Thurlow Nunn Standen Groundcare Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)

16:17 Yarmouth Tue 15 Sep 2026 1m2f23y Class 4 Soft 8 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Due To Henry

SPECULATIVE Advised 10/3 Est. 32%

7TH

Mr Fox says

Due To Henry carries the highest SR in the field at 89 — a clear 7-point edge over the next-best — and does so off just 9-5, the joint-lightest weight, giving a genuine lbs advantage over both Percival and Hamlet's Night (both 9-9). The GoingFit:+ confirms he handles today's soft ground, and a MarkMv:-8 means he's running off a mark 8lb below his last win, a meaningful concession from the handicapper. The market has moved in sharply by 34%, signalling informed support, and Tom Marquand's booking (16% strike rate, 2482 career rides) is a strong positive. His recent form 0-2535 shows consistency at this level rather than dominance, but the combination of superior SR, weight advantage, soft-ground confirmation, and dramatic market support makes the case compelling. Each-way alternative: Kokanee. Main danger: Hamlet's Night — Hamlet's Night is the market favourite at 9/4 with a class drop of three tiers (ClassMv:↓3) that strongly implies connections expect it to be competitive, and James Owen's 19% trainer strike rate across 2176 runners is a meaningful signal, even though the GoingFit:- on soft ground and 129 days off the track are real concerns.

Verify· #17890

Full result

Winner: Hamlet's Night (IRE) at SP 7/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

1 Hamlet's Night Fox #2 James Owen · Luke Morris 4/1
2 Echalar Ian Williams · Billy Loughnane 5/1
3 Mythical Guest George Margarson · Callum Shepherd 11/2
4 Kokanee Fox #3 Ed Dunlop · Saffie Osborne 7/1
5 Arthur's Realm Gihan Arnolda · Darragh Keenan 18/1
6 Percival Fox #4 Dylan Cunha · James Doyle 3/1
7 Due To Henry Fox #1 Eve Johnson Houghton · Tom Marquand 4/1
— Princess Rascal Oliver Cole · Ray Dawson -

Top 4 — how each finished

1 Due To Henry 10/3 7TH
2 Hamlet's Night 9/4 SP 7/1 🏆 WON
3 Kokanee 7/1 🏁 4TH
4 Percival 5/1 6TH