Kelso 16:25 RESULTED
Class 5 16 Sep 2026

Last Wednesday RacingTV Proudly Supports Teenage Cancer Trust Handicap Hurdle Race

RacingTV Proudly Supports Teenage Cancer Trust Handicap Hurdle Race · 2m2f25y

Official Result

RacingTV Proudly Supports Teenage Cancer Trust Handicap Hurdle Race

Confirmed
  1. Winner Cawthorne Cracker (IRE) Toby Wynne · Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero
    5/2
  2. 6/4F
  3. 11/1
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Settled
  • 8 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 5 days, 11 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Scots Poet silks
Scots Poet
Age 10 · 12-0
211U25
99
87
101
10
12-0
9/2 7/2 4/1
Scots Poet brings solid recent form to the table, winning twice in his last six starts with a second two starts back adding further encouragement; he has run over today's trip and going before, and 19 days between runs suggests he returns fresh.
AI verdict

SR 87 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Fine Point silks
Fine Point
Age 5 · 11-10
3-13U4
95
87
97
5
11-10
5/2 11/4 2/1
Returned from a 19-day break in sound order, Fine Point has experience over today's trip and catches the eye with a third three starts back and a win four starts back, giving him a lively profile at 164 lb; the unseated rider two starts back is the obvious query against him.
AI verdict

SR 87 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Struth silks
Struth
Age 6 · 11-4
5-6666
89
82
95
6
11-4
5/1 7/2 4/1
Winless in his last five starts, Struth nevertheless catches the eye on our rating of 95 — fourth-best of these eight — and he has run over today's trip before, returning after a 32-day break carrying 158 lb; the risk is that his recent sequence of sixths suggests a change of fortunes is needed.
AI verdict

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Hijo de La Luna silks
Hijo de La Luna
Age 6 · 11-1
/3P5-4
86
79
99
6
11-1
9/1 5/1 8/1
Hijo de La Luna arrives here just 19 days fresh, has run over today's trip, and our rating of 99 marks him as a genuine threat at the head of this field — though he remains winless in his last four starts, with a pulled-up effort among them a concern.
AI verdict

SR 79 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Wispit Twob silks
Wispit Twob
Age 4 · 11-1
260P-P
88
50
68
4
11-1
33/1 16/1 33/1
Wispit Twob has pulled up in each of her last two starts and has been winless in recent starts, making her very hard to fancy, and our rating of 68 — last of eight — underlines the concern; experience over today's trip and a quick 12-day turnaround are about all she has in her favour.
AI verdict

SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

6
On The Bubble silks
On The Bubble
Age 5 · 10-10
18F/
81
57
83
5
10-10
28/1 16/1 25/1
On The Bubble fell last time out, and although she showed ability with a win three starts back, she ranks seventh of eight on our figures and is hard to fancy at these weights.
AI verdict

SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

7
Cawthorne Cracker silks
Cawthorne Cracker
Age 7 · 10-8
-53562
79
87
84
7
10-8
15/8 7/4 32/17
Winless in his last five starts, Cawthorne Cracker at least shaped with promise when second last time out, and he has experience of today's trip and conditions in his favour; 148 lb, however, is a notable ask for a gelding yet to score.
AI verdict

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Ivynator silks
Ivynator
Age 8 · 10-2
/20PP-
72
48
85
8
10-2
150/1 50/1 150/1
SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 80/1.
AI verdict

SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 80/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Scots Poet 9/2 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 Bet365
2 Fine Point 5/2 open 3.75 11/4 open 4.00 9/4 open 3.75 9/4 open 3.75 2/1 open 3.75 9/4 open 4.00 11/4 Paddy Power
3 Struth 5/1 open 7.00 4/1 open 4.50 9/2 9/2 9/2 9/2 open 5.00 5/1 Bet365
4 Hijo de La Luna 9/1 open 9.00 8/1 open 6.00 17/2 open 7.50 17/2 open 7.50 9/1 open 7.50 17/2 open 6.50 9/1 Bet365
5 Wispit Twob 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 40/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 17.00 40/1 William Hill
6 On The Bubble 28/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 19.00 33/1 William Hill
7 Cawthorne Cracker 15/8 open 3.00 2/1 open 3.50 2/1 open 3.25 2/1 open 3.25 2/1 open 3.25 2/1 open 2.75 2/1 Paddy Power
8 Ivynator 150/1 open 67.00 150/1 open 51.00 150/1 open 51.00 150/1 open 51.00 150/1 open 51.00 150/1 open 67.00 150/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Fine Point

Speculative

Fine Point owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (48) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/2 Adam Nicol Joshua Thompson(5)
70% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Cawthorne Cracker

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

15/8 · Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero
✓ Value Signal

Wispit Twob

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Martin Keighley
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +18.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
88 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.3 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Fine Point
58.6 5/2
2 7. Cawthorne Cracker
56.1 15/8
3 1. Scots Poet
55.4 9/2
4 3. Struth
51.9 5/1
5 4. Hijo de La Luna
46.8 9/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Cawthorne Cracker
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

7
Age 7 · 10-8
15/8
★★★☆☆ SR 87 🐾

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 5 · 11-10
5/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 87 🐾

SR 87 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 10 · 12-0
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 87 🐾

SR 87 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 6 · 11-4
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 82 🐾

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 6 · 11-1
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 79 🐾

SR 79 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Cawthorne Cracker
Confidence: Speculative

Cawthorne Cracker (SR:87, 6/4) carries the lightest weight in the top-rated group at 10-8, giving it a 3lb edge over Fine Point and 20lb over top-weight Scots Poet — a significant advantage in this class. DistFit:+ confirms it is proven at 2m2f, and with GoingFit:~ it is not inconvenienced by Good to Firm. Most compelling is the market: Mkt:in15% shows strong late confidence from connections, backed by Toby Wynne (16% career strike rate) and the Greenall/Guerriero yard running at 15% — one of the most efficient smaller-field yards in the data. Its form string -53562 shows a recent second last time out and consistent competitiveness at this level, making it the standout package of SR, weight, market support, and distance suitability. Each-way alternative: Scots Poet. Main danger: Fine Point — Fine Point (SR:87, 4/1) shares the same SR as the selection, drops one class, and at 5 years old is the youngest and potentially most progressive horse in the field — its 1-3-U sequence contains a recent win and a placed effort, suggesting latent ability that could surface on better terms.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form string -53562 shows no win in at least 6 starts; last win predates this sequence and the horse has been beaten at this SR:87 level repeatedly, suggesting a ceiling rather than a breakthrough.
  • HG:tp (tongue-tie) flag and GoingFit:~ (not proven, merely not inconvenienced) on Good to Firm at Kelso — the course/going combination may not suit as strongly as the analyst implies.
  • MarkMv:-1 shows the official handicapper is not dropping this horse — it is stuck on the same mark despite consecutive failures, implying the assessor sees no evidence of improvement to warrant a rat…
  • At 6/4 in a competitive 8-runner handicap chase, Cawthorne Cracker is very short for a horse whose best placing in this sequence is a second; Fine Point's trainer runs at 17% and both rivals carry ma…
Shortlist Cawthorne Cracker, Scots Poet, Fine Point
Each-way: Scots Poet Danger: Fine Point

🗺 The Course Class 5

2m2f25y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
8 Confirmed runners
Kelso Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade