← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
We Are Christmas Party Central Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Almarada Prince
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/4 Est. 30%
Mr Fox says
Almarada Prince (SR:89, 11/4) is the clear class leader in this field by a meaningful margin — 11 SR points clear of the next-best Brummell (SR:82) — and carries just 9-12, giving it a 1lb weight advantage over Brummell at the top. The market has steamed in 11%, the strongest move in the field, and David Nolan's 12% career strike rate is the sharpest jockey booking available. Running off a mark 3lb lower than last win (MarkMv:-3) with 15 days between runs suggests connections are confident and the horse is fresh. The form string 663422 shows consistent proximity to the frame at this class level and the same-class move (ClassMv:=) means no step into the unknown. Each-way alternative: Brummell. Main danger: Brummell — Brummell (SR:82, 3/1) has won twice at Beverley (Course:W2P2), confirms GoingFit:+ on today's good ground, carries a mark 3lb below last win, and the 7% market support means informed money is present — a genuine course specialist who could exploit his track advantage.
Full result
Winner: Call To Action (IRE) at SP 5/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Call To Action Fox #4 5/1
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2
Brummell Fox #2 11/4
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3
Qila 25/1
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4
Almarada Prince Fox #1 11/4
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5
Accrual 11/1
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6
Fierce 12/1
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7
Desert Treasure Fox #3 5/1
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8
Straight Ahead 10/1
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9
Big Cyril 40/1
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10
Emperor Caradoc 28/1
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11
Empress Olivia 22/1
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12
I'm Dan Dare 40/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3
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4