Percival
SpeculativePercival owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (45) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Thurlow Nunn Standen Groundcare Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race) · 1m2f23y
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 67 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Princess Rascal | 14/1 | 11/1 open 21.00 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 | — | 16/1 Coral |
| 2 Percival | 3/1 open 8.50 | 3/1 open 6.50 | 11/4 open 7.50 | 11/4 open 7.50 | 10/3 open 7.50 | 11/4 open 6.50 | 10/3 William Hill |
| 3 Hamlet's Night | 4/1 open 3.50 | 4/1 open 2.75 | 7/2 open 3.00 | 7/2 open 3.00 | 4/1 open 3.00 | 4/1 open 2.50 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Mythical Guest | 11/2 open 6.00 | 11/2 open 7.00 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 5/1 open 8.50 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 5 Kokanee | 7/1 open 13.00 | 15/2 open 15.00 | 13/2 open 13.00 | 13/2 open 13.00 | 15/2 open 13.00 | 7/1 open 10.00 | 15/2 Paddy Power |
| 6 Due To Henry | 4/1 open 7.00 | 4/1 open 7.50 | 7/2 open 7.00 | 7/2 open 7.00 | 4/1 open 7.00 | 4/1 open 4.00 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Echalar | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 4.50 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 5/1 open 4.50 | 5/1 open 6.50 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Arthur's Realm | 18/1 open 7.50 | 18/1 open 9.00 | 18/1 open 8.00 | 18/1 open 8.00 | 18/1 open 8.00 | 16/1 open 11.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Percival owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (45) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 67 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Due To Henry carries the highest SR in the field at 89 — a clear 7-point edge over the next-best — and does so off just 9-5, the joint-lightest weight, giving a genuine lbs advantage over both Percival and Hamlet's Night (both 9-9). The GoingFit:+ confirms he handles today's soft ground, and a MarkMv:-8 means he's running off a mark 8lb below his last win, a meaningful concession from the handicapper. The market has moved in sharply by 34%, signalling informed support, and Tom Marquand's booking (16% strike rate, 2482 career rides) is a strong positive. His recent form 0-2535 shows consistency at this level rather than dominance, but the combination of superior SR, weight advantage, soft-ground confirmation, and dramatic market support makes the case compelling. Each-way alternative: Kokanee. Main danger: Hamlet's Night — Hamlet's Night is the market favourite at 9/4 with a class drop of three tiers (ClassMv:↓3) that strongly implies connections expect it to be competitive, and James Owen's 19% trainer strike rate across 2176 runners is a meaningful signal, even though the GoingFit:- on soft ground and 129 days off the track are real concerns.