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Mr Fox’s call
Le Rouge Chinois
MEDIUM Advised 9/4 Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Le Rouge Chinois (SR:68, 9/4) is the clear class standout in this field, carrying 9-9 with a SR of 68 — comfortably ahead of the next-best Saxophonic (SR:61) and every other runner. The market has spoken emphatically with a 22% inward move, and Oisin Murphy (22% strike rate, 2,674 career rides) is a significant booking for a Class 6 Wolverhampton handicap. Crucially, the MarkMv:-15 tells us this horse is running off a mark 15lb lower than its last win, representing a significant handicapper's gift. Form string 180223 (right-to-left: last run 3rd, then 2nd, then 2nd, 0, 8, 1) shows the horse was winning and has retained competitive form; the Michael Appleby yard (13%, 1,683 runners) is a volume operation that places horses well, and at 9/4 with this weight of evidence, the selection is straightforward. Each-way alternative: Saxophonic. Main danger: Saxophonic — Saxophonic (SR:61, 5/2) is the second-highest-rated horse in the field, carries a favourable 8-10, is trained by David Simcock (14% strike rate), and at 5/2 the market clearly rates it a live rival — though its 15% drift and GoingFit:- are mild concerns that keep it behind the selection.
Full result
Winner: Saxophonic (GB) at SP 3/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Saxophonic Fox #2 5/2
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2
D Day Major Winter 15/2
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3
Clipsham Noble 15/2
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4
Echo Valley 16/1
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5
Sumatran Tiger 80/1
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6
This Rib 11/1
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7
Dinah Myte Fox #3 11/2
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8
Pink Walls 100/1
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Le Rouge Chinois Fox #1 9/4
Top 4 — how each finished
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