Wolverhampton (AW) 19:30 RESULTED
Class 6 15 Sep 2026

Tuesday 15 September Cavani Style & Speed Handicap Stakes

Cavani Style & Speed Handicap Stakes · 1m1f104y

Official Result

Cavani Style & Speed Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner The Dark Baron (IRE) Charlie Tucker · Kathy Turner
    12/1
  2. 4/1
  3. 16/1
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Settled
  • 12 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 6 days, 11 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Eagle Day silks
Eagle Day
Age 6 · 10-0
049456
63
60
71
6
10-0
17/2 FCST 13/2
Eagle Day arrives on a retrieval curve after a fourth three starts back, with experience over today's trip and going lending him a solid foundation; our rating of 71 puts him second in this field of twelve, though he remains winless in recent starts and that consistency at the wrong end of the frame is the chief concern.
AI verdict

SR 60 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Baloo's Blues silks
Baloo's Blues
Age 4 · 10-0
-52914
63
70
72
4
10-0
9/2 4/1 9/2
Baloo's Blues showed he can win at this level when scoring two starts back, and he returns fit enough at 54 days off with experience of today's trip and conditions working in his favour; the worry is a below-par fourth last time out that he must improve on.
AI verdict

SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
The Dark Baron silks
The Dark Baron
Age 4 · 9-13
136444
62
55
66
4
9-13
10/1 FCST 7/1
Three consecutive fourths in recent starts suggests The Dark Baron finds one angle to exploit but not enough to convert, and while he did score six starts back, a 47-day absence and a rating of 62 officially leave questions over his readiness to break that frustrating run.
AI verdict

SR 55 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Special Ghaiyyath silks
Special Ghaiyyath
Age 4 · 9-13
897477
62
38
67
4
9-13
40/1 22/1 25/1
Special Ghaiyyath is winless in his last six starts, though a fourth three starts back offers a crumb of encouragement; he returns quickly on 12 days' rest, has run over today's distance and going, and our rating nudges above his official mark, yet the weight of 139 lb is a stern ask.
AI verdict

SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

5
Norflondonforever silks
Norflondonforever
Age 5 · 9-12
-80047
61
57
69
5
9-12
15/2 17/2 11/2
Winless in his last five starts, Norflondonforever nevertheless shaped with promise when fourth two starts back, and a return to today's distance and going suits; fit on a 14-day turnaround and carrying 138 lb from stall 11, he catches the eye on a rating of 69.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Stipulation silks
Stipulation
Age 5 · 9-11
386762
60
57
65
5
9-11
8/1 6/1 8/1
Winless in his last six starts, with a string of mid-pack efforts punctuating that run, Stipulation's sole encouragement is a runner-up finish last time out and experience over today's trip and going, but carrying 137 lb from stall 12 and ranked ninth of twelve on our figures, he looks hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Ballybunion silks
Ballybunion
Age 3 · 9-10
2-0643
65
71
70
3
9-10
15/8 9/4 32/17
Ballybunion has been knocking on the door in recent starts, finishing third last time out and a second five starts back, and he handles today's going, giving him every chance from stall nine on 136 lb; the concern is he remains yet to win in his last five starts.
AI verdict

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Sahm Naif silks
Sahm Naif
Age 3 · 9-7
411564
62
41
65
3
9-7
18/1 10/1 12/1
Sahm Naif won back-to-back races four and five starts back, but has found only fourth, fifth and sixth since, and that sequence of misses is the concern; he has run over today's trip and going, carries 133 lb from stall eight, and returns on a sharp eight-day turnaround.
AI verdict

SR 41 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Amrum silks
Amrum
Age 3 · 9-7
796189
62
57
67
3
9-7
25/1 8/1 18/1
Amrum showed he can find the winner's enclosure when scoring three starts back, but his two most recent efforts — ninth and eighth — make that look increasingly distant, and he faces a stiff ask off 133 lb at a mark of 62.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Snaafy silks
Snaafy
Age 3 · 9-6
-35295
61
43
63
3
9-6
14/1 12/1 11/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked tenth of twelve on our figures, Snaafy is hard to fancy, though a second three starts back and fitness after 31 days offer slim encouragement; he has run over today's trip and going, and carries 132 lb from stall seven.
AI verdict

SR 43 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Magic Runner silks
Magic Runner
Age 4 · 9-3
570576
52
39
59
4
9-3
28/1 20/1 18/1
Winless in her last six starts, Magic Runner has struggled for consistency and ranks near the foot of this field on our figures, making her hard to fancy despite the fitness angle of a run 14 days ago and experience over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

12
Have You A Minute silks
Have You A Minute
Age 6 · 9-2
560-92
51
56
56
6
9-2
9/1 6/1 7/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Have You A Minute is hard to fancy despite a second last time out; he has run over today's trip and going before, and 30 days since his last outing suggests he returns fresh.
AI verdict

SR 56 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Eagle Day 17/2 open 7.50 9/1 open 8.00 13/2 open 8.00 13/2 open 8.00 9/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 8.00 10/1 Betfred
2 Baloo's Blues 9/2 open 8.00 9/2 open 5.00 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 open 5.50 9/2 9/2 5/1 Coral
3 The Dark Baron 10/1 open 10.00 9/1 open 8.00 7/1 open 8.50 7/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 8.50 11/1 open 8.50 11/1 Betfred
4 Special Ghaiyyath 40/1 open 23.00 33/1 25/1 open 29.00 25/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 28/1 40/1 Bet365
5 Norflondonforever 15/2 open 9.50 15/2 open 13.00 11/2 open 11.00 11/2 open 11.00 15/2 open 11.00 13/2 open 11.00 15/2 Bet365
6 Stipulation 8/1 open 7.00 17/2 open 7.50 17/2 open 7.50 17/2 open 7.50 17/2 open 7.50 17/2 open 7.50 17/2 Paddy Power
7 Ballybunion 15/8 open 4.33 2/1 open 3.25 15/8 open 3.25 15/8 open 3.25 2/1 open 3.25 15/8 open 3.25 2/1 Paddy Power
8 Sahm Naif 18/1 open 11.00 14/1 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 18/1 Bet365
9 Amrum 25/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 9.00 25/1 open 11.00 25/1 open 11.00 22/1 open 11.00 25/1 open 11.00 25/1 Bet365
10 Snaafy 14/1 open 13.00 12/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 17.00 14/1 Bet365
11 Magic Runner 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 23.00 18/1 open 26.00 18/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 Bet365
12 Have You A Minute 9/1 open 7.00 17/2 open 13.00 7/1 7/1 17/2 open 8.50 17/2 open 8.00 9/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Ballybunion

Speculative

Ballybunion owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (39) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

15/8 Michael Bell Oisin Murphy
78% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Norflondonforever

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

15/2 · Faye Bramley
✓ Value Signal

Amrum

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Ollie Sangster
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +15.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.1 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
33 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
35 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 7. Ballybunion
53.7 15/8
2 5. Norflondonforever
47.9 15/2
3 2. Baloo's Blues
46.6 9/2
4 1. Eagle Day
44.3 17/2
5 6. Stipulation
44.2 8/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Ballybunion
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

7
Age 3 · 9-10
15/8
★★★☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 4 · 10-0
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 70 🐾

SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 5 · 9-12
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾

SR 57 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 5 · 9-11
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾

SR 57 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 6 · 10-0
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾

SR 60 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Age 6 · 9-2
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 56 🐾

SR 56 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 4 · 9-13
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 55 🐾

SR 55 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 3 · 9-6
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 43 🐾

SR 43 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 3 · 9-7
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 41 🐾

SR 41 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Ballybunion
Confidence: Speculative

Ballybunion (SR:71, 15/8) is the class leader in this field by a clear margin, carrying a manageable 9-10 and dropping a tier (ClassMv:↓1) into Class 6 company. GoingFit:+ confirms proven ability on today's going, and the market has shortened 7% (Mkt:in7%) with Oisin Murphy — a 22% career strike rate jockey — booked, which is a strong connections signal. The main concern is DistFit:? at this trip, but the class drop and Michael Bell's 14% yard strike rate provide sufficient corroboration for a confident selection. The 15/8 price still offers fair value against a field where the next-best SR is Baloo's Blues at 70. Each-way alternative: Baloo's Blues. Main danger: Baloo's Blues — Baloo's Blues (SR:70, 9/2) drops a class, carries DistFit:+ over this trip, and Charles Hills' yard operates at 15% — the GoingFit:- is the key reservation, but on AW at Wolverhampton the going designation matters less than on turf, and Jason Watson at 13% is a reliable booking.

Case against 4 clamped
  • DistFit:? is a genuine red flag — Ballybunion has no confirmed form at today's trip, and on an AW track where pace dynamics are critical, an unproven stayer can be found out late.
  • Recent form string 2-0643 shows a deteriorating sequence: a 6th and 4th in latest starts with no win since at least the gap in the form, suggesting current-cycle flatness rather than a horse building…
  • No Course record listed — Ballybunion has zero recorded runs at Wolverhampton, while rivals Baloo's Blues (SR:70) and others have previous AW/course experience to draw on.
  • At 15/8 in a 12-runner Class 6 handicap, Ballybunion is a short-priced favourite with only a 1-point SR edge over Baloo's Blues (71 vs 70), yet Baloo's Blues has Charles Hills (15% SR) and is fresher…
Shortlist Ballybunion, Baloo's Blues, Eagle Day
Each-way: Baloo's Blues Danger: Baloo's Blues

🗺 The Course Class 6

1m1f104y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
12 Confirmed runners
Wolverhampton (AW) Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade