← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox

Trainor Stone & Tile Fortune Stakes (Listed Race)

15:30 Sandown Wed 16 Sep 2026 1m0f0y Class 1 Good 10 runners

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Mr Fox’s call

Cerro Blanco silks

Cerro Blanco

MEDIUM Advised 11/10 SP 11/8F Est. 38%

🏆 WON

Mr Fox says

Cerro Blanco (SR 117, 11/10) is the standout on every meaningful metric. The highest SR in the field by 6 points over Nahraan, trained by the highest strike-rate handler in the race (Charlie Appleby at 33%), ridden by William Buick (25% career strike rate), and carrying the lightest competitive weight at 9-2 — a 4lb advantage over the older fillies on 9-6. The form figure '121' shows a recent win, which is exactly the kind of progressive three-year-old profile that dominates Listed races, and the market has shortened 7% since opening, confirming quiet confidence rather than panic money. The ClassMv:↑3 step up is the only question mark, but the SR gap to the field makes this a credible leap for a Godolphin juvenile on the improve. Each-way alternative: Centigrade. Main danger: Nahraan — Nahraan (SR 111, 9/2) holds the second-highest SR, is trained by John & Thady Gosden (24% strike rate) with Oisin Murphy aboard, and has a DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ combination — the drift from a morning price is the main concern, but the underlying credentials make this a genuine threat if Cerro Blanco finds the Listed step up too sharp.

Verify· #18019

Full result

Winner: Cerro Blanco (GB) at SP 11/8F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Cerro Blanco silks Cerro Blanco Fox #1 Charlie Appleby · William Buick 10/11
  2. 2 Crown of Oaks silks Crown of Oaks William Haggas · Cieren Fallon 16/1
  3. 3 Nahraan silks Nahraan Fox #2 John & Thady Gosden · Oisin Murphy 9/2
  4. 4 Blue RC silks Blue RC James Tate · Hector Crouch 28/1
  5. 5 Avicenna silks Avicenna Roger Varian · Ray Dawson 20/1
  6. 6 Pacific Mission silks Pacific Mission Fox #4 Andrew Balding · Colin Keane 14/1
  7. 7 Balmacara silks Balmacara Eve Johnson Houghton · Charles Bishop 80/1
  8. 8 Centigrade silks Centigrade Fox #3 Ralph Beckett · Rossa Ryan 6/1
  9. 9 Skukuza silks Skukuza Ed Dunlop · James Doyle 28/1
  10. 10 Room Service silks Room Service Jamie Osborne · Saffie Osborne 12/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Cerro Blanco silks Cerro Blanco 11/10 SP 11/8F 🏆 WON
  2. 2 Nahraan silks Nahraan 9/2 🥉 3RD
  3. 3 Centigrade silks Centigrade 11/2 8TH
  4. 4 Pacific Mission silks Pacific Mission 11/1 6TH