← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Hurn Handicap Stakes (Div I)
Mr Fox’s call
Love You More
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/2 Est. 22%
Mr Fox says
Love You More (SR:57, 9/2, 9-9) is the SR leader in a tight Class 6 field where the ratings span only 35 points across the top seven. Despite the DistFit:- and GoingFit:- flags, the combination of top SR, a trainer striking at 12% with a jockey also at 12% across a large sample (2,973 rides), and a mark 3lb above the last win that still represents a workable ask makes this the most credible contender. The headgear addition (h) is a positive intervention signal for a horse with a recent 6 on the form string — connections are clearly trying something to spark improvement, and at 9/2 the market has not dismissed the runner despite the drift being absent. Casilli (SR:55, 4/1) is the nearest SR rival but aged 9 with a form string of 4866-6 and a market drifting 10% — the course record (W5P8) flatters a horse clearly past its best. Each-way alternative: Copper And Five. Main danger: Casilli — Casilli's outstanding course record (W5P8 at Beverley) on a track that heavily rewards course specialists, combined with a mark slashed 25lb since last win and weight of 9-9, means the drift may be ignoring a course-pattern edge that is genuinely meaningful at this track.
Full result
Winner: Star Suepreme (GB) at SP 50/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Star Suepreme 40/1
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2
Kameel Fox #4 10/1
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3
Copper And Five Fox #3 7/2
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4
Diamond Aura 16/1
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5
Elettaria 13/2
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6
Love You More Fox #1 7/2
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7
Golden Samba 12/1
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8
Itszaboy 18/1
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9
Casilli Fox #2 4/1
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10
Al Baahy 9/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Love You More 9/2 6TH
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2
Casilli 4/1 9TH
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3
Copper And Five 9/2 🥉 3RD
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4
Kameel 15/2 🥈 2ND