← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox

Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com "Confined" Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D, Which Have Run No More Than Twice) (Div I) (GBB Race)

16:59 Wolverhampton (AW) Tue 15 Sep 2026 6f20y Class 5 Good 12 runners

View the racecard →

Mr Fox’s call

Thames Waterman silks

Thames Waterman

MEDIUM Advised 1/2 SP 1/9F Est. 52%

🏆 WON

Mr Fox says

Thames Waterman (SR 154, 1/2) is a class apart in this field — a 6-point SR edge over the next best Darjeel (SR 148) and a 14-point gap on the third-rated runner. Already a winner at Wolverhampton (Course:W1P1) which is a significant advantage on this specialist AW track, and the market has continued to shorten, now in 14% from opening. At age 2 carrying 9-11 with a clean win on the board and proven course form, the evidence across SR, market confidence, and course record all point the same direction. The 158-day break is the one note of caution, but Richard Hughes at 15% strike rate with a 14% market move suggests connections are satisfied with the prep. Each-way alternative: Darjeel. Main danger: Darjeel — Darjeel (SR 148, 10/3) is dropping a class, carries a 7lb weight advantage over Thames Waterman at 9-4 vs 9-11, and Sean Levey's booking at 13% career strike rate is reliable — though the 15% market drift is a concern that needs explaining away.

Verify· #17917

Full result

Winner: Thames Waterman (GB) at SP 1/9F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Thames Waterman silks Thames Waterman Fox #1 Richard Hughes · Finley Marsh 1/5
  2. 2 Christmas Is Comin silks Christmas Is Comin Fox #3 Sophie Leech · Josephine Gordon 10/1
  3. 3 Lowcountry silks Lowcountry Tom Ward · Alec Voikhansky 40/1
  4. 4 Taranis silks Taranis Eve Johnson Houghton · Charles Bishop 33/1
  5. 5 Ghazalia silks Ghazalia Hilal Kobeissi · Cieren Fallon 20/1
  6. 6 Cosmocrat silks Cosmocrat Scott Dixon · Kieran O'Neill 50/1
  7. 7 Without Fail silks Without Fail Michael Bell · Rob Hornby 66/1
  8. 8 Picnic Princess silks Picnic Princess Richard & Peter Fahey · Cam Hardie 16/1
  9. 9 Redrosecastana silks Redrosecastana Christopher Kellett · Gina Mangan 200/1
  10. 10 Kitty Rey silks Kitty Rey Ollie Sangster · Sean Dylan Bowen 12/1
  11. — Darjeel silks Darjeel Fox #2 Richard Hannon · Sean Levey 10/3
  12. — Amorance silks Amorance James Horton · George Wood -

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Thames Waterman silks Thames Waterman 1/2 SP 1/9F 🏆 WON
  2. 2 Darjeel silks Darjeel 10/3
  3. 3 Christmas Is Comin silks Christmas Is Comin 11/1 🥈 2ND