Consistent sort on his day, Le Rouge Chinois has been knocking on the door in recent starts — third last time out and placed in the two runs prior — and has experience over today's trip and going; top-rated here off 135 lb, he merits respect.
Form last 6180223
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
68SR68RPR55OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in her last two starts and returning after a lengthy 122-day absence, Sumatran Tiger is hard to fancy on these figures, ranked eighth of nine; the win two starts back offers a crumb of hope, but she faces a stiff task here.
Form last 6214/5-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
29SR50RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 29 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 100/1.
Clipsham Noble shaped well when third last time out and has going experience to call on, but a fourth two starts back tempers expectations; a winner three starts back, he arrives fit on a 14-day turnaround carrying 130 lb.
Form last 6146143
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
54SR54RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Dinah Myte showed she retains ability when winning last time out, but three finishes outside the places in her last six starts highlight the inconsistency that holds her back; she has run over today's going before and the 128 lb burden is no help.
Form last 6423661
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
54SR54RPR48OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last five starts, with placings no better than fourth, D Day Major Winter is hard to fancy from a lowly official mark of 44, though he has run over today's going before and returns on a respectable 20-day break.
Form last 67-6854
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
44SR50RPR44OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 44 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five starts and ranked last on our figures, Pink Walls faces a stiff task here; she has run over today's going before and 21 days between runs suggests she arrives fresh, but her recent string of mid-to-rear finishes makes her hard to fancy.
Form last 660986/
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
10SR43RPR38OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 10 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 80/1.
Placed last time out and carrying a workable 123 lb, Echo Valley has run over today's going and our rating of 55 marks her out as a lively threat in this field; the main concern is the 89-day absence leaving her short of peak fitness.
Form last 6770742
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
44SR55RPR51OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 44 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts, This Rib does show a fourth two runs back as his best recent effort and arrives here fit on a 20-day turnaround with distance and going experience in his favour; the concern is that consistent improvement has proved elusive.
Form last 6-P0546
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
50SR61RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 50 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Saxophonic has been knocking on the door in recent starts, with a third five starts back showing he can threaten at this level, and he returns after 25 days on going he has encountered before; the risk is that he has been winless in his last five starts.
Form last 6-38644
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
61SR60RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Le Rouge Chinois owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (38) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
9/4Michael ApplebyOisin Murphy
67%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Saxophonic
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
5/2 · David Simcock✓ Value Signal
Pink Walls
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
100/1 · Michael Mullineaux◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Le Rouge Chinois (SR:68, 9/4) is the clear class standout in this field, carrying 9-9 with a SR of 68 — comfortably ahead of the next-best Saxophonic (SR:61) and every other runner. The market has spoken emphatically with a 22% inward move, and Oisin Murphy (22% strike rate, 2,674 career rides) is a significant booking for a Class 6 Wolverhampton handicap. Crucially, the MarkMv:-15 tells us this horse is running off a mark 15lb lower than its last win, representing a significant handicapper's gift. Form string 180223 (right-to-left: last run 3rd, then 2nd, then 2nd, 0, 8, 1) shows the horse was winning and has retained competitive form; the Michael Appleby yard (13%, 1,683 runners) is a volume operation that places horses well, and at 9/4 with this weight of evidence, the selection is straightforward.
Each-way alternative: Saxophonic.
Main danger: Saxophonic — Saxophonic (SR:61, 5/2) is the second-highest-rated horse in the field, carries a favourable 8-10, is trained by David Simcock (14% strike rate), and at 5/2 the market clearly rates it a live rival — though its 15% drift and GoingFit:- are mild concerns that keep it behind the selection.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Course record is W0P1 — never won at Wolverhampton AW despite having tried it, which is a notable negative given this is a specialist track where course form matters.
Carrying 9-9 in a Class 6 handicap is a significant weight burden; at 6yo running off a mark 15lb below last win, the handicapper may have left the mark high enough that rivals still get plenty of we…
Form string 180223 (right-to-left) reveals a '0' (pulled up or refused?) and an '8' in recent efforts — the competitive 2nds and 3rd mask some very poor runs that may indicate inconsistency rather th…
Saxophonic (SR:61, 5/2) is a lightly-raced 3yo on a flat mark (+0 MarkMv) getting 13lb from Le Rouge Chinois — the age/weight-for-age allowance plus light campaign could make this rival seriously und…