Yarmouth 15:47 RESULTED
Class 5 15 Sep 2026

Tuesday 15 September "GRC 30" Anniversary Of Yarmouth" Nursery Handicap Stakes

"GRC 30" Anniversary Of Yarmouth" Nursery Handicap Stakes · 0m7f3y

Official Result

"GRC 30" Anniversary Of Yarmouth" Nursery Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Asgar (IRE) Hector Crouch · Clive Cox
    5/1
  2. Second Kigali (GB)
    33/1
  3. 9/2
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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 2 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 6 days, 10 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Regal Tiger silks
Regal Tiger Non-Runner
Age 2 · 9-7
422
73
73OR
2
9-7
SP
?
Agitator silks
Agitator Non-Runner
Age 2 · 9-8
0100
74
78
2
9-8
SP FCST 12/1
Agitator showed he knows how to win with a victory three starts back, and his experience over today's trip is a useful asset carrying 134 lb from stall 10; the concern is that two unplaced runs since that success leave his current form under a cloud.
1
Asgar silks
Asgar
Age 2 · 9-9
946
75
74
78
2
9-9
11/2 9/2 5/1
Winless in his last three starts, Asgar has nonetheless shown enough ability to be taken seriously here, with experience over today's trip and going and a our rating of 78 putting him right in the mix from stall five; the risk is that his recent consistency has been patchy.
AI verdict

SR 74 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Rocket Boots silks
Rocket Boots
Age 2 · 9-7
4240
73
68
81
2
9-7
8/1 12/1 11/2
Rocket Boots shaped well for a second three starts back and our rating of 81 marks him out as the one to beat here, though he arrives winless in his last four starts and a 47-day absence will need to be overcome off 133 lb from stall six.
AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Javelot silks
Javelot
Age 2 · 9-6
41
72
77
64
2
9-6
11/8 18/13 5/4
Ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Javelot faces a stiff ask at 132 lb from stall 11, though he does arrive on the back of a win last time out and has run over today's trip before.
AI verdict

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
King of Montenegro silks
King of Montenegro
Age 2 · 9-4
5924
70
60
80
2
9-4
18/1 10/1 18/1
Second in his last four starts and carrying a handy 130 lb from stall one, King of Montenegro has run over today's trip and our rating of 80 marks him as a serious threat to the top-rated runner; the main concern is that he is yet to win in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 60 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Indian Land silks
Indian Land
Age 2 · 9-3
017
69
63
67
2
9-3
10/1 11/2 10/1
Indian Land won two starts back but was seventh last time out, and at 75 days between runs he arrives distinctly short of fitness signals; ranked eighth of ten on our figures, with a speed rating of 54, he is hard to fancy despite having run over today's trip.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Green Titan silks
Green Titan
Age 2 · 9-2
02647
68
66
73
2
9-2
8/1 15/2 7/1
Winless in his last five starts, Green Titan does at least bring distance and going experience to the table, and a 12-day turnaround suggests he arrives fresh; however, his recent efforts have been largely disappointing, and he'll need to find more from stall eight off 128 lb.
AI verdict

SR 66 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Kigali silks
Kigali
Age 2 · 9-1
6799
67
56
71
2
9-1
18/1 15/2 18/1
Winless in his last four starts and held to mid-to-rear finishes throughout, Kigali does at least carry experience of today's trip and returns after a 40-day break that could freshen him, though his speed rating of 55 leaves plenty to prove against this field.
AI verdict

SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

10
Lilywhite Hart silks
Lilywhite Hart
Age 2 · 9-1
9556
67
67
74
2
9-1
9/1 16/1 15/2
Winless in her last four starts, with a pair of fifth-place finishes two and three starts back offering modest encouragement, Lilywhite Hart has run over today's trip and returns after 20 days off, but her speed rating of 62 suggests she will need to find more to threaten at the head of affairs.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Mandolin Rain silks
Mandolin Rain
Age 2 · 9-0
44
66
60
66
2
9-0
10/1 9/1 13/2
Winless in her last two starts with consecutive fourths, Mandolin Rain faces a stiff ask from stall nine carrying 126 lb, and a trainer striking at just five per cent over the past fortnight does little to inspire confidence, despite her experience over today's trip.
AI verdict

SR 60 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Regal Tiger
0 Agitator 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 Bet365
1 Asgar 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 5/1 open 5.50 11/2 Bet365
3 Rocket Boots 8/1 open 15.00 15/2 open 13.00 15/2 open 13.00 11/2 open 13.00 15/2 open 13.00 7/1 open 13.00 8/1 Bet365
5 Javelot 11/8 open 2.50 11/8 open 2.50 5/4 open 2.50 5/4 open 2.50 5/4 open 2.50 5/4 open 2.38 11/8 Bet365
6 King of Montenegro 18/1 open 12.00 18/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 11.00 20/1 open 11.00 20/1 open 11.00 20/1 William Hill
7 Indian Land 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 6.50 10/1 open 7.00 10/1 open 7.00 11/1 open 7.00 11/1 open 7.50 11/1 William Hill
8 Green Titan 8/1 open 8.50 8/1 15/2 15/2 8/1 open 8.50 7/1 open 8.50 8/1 Bet365
9 Kigali 18/1 open 8.50 20/1 open 11.00 20/1 open 9.50 20/1 open 9.50 20/1 open 9.50 20/1 open 10.00 20/1 Paddy Power
10 Lilywhite Hart 9/1 open 23.00 15/2 open 26.00 17/2 open 23.00 17/2 open 23.00 9/1 open 23.00 17/2 open 17.00 9/1 Bet365
11 Mandolin Rain 10/1 open 29.00 9/1 open 26.00 9/1 open 26.00 13/2 open 26.00 10/1 open 26.00 17/2 open 10.00 10/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Asgar

Speculative

Asgar owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (41) and market confidence (75). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/2 Clive Cox Hector Crouch
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Javelot

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/8 · Marco Botti
✓ Value Signal

Kigali

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

18/1 · Ollie Sangster
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +15.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
75 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +16.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
34 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.1 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Asgar
52.2 11/2
2 5. Javelot
51.6 11/8
3 3. Rocket Boots
48.5 8/1
4 10. Lilywhite Hart
46.2 9/1
5 8. Green Titan
43.9 8/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Javelot
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 2 · 9-6
11/8
★★★☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 2 · 9-9
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾

SR 74 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 2 · 9-7
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾

SR 68 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 2 · 9-2
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 66 🐾

SR 66 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 2 · 9-1
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾

SR 67 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 2 · 9-3
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 63 🐾

SR 63 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 2 · 9-0
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾

SR 60 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 2 · 9-4
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾

SR 60 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 2 · 9-1
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 56 🐾

SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Javelot
Confidence: Speculative

Javelot (SR:77, 11/8) is the class standout in this field, carrying the highest Saturday Rating by 3lb over the next-best and doing so off a manageable 9-6. The form string of 4-1 is notably progressive — a win last time out dropping into Class 5 — and the market has backed that up with a 9% inward move, confirming stable confidence. Marco Botti (16% strike rate, 858 runners) is a competent handler and Silvestre De Sousa at 14% on 1,561 career rides is a proven big-field jockey. The DistFit:? and GoingFit:? flags are a concern given soft conditions at 7f, but every runner in this field shares the same unknown going profile — making it a level playing field on that dimension — and the class/SR edge is too significant to dismiss. Each-way alternative: Asgar. Main danger: Asgar — Asgar (SR:74, 9/2) is the second-highest rated runner, trained by the in-form Clive Cox (17%) with Hector Crouch at 19%, dropping a class and running just 13 days ago suggesting peak fitness — if the form figure of 6 last time is an underperformance on unsuitable going, it could bounce back sharply here.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Javelot's sole win came dropping into Class 5 — today's field contains rivals rated within 3-17lb; the class relief that triggered last win may not apply here.
  • Lilywhite Hart has drifted in 53% in the market — significant stable confidence from a yard booking John Egan — suggesting a rival the market is actively preferring over Javelot on the day.
  • Form string of just '41' means only 2 runs as a 2yo; extremely limited profile to assess whether Javelot handles 7f on soft ground at Yarmouth, a sharp track that can expose inexperienced juveniles.
  • Asgar (SR:74, 9/2) is trained by Clive Cox at 17% strike rate with Hector Crouch at 19% — a stronger trainer/jockey combination than Botti/De Sousa — and raced just 13 days ago, suggesting peak fitne…
Shortlist Javelot, Asgar, Mandolin Rain, Lilywhite Hart
Each-way: Asgar Danger: Asgar

🗺 The Course Class 5

0m7f3y Distance to cover
Soft Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Yarmouth Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade