← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
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Mr Fox’s call
Cawthorne Cracker
SPECULATIVE Advised 6/4 SP 5/2 Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Cawthorne Cracker (SR:87, 6/4) carries the lightest weight in the top-rated group at 10-8, giving it a 3lb edge over Fine Point and 20lb over top-weight Scots Poet — a significant advantage in this class. DistFit:+ confirms it is proven at 2m2f, and with GoingFit:~ it is not inconvenienced by Good to Firm. Most compelling is the market: Mkt:in15% shows strong late confidence from connections, backed by Toby Wynne (16% career strike rate) and the Greenall/Guerriero yard running at 15% — one of the most efficient smaller-field yards in the data. Its form string -53562 shows a recent second last time out and consistent competitiveness at this level, making it the standout package of SR, weight, market support, and distance suitability. Each-way alternative: Scots Poet. Main danger: Fine Point — Fine Point (SR:87, 4/1) shares the same SR as the selection, drops one class, and at 5 years old is the youngest and potentially most progressive horse in the field — its 1-3-U sequence contains a recent win and a placed effort, suggesting latent ability that could surface on better terms.
Full result
Winner: Cawthorne Cracker (IRE) at SP 5/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Cawthorne Cracker Fox #1 15/8
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2
Fine Point Fox #3 5/2
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3
Hijo de La Luna 9/1
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4
Scots Poet Fox #2 9/2
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5
On The Bubble 28/1
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6
Struth 5/1
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7
Ivynator 150/1
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8
Wispit Twob 33/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3