · 8-8
3-5938
69
48
75
3
8-8
40/1 18/1 40/1
Winless in her last five starts and ranked sixth of seven on our figures, Enamorus faces a stiff task, with her trainer in poor nick at 5% over the past 14 days; a third one start back offers slim hope, and she does have experience over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Obito 10/3 open 5.00 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 Paddy Power
2 Supplicate 6/5 11/10 open 2.00 6/5 open 2.10 6/5 open 2.10 6/5 open 2.10 6/5 open 2.10 6/5 Bet365
3 Pol Roger 14/1 open 6.00 16/1 open 7.50 16/1 open 7.00 16/1 open 7.00 14/1 open 7.00 16/1 open 7.00 16/1 Paddy Power
4 Magical Merlot 11/4 open 5.00 11/4 open 5.00 5/2 open 5.00 5/2 open 5.00 11/4 open 5.00 9/4 open 4.33 11/4 Bet365
5 League of Justice 12/1 12/1 open 23.00 12/1 open 19.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 19.00 12/1 open 19.00 12/1 Bet365
6 Panelli 40/1 open 17.00 66/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 66/1 Paddy Power
7 Enamorus 40/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 19.00 40/1 open 19.00 40/1 open 19.00 40/1 open 19.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Magical Merlot

Speculative

Magical Merlot owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (49) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/4 Ed Dunlop Jason Hart
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Supplicate

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

6/5 · Roger Varian
✓ Value Signal

Enamorus

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Hugo Palmer
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +18.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
87 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Magical Merlot
55.6 11/4
2 2. Supplicate
55.6 6/5
3 1. Obito
53.5 10/3
4 3. Pol Roger
44.2 14/1
5 5. League of Justice
42.0 12/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Supplicate
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 3 · 9-12
6/5
★★★☆☆ SR 93 🐾

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 3 · 9-3
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 88 🐾

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 4 · 10-3
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 89 🐾

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 3 · 9-0
12/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 55 🐾

SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

3
Age 6 · 9-8
14/1
★★★☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Supplicate
Confidence: Speculative

Supplicate (SR 93, 6/4) is the clear class leader in this field, carrying 9-12 which is a meaningful weight advantage over Obito (SR 89, 10-3) — 5lb lighter despite a near-equivalent ability level. The form string 51-111 reads as a horse in a purple patch, with three consecutive wins at the same class making this the strongest recent form in the race. Roger Varian's 20% career strike rate is the best of any trainer represented, and Jack Mitchell (16%) is a reliable booking. The 18% market drift is the one concern and cannot be ignored — but with GoingFit:? (unproven rather than poor on good ground) and DistFit:+, the drift is more likely nervousness about the unknown going bucket than a genuine stable signal, and the weight and form credentials override it. Each-way alternative: Magical Merlot. Main danger: Obito — Obito (SR 89, 11/4) has steamed in 14% in the market, carries proven course form (W0P2 at Redcar) and a confirmed distance record (DistFit:+), giving it the strongest course-and-distance profile in the field — Tudhope's 18% strike rate adds further weight to the market confidence despite the 10-3 burden.

Case against 4 clamped
  • 18% market drift is a concrete stable signal — Varian runners drifting this sharply at a track like Redcar on a big-field Saturday rarely win; the money has gone to Obito (in 14%) and Magical Merlot…
  • GoingFit:? means Supplicate's three-timer was built on different ground conditions; if today's going is faster or softer than those wins, the SR 93 rating may not translate.
  • 33-day absence is the longest freshen-up in the field; Obito (16 days) and Magical Merlot (20 days) are sharper in their work cycle, and Varian's 3yo handicappers can need a race after a month off.
  • Magical Merlot (SR 88, 9-3) is only 5lb below Supplicate in the weights on a MarkMv of just +3, suggesting the handicapper has been more lenient with her; she is also market-backed and could be the u…
Shortlist Supplicate, Obito, Magical Merlot
Each-way: Magical Merlot Danger: Obito

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m2f1y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Redcar Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade