← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Cavani Fashion Forward Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Apex Star
SPECULATIVE Advised 10/3 Est. 27%
Mr Fox says
Apex Star holds the highest SR in the field at 69, a clear edge over Trust Sergei (SR 67) and Candy Warhol (SR 64), and crucially carries just 9-5 — 2lb less than the co-favourite Trust Sergei despite superior ability. The market has firmed 11% since opening, signalling informed money, and William Knight (15% strike rate, 638 runners) pairs with Marco Ghiani (16% strike rate, 1,645 runners) — the strongest trainer-jockey combination in this field. Form of 372033 shows consistent involvement at the sharp end, and the Class 6 level suits. The GoingFit:~ is a mild caveat but the AW surface at Wolverhampton normalises going concerns considerably. Each-way alternative: Em Jay Kay. Main danger: Trust Sergei — Trust Sergei (SR 67, 10/3) has an excellent course record of W2P4 at Wolverhampton — the strongest course form in the field — and drops a class, making this comfortably his easiest assignment on paper despite a GoingFit:- caveat on the AW.
Full result
Winner: Trust Sergei (GB) at SP 100/30. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Trust Sergei Fox #2 3/1
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2
Apex Star Fox #1 9/4
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3
Due Date 14/1
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4
Em Jay Kay Fox #4 12/1
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5
Candy Warhol Fox #3 9/2
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6
Papa Don't Preach 11/1
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7
Neapolitan 10/1
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8
Hidden Verse 50/1
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9
Mister Moet 50/1
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10
King Cherry 7/1
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11
Oasis Cover 80/1
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12
Lieutenant Sir 40/1
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—
My Dad Tom -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Apex Star 10/3 🥈 2ND
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2
Trust Sergei 10/3 SP 100/30 🏆 WON
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3
Candy Warhol 9/2 5TH
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4
Em Jay Kay 7/1 🏁 4TH