Casilli has run over today's trip and going, and our rating just about puts her at the head of this field, but she arrives winless in her last five starts and will need to reverse a run of six-placed finishes to make that superiority count.
Form last 64866-6
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
55SR63RPR53OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 55 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Love You More won two starts back and has experience of both today's trip and going conditions, making her a serious each-way player from stall five carrying 135 lb; the risk is that sixth last time out suggests she needs to bounce back to her best.
Form last 6270716
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
57SR57RPR53OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Kameel has shaped with consistent promise in recent starts, finishing fourth three times and landing a runner-up spot six starts back, and he arrives here fit on a 14-day turnaround with experience of today's trip and going; the risk is that he remains yet to win in his last six outings.
Form last 6244455
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
53SR63RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last six starts and returning from a 123-day absence, Al Baahy faces a stiff task, though he has run over today's trip and going before and our rating edges above his official mark — a slender positive from stall two at 131 lb.
Form last 6587855
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
47SR54RPR49OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 47 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Consistent front-runner type, Copper And Five arrives here fresh off a 16-day break, has run over today's trip and going before, and his second two starts back hints at the class to threaten; yet to score in recent starts is the concern.
Form last 6246824
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
55SR56RPR48OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 55 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last six starts, Elettaria does show a second two starts back and a third five starts back, giving her some each-way claims, though her fourth last time out and a draw from stall nine are simply facts to weigh as she steps out again over a familiar trip and going carrying 129 lb.
Form last 6734524
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
53SR51RPR47OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last six starts, Itszaboy at least showed something with a second two starts back, though a fifth last time out and a struggling trainer strike-rate of just 4% in the past fortnight make confidence hard to muster from stall seven off 128 lb.
Form last 6066525
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
45SR51RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 45 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last six starts, with finishes no better than fourth in her three most recent outings, Golden Samba is hard to fancy ranked ninth of ten on our figures; going experience and a 16-day turnaround are modest positives, but her overall profile offers little encouragement.
Form last 6843764
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
40SR45RPR44OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 40 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last four starts and ranked last on our figures, Star Suepreme faces a stiff task here; a ninth last time out hardly inspires confidence, though 29 days between runs suggests she returns fresh and stall four is a neutral draw.
Form last 64059
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
22SR37RPR47OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 22 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Diamond Aura is winless in her last six starts, with three finishes of sixth or worse in a row, and ranked eighth of ten on our figures, making her very hard to fancy despite the distance experience and a quick turnaround of 14 days keeping her fresh.
Form last 6424769
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
35SR47RPR45OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Love You More owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (32) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
7/2Joseph ParrLuke Morris
70%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Casilli
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
4/1 · Michael & David Easterby✓ Value Signal
Star Suepreme
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
40/1 · Lemos De Souza◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Love You More (SR:57, 9/2, 9-9) is the SR leader in a tight Class 6 field where the ratings span only 35 points across the top seven. Despite the DistFit:- and GoingFit:- flags, the combination of top SR, a trainer striking at 12% with a jockey also at 12% across a large sample (2,973 rides), and a mark 3lb above the last win that still represents a workable ask makes this the most credible contender. The headgear addition (h) is a positive intervention signal for a horse with a recent 6 on the form string — connections are clearly trying something to spark improvement, and at 9/2 the market has not dismissed the runner despite the drift being absent. Casilli (SR:55, 4/1) is the nearest SR rival but aged 9 with a form string of 4866-6 and a market drifting 10% — the course record (W5P8) flatters a horse clearly past its best.
Each-way alternative: Copper And Five.
Main danger: Casilli — Casilli's outstanding course record (W5P8 at Beverley) on a track that heavily rewards course specialists, combined with a mark slashed 25lb since last win and weight of 9-9, means the drift may be ignoring a course-pattern edge that is genuinely meaningful at this track.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Both DistFit and GoingFit flags are negative — Love You More has no confirmed suitability to today's trip or ground conditions at Beverley, a track where going and draw quirks punish horses without p…
Form string 270716 includes a '1' (recent win) but the latest figure is '6' — a poor last run that prompted the hood addition; headgear has not been tested on this horse and first-time hood on a hors…
Copper And Five (SR:55, 9/2) is co-favourite, trained by Ruth Carr (12% strike-rate) with a proven course record (W1P4), racing off a 7lb lower mark and 16 days fresh — a sharper profile in today's c…
Mark moved up 3lb since last win yet the horse's most recent form figure is a 6, suggesting the handicapper has not dropped it to compensate for that decline — Love You More may be running from an un…
ShortlistLove You More, Casilli, Copper And Five, Kameel