Hostelry won two starts back and returns here in good heart after 23 days, with experience of both today's trip and the going in her favour; drawn three carrying 135 lb, she merits respect on her overall profile despite a sixth last time out.
Form last 6554516
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
57SR55RPR53OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Dumfries has run over today's trip and going and comes into this on a handy 20-day break carrying 134 lb from stall six, with our rating of 55 suggesting he holds solid claims against this field; yet to win in his last five starts remains the key concern.
Form last 66-5544
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
51SR55RPR52OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 51 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked top of ten on our rating, Willowinghurn arrives just eight days after a fourth-placed effort, has run over today's trip and going, and her third three starts back marks her as a genuine threat — the risk is that she remains yet to win in recent starts.
Form last 6568384
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
58SR58RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Yet to score in his last six starts, Abu Royal does at least bring experience of today's trip and going, and a return after 23 days suggests he arrives fresh; however, carrying 131 lb from stall eight and ranked seventh of ten, he faces a stiff ask to reverse recent fortunes.
Form last 6803672
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
53SR50RPR49OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Third two starts back franks the form of a horse who has shown he can mix it at this level, and Back From Dubai returns fit on 16 days' rest, handles today's trip and going, and carries 129 lb from stall 2; the seventh last time out is the obvious question mark.
Form last 6140637
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
47SR52RPR47OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 47 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last six starts, Evelyn's Phoenix at least showed some encouragement with a third last time out, and he has experience over today's trip and going; carrying 129 lb from stall one, the concern is whether he can convert that recent upturn.
Form last 6690643
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
50SR51RPR47OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 50 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last six starts, She's A Goldigger heads here just eight days after finishing seventh, and our figures rank her eighth of ten, making her hard to fancy; a third three starts back and experience over today's trip and going are the modest positives.
Form last 6045307
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
45SR47RPR46OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 45 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last six starts and ranked ninth of ten on our figures, Power of Chora makes little appeal here, though she has run over today's going before and returns on a quick turnaround just 13 days after her latest outing.
Form last 6683800
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
23SR43RPR45OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 23 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Due To Shine faces a stiff ask here, though she has run over today's trip and going before and returns on a quick turnaround of just 16 days.
Form last 63-7057
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
23SR41RPR45OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 23 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Willowinghurn owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (32) and market confidence (70). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
13/2David O'MearaDaniel Tudhope
63%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Evelyn's Phoenix
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
4/1 · Tim Easterby✓ Value Signal
Due To Shine
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
25/1 · Brian Ellison◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Hostelry (SR 57, 9/2) is the highest-rated runner in this modest Class 6 field and carries a manageable 9-9, offering a weight edge over nothing above it that matters. The key signal is Course:W1P4 — a proven Beverley specialist with five prior visits resulting in a win and four places, which on this tight, turning track is a genuine competitive edge. DistFit:~ and GoingFit:~ confirm workable, if not outstanding, credentials for today's conditions, and Joanna Mason (12% strike rate, 1,654 career rides) represents Ruth Carr's nominated #1 in this yard duel. The 12% market drift is a concern but may reflect the stable running two and punters splitting loyalties rather than a genuine negative signal — Dumfries is drifting far harder (26%) and has a poor distance and going record, making Hostelry the clear yard pick.
Each-way alternative: She's A Goldigger.
Main danger: She's A Goldigger — She's A Goldigger (SR 45, 9/1) is steaming in the market — 23% shorter since opening — and at only age 4 is the most likely improver in the field; the money at that price in a 10-runner Class 6 is a meaningful signal that cannot be ignored.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Hostelry is a 9-year-old with form reading 554516 — that '1' win came 5 runs ago and recent efforts are all placings or worse; no win in 5 consecutive starts suggests diminishing returns.
Willowinghurn (SR:58) is actually rated 1lb higher and represents a powerful O'Meara/Tudhope combination (13%/18% strike rates) at shorter odds of 4/1, with fresher legs after only 8 days — the top-r…
Market drift of 12% on the yard's supposed #1 pick is notable — with stablemate Dumfries also drifting 26%, neither Ruth Carr runner is attracting money, suggesting informed money is elsewhere (possi…
GoingFit:~ is not confirmed as a positive — 'workable' credentials on today's going for a 9-year-old who must peak on the day leaves margin for error against younger rivals.
ShortlistHostelry, She's A Goldigger, Willowinghurn
Each-way: She's A GoldiggerDanger: She's A Goldigger