← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Join Racing TV For Free Now Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Cape Warrior
SPECULATIVE Advised 6/4 Est. 42%
Mr Fox says
Cape Warrior (SR 107, 6/4) is the highest-rated runner in the field and carries the yard's #1 jockey booking in Sean Bowen (24% career strike rate from 2,344 runners) — a significant upgrade signal when Micky Hammond also fields Lady Scarphia with a lesser booking (Quinlan, 15%). The market has steamed 16% into Cape Warrior, confirming money is following the Bowen booking. Form reading 22- shows two placed efforts in bumpers, giving competitive experience over debutants and lightly-raced rivals. Crucially, Cape Warrior carries 11-0 versus Going On's 11-2, a 2lb weight edge over the rival with the most dramatic market move (Mkt:in29%), and the SR gap of 7 points (107 vs 100) further reinforces the ability advantage. Each-way alternative: Lady Scarphia. Main danger: Going On — Going On (SR 100, 2/1) has steamed 29% in the market and carries Brian Hughes (19% career SR from 942 rides), suggesting Patrick Neville's yard has this fit and ready on debut — bumper debutants with strong market support regularly outrun their price.
Full result
Winner: Going On (IRE) at SP 5/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Going On Fox #2 2/1
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2
Cape Warrior Fox #1 6/4
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3
Lady Scarphia Fox #3 4/1
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4
Arc Kunoichi 10/1
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5
Roohu 12/1
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Back In Favour 11/4
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3