← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
"GRC 30" Anniversary Of Yarmouth" Nursery Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Javelot
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/8 Est. 34%
Mr Fox says
Javelot (SR:77, 11/8) is the class standout in this field, carrying the highest Saturday Rating by 3lb over the next-best and doing so off a manageable 9-6. The form string of 4-1 is notably progressive — a win last time out dropping into Class 5 — and the market has backed that up with a 9% inward move, confirming stable confidence. Marco Botti (16% strike rate, 858 runners) is a competent handler and Silvestre De Sousa at 14% on 1,561 career rides is a proven big-field jockey. The DistFit:? and GoingFit:? flags are a concern given soft conditions at 7f, but every runner in this field shares the same unknown going profile — making it a level playing field on that dimension — and the class/SR edge is too significant to dismiss. Each-way alternative: Asgar. Main danger: Asgar — Asgar (SR:74, 9/2) is the second-highest rated runner, trained by the in-form Clive Cox (17%) with Hector Crouch at 19%, dropping a class and running just 13 days ago suggesting peak fitness — if the form figure of 6 last time is an underperformance on unsuitable going, it could bounce back sharply here.
Full result
Winner: Asgar (IRE) at SP 5/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Asgar Fox #2 11/2
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2
Kigali 18/1
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3
Lilywhite Hart Fox #4 9/1
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4
Green Titan 8/1
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5
Javelot Fox #1 11/8
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6
Rocket Boots 8/1
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7
Mandolin Rain Fox #3 10/1
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8
Indian Land 10/1
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King of Montenegro 18/1
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Regal Tiger -
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Agitator -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Javelot 11/8 5TH
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2
Asgar 9/2 SP 5/1 🏆 WON
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3
Mandolin Rain 14/1 7TH
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4
Lilywhite Hart 10/1 🥉 3RD