Beverley 16:18 RESULTED
Class 4 16 Sep 2026

Last Wednesday We Are Christmas Party Central Handicap Stakes

We Are Christmas Party Central Handicap Stakes · 5f

Official Result

We Are Christmas Party Central Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Call To Action (IRE) Joanna Mason · Michael & David Easterby
    5/1
  2. 11/4
  3. Third Qila (GB)
    50/1
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Settled
  • 12 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 5 days, 11 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Brummell silks
Brummell
Age 5 · 9-13
7-3643
81
82
85
5
9-13
11/4 3/1 11/4
Brummell shaped well when third last time out and, rated 85 by us, ranks second of the twelve here, making him a clear danger off a 32-day break with experience of today's trip and going; the risk is that he remains winless in his last five starts.
AI verdict

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Almarada Prince silks
Almarada Prince
Age 5 · 9-12
663422
80
89
90
5
9-12
11/4 10/3 11/4
Almarada Prince has finished second in each of his last two starts and, rated 90 to head a field of 12, he looks the one to beat here despite being yet to win in recent starts; back after just 15 days, fit and with experience of today's trip and going, he commands respect from stall 3 off 138 lb.
AI verdict

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Big Cyril silks
Big Cyril
Age 4 · 9-11
/856-0
79
52
85
4
9-11
40/1 FCST 33/1
Big Cyril has run over today's trip and going before, and with a speed rating of 90 he holds strong claims as the third-ranked runner here off stall five carrying 137 lb — though his winless recent run of form is the obvious concern.
AI verdict

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

4
Accrual silks
Accrual
Age 5 · 9-10
305137
78
71
84
5
9-10
11/1 15/2 11/1
Accrual showed a win three starts back and was third two starts back, hinting at the kind of consistency that makes him a genuine threat here, especially with experience of today's trip and going; the concern is a seventh last time out that will need explaining.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Straight Ahead silks
Straight Ahead
Age 3 · 9-9
-48226
78
76
83
3
9-9
10/1 15/2 10/1
Winless in his last five starts, Straight Ahead showed promise with consecutive second-place finishes two and three starts back, though a sixth last time out — off just one day's rest — raises freshness concerns; he has run over today's distance and going, and carries 135 lb from stall two.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Call To Action silks
Call To Action
Age 5 · 9-9
-29220
77
78
81
5
9-9
5/1 13/2 4/1
Call To Action arrives on the back of successive placings — second two starts back and second three starts back — though he was unplaced last time and remains yet to win in recent starts; experience over today's trip and going, plus a quick ten-day turnaround, keeps him interesting from stall six under 135 lb.
AI verdict

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Desert Treasure silks
Desert Treasure
Age 3 · 9-8
1-0772
77
77
80
3
9-8
5/1 10/3 5/1
A winner in her last five starts and runner-up latest, but two seventh-place finishes in between temper the case, and ranked ninth of twelve on our figures she makes little appeal at the weights despite the trainer striking at 30% recently.
AI verdict

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
I'm Dan Dare silks
I'm Dan Dare
Age 3 · 9-4
512108
73
55
75
3
9-4
40/1 16/1 33/1
Ranked bottom of the field on our figures and his last two starts have brought an unplaced effort and an eighth, making him hard to fancy at the weights despite carrying 130 lb from stall one; he has winning form in recent starts and experience over today's trip and going, arriving fresh enough at eight days.
AI verdict

SR 55 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Emperor Caradoc silks
Emperor Caradoc
Age 7 · 9-4
562440
72
53
80
7
9-4
28/1 20/1 25/1
Winless in his last six starts and ranked tenth of twelve on our figures, Emperor Caradoc faces a stiff ask from stall 12 carrying 130 lb, though he has run over today's distance and going before and a second four starts back offers a crumb of encouragement.
AI verdict

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

10
Qila silks
Qila
Age 3 · 9-2
4-2033
71
64
76
3
9-2
25/1 8/1 25/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked 11 of 12 on our figures, Qila faces a stiff ask from stall 10 carrying 128 lb, though he does have experience of today's trip and going and has shown some consistency with two thirds in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Fierce silks
Fierce
Age 6 · 9-0
-32362
68
71
81
6
9-0
12/1 12/1 11/1
Fierce has placed four times in his last five starts — second last time out and third three starts back — yet remains winless and has been off the track for 41 days, which adds a fitness query; his experience over today's trip and going offers some grounding, but a mark of 68 and draw 11 leave him with plenty to find.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Empress Olivia silks
Empress Olivia
Age 3 · 8-11
040672
66
54
81
3
8-11
22/1 14/1 22/1
Empress Olivia showed her best recent form with a runner-up finish last time out, just 17 days ago, and has run over today's distance and going before, yet she remains winless in her last six starts and our rating of 81 leaves her with plenty to find against the top-rated runners from stall seven.
AI verdict

SR 54 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Brummell 11/4 open 5.50 11/4 open 4.00 3/1 3/1 11/4 open 4.33 3/1 3/1 Coral
2 Almarada Prince 11/4 open 4.50 11/4 open 4.33 3/1 open 4.33 3/1 open 4.33 3/1 open 4.33 11/4 open 4.33 3/1 Coral
3 Big Cyril 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 51.00 40/1 40/1 40/1 33/1 open 41.00 40/1 Bet365
4 Accrual 11/1 open 8.50 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 9.50 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 Paddy Power
5 Straight Ahead 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 8.50 11/1 open 8.50 11/1 open 8.50 11/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 8.50 11/1 Coral
6 Call To Action 5/1 open 9.00 5/1 open 7.50 5/1 open 8.00 5/1 open 8.00 9/2 open 8.00 4/1 open 8.00 5/1 Bet365
7 Desert Treasure 5/1 open 5.00 5/1 open 4.33 11/2 open 4.50 11/2 open 4.50 11/2 open 4.50 11/2 open 4.33 11/2 Coral
8 I'm Dan Dare 40/1 open 17.00 33/1 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 Bet365
9 Emperor Caradoc 28/1 open 21.00 30/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 30/1 Paddy Power
10 Qila 25/1 open 11.00 25/1 open 9.00 28/1 open 9.50 28/1 open 9.50 28/1 open 10.00 25/1 open 9.50 28/1 Coral
11 Fierce 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 11/1 open 13.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 Bet365
12 Empress Olivia 22/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Almarada Prince

Speculative

Almarada Prince owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (49) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/4 Paul Midgley David Nolan
75% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Call To Action

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/1 · Michael & David Easterby
✓ Value Signal

Qila

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Brian Ellison
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +18.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
87 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.9 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Almarada Prince
57.4 11/4
2 6. Call To Action
52.4 5/1
3 1. Brummell
50.5 11/4
4 5. Straight Ahead
50.0 10/1
5 7. Desert Treasure
49.7 5/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Almarada Prince
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 5 · 9-13
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 82 🐾

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 5 · 9-12
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 89 🐾

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 5 · 9-9
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 78 🐾

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 3 · 9-8
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 3 · 9-9
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 5 · 9-10
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 6 · 9-0
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Almarada Prince
Confidence: Speculative

Almarada Prince (SR:89, 11/4) is the clear class leader in this field by a meaningful margin — 11 SR points clear of the next-best Brummell (SR:82) — and carries just 9-12, giving it a 1lb weight advantage over Brummell at the top. The market has steamed in 11%, the strongest move in the field, and David Nolan's 12% career strike rate is the sharpest jockey booking available. Running off a mark 3lb lower than last win (MarkMv:-3) with 15 days between runs suggests connections are confident and the horse is fresh. The form string 663422 shows consistent proximity to the frame at this class level and the same-class move (ClassMv:=) means no step into the unknown. Each-way alternative: Brummell. Main danger: Brummell — Brummell (SR:82, 3/1) has won twice at Beverley (Course:W2P2), confirms GoingFit:+ on today's good ground, carries a mark 3lb below last win, and the 7% market support means informed money is present — a genuine course specialist who could exploit his track advantage.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form string 663422 shows Almarada Prince has not won in its last six starts — consistent proximity but a horse that keeps finding one or two rivals too good, raising doubts about winning resolution.
  • No course record listed for Almarada Prince at Beverley, while chief rival Brummell has W2P2 here — a meaningful course advantage on Beverley's unique, stiff track that suits proven course winners.
  • Desert Treasure is trained by William Haggas (23% strike rate, highest in the field) and carries 4lb less; that trainer edge plus weight relief makes it a live each-way threat that could undermine Al…
  • At 11/4 in an 11-runner handicap, Almarada Prince is being asked to win off its highest recent SR with no course form — the 11% steam may already be fully baked in, leaving little margin for error at…
Shortlist Almarada Prince, Brummell, Desert Treasure, Call To Action
Each-way: Brummell Danger: Brummell

🗺 The Course Class 4

5f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
12 Confirmed runners
Beverley Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade