← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Hurn Handicap Stakes (Div II)
Mr Fox’s call
Hostelry
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/2 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Hostelry (SR 57, 9/2) is the highest-rated runner in this modest Class 6 field and carries a manageable 9-9, offering a weight edge over nothing above it that matters. The key signal is Course:W1P4 — a proven Beverley specialist with five prior visits resulting in a win and four places, which on this tight, turning track is a genuine competitive edge. DistFit:~ and GoingFit:~ confirm workable, if not outstanding, credentials for today's conditions, and Joanna Mason (12% strike rate, 1,654 career rides) represents Ruth Carr's nominated #1 in this yard duel. The 12% market drift is a concern but may reflect the stable running two and punters splitting loyalties rather than a genuine negative signal — Dumfries is drifting far harder (26%) and has a poor distance and going record, making Hostelry the clear yard pick. Each-way alternative: She's A Goldigger. Main danger: She's A Goldigger — She's A Goldigger (SR 45, 9/1) is steaming in the market — 23% shorter since opening — and at only age 4 is the most likely improver in the field; the money at that price in a 10-runner Class 6 is a meaningful signal that cannot be ignored.
Full result
Winner: Evelyn's Phoenix (FR) at SP 4/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Evelyn's Phoenix 4/1
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2
Hostelry Fox #1 4/1
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3
Dumfries 11/2
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4
Abu Royal 7/1
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5
Due To Shine 25/1
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6
Forever Twenty 18/1
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7
Back From Dubai 11/2
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8
She's A Goldigger Fox #2 8/1
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9
Power of Chora 80/1
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10
Willowinghurn Fox #3 13/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Hostelry 9/2 🥈 2ND
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2
She's A Goldigger 9/1 8TH
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3
Willowinghurn 4/1 10TH