← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Cavani Style & Speed Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Ballybunion
SPECULATIVE Advised 15/8 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Ballybunion (SR:71, 15/8) is the class leader in this field by a clear margin, carrying a manageable 9-10 and dropping a tier (ClassMv:↓1) into Class 6 company. GoingFit:+ confirms proven ability on today's going, and the market has shortened 7% (Mkt:in7%) with Oisin Murphy — a 22% career strike rate jockey — booked, which is a strong connections signal. The main concern is DistFit:? at this trip, but the class drop and Michael Bell's 14% yard strike rate provide sufficient corroboration for a confident selection. The 15/8 price still offers fair value against a field where the next-best SR is Baloo's Blues at 70. Each-way alternative: Baloo's Blues. Main danger: Baloo's Blues — Baloo's Blues (SR:70, 9/2) drops a class, carries DistFit:+ over this trip, and Charles Hills' yard operates at 15% — the GoingFit:- is the key reservation, but on AW at Wolverhampton the going designation matters less than on turf, and Jason Watson at 13% is a reliable booking.
Full result
Winner: The Dark Baron (IRE) at SP 12/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
The Dark Baron 10/1
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2
Baloo's Blues Fox #2 9/2
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3
Have You A Minute 9/1
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4
Norflondonforever 15/2
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5
Sahm Naif 18/1
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6
Eagle Day Fox #3 17/2
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7
Ballybunion Fox #1 15/8
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8
Magic Runner 28/1
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9
Snaafy 14/1
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10
Stipulation 8/1
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11
Special Ghaiyyath 40/1
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12
Amrum 25/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Ballybunion 15/8 7TH
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2
Baloo's Blues 9/2 🥈 2ND
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3
Eagle Day 8/1 6TH