Trust Sergei ran a cracking race last time out, finishing second just seven days ago and looking in fine fettle off a quick turnaround, with experience over today's trip and going adding further confidence; the main risk is whether he can maintain that sharpness from stall 12 carrying 133 lb.
Form last 6213942
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
67SR62RPR55OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Candy Warhol has been consistently placed in his last three starts — third last time out, third two starts back, and second three starts back — and has run over today's trip and going, though he remains yet to win and a rating of 55 leaves him needing to find more against stronger rivals.
Form last 6744233
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
64SR58RPR55OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Ranked last on our figures, Due Date is winless in his last six starts, with a second two starts back offering the only encouragement; he has experience of today's distance and going, but at 133 lb from stall six he faces a stiff task.
Form last 6077624
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
48SR56RPR55OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked tenth of thirteen on our figures, Hidden Verse has little obvious appeal here, though he has run over today's trip and going before and a seventh last time out at least shows he finished the race.
Form last 6-65597
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
31SR58RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 31 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Papa Don't Preach arrives on the back of consecutive sixth-place efforts yet showed better when second three starts back, though he remains winless in recent starts and carries 132 lb from stall nine at a modest official mark of 54.
Form last 6393266
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
57SR59RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts, Neapolitan nonetheless steps up with a rating of 62 and has run over today's trip and going, while seven days between runs suggests he arrives fresh; stall three and 132 lb are the factors to weigh.
Form last 65006-7
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
50SR62RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Yet to score in his last five starts and drawn from stall eight carrying 131 lb, My Dad Tom has experience of today's trip and conditions but a trainer firing at just five per cent recently makes this a tough ask.
Form last 66-6640
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
34SR59RPR55OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
King Cherry has run over today's trip and going, brings a fitness edge at 19 days since his last start, and our rating puts him a clear notch above his official mark — solid credentials for a bold show; the concern is he remains winless in his last six starts, with that fourth last time out his best recent effort.
Form last 6586764
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
59SR60RPR55OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 59 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked 12 of 13 on our figures, Lieutenant Sir has struggled in his last three starts after a win four runs back, and at a rating of 55 he faces a stiff task here, though he has run over today's distance and going before and draws stall one.
Form last 6-31067
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
36SR56RPR55OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 36 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Apex Star shaped with real promise when third last time out and again two starts back, and the second four starts back reads well for a gelding rated 10 lb above his official mark; the main risk is that he remains yet to win in recent starts.
Form last 6372033
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
69SR65RPR55OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last six starts, Mister Moet does at least bring distance and going experience to the table, and 14 days since his last run suggests he arrives fresh, but a seventh last time out and a draw of 11 carrying 130 lb make improvement hard to envisage.
Form last 6624457
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
37SR59RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 37 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last six starts and ranked 11 of 13 on our figures, Em Jay Kay makes a difficult case to press; he has run over today's trip and going before, and 22 days since his last outing leaves him reasonably fresh, but the overall profile offers little encouragement.
Form last 6890804
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
57SR57RPR52OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Trust Sergei owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (37) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
3/1Gary HanmerJonny Peate
66%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Apex Star
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
9/4 · William Knight✓ Value Signal
Mister Moet
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
50/1 · Scott Dixon◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Apex Star holds the highest SR in the field at 69, a clear edge over Trust Sergei (SR 67) and Candy Warhol (SR 64), and crucially carries just 9-5 — 2lb less than the co-favourite Trust Sergei despite superior ability. The market has firmed 11% since opening, signalling informed money, and William Knight (15% strike rate, 638 runners) pairs with Marco Ghiani (16% strike rate, 1,645 runners) — the strongest trainer-jockey combination in this field. Form of 372033 shows consistent involvement at the sharp end, and the Class 6 level suits. The GoingFit:~ is a mild caveat but the AW surface at Wolverhampton normalises going concerns considerably.
Each-way alternative: Em Jay Kay.
Main danger: Trust Sergei — Trust Sergei (SR 67, 10/3) has an excellent course record of W2P4 at Wolverhampton — the strongest course form in the field — and drops a class, making this comfortably his easiest assignment on paper despite a GoingFit:- caveat on the AW.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Course record W0P2 — Apex Star has visited Wolverhampton twice without placing, suggesting this track may not suit, despite the AW surface normalising some going issues.
Form reads 372033: three consecutive finishes of 0 (unplaced) at the tail of that sequence; the horse has not hit the frame in its last three runs, raising doubts about current form.
No headgear entry for Apex Star while several rivals (King Cherry, Papa Don't Preach, Candy Warhol) are fitted with cheekpieces or tongue-ties that could give them a tactical sharpness advantage toda…
King Cherry (SR:59, Stuart Williams 14% TR, Sean Levey 13% JR) is a 3yo on a lower weight (9-5 equal) with a stronger trainer-jockey combo by strike rate and may be underestimated at 11/2 drifting in…
ShortlistApex Star, Trust Sergei, Candy Warhol, Em Jay Kay