Trainor Stone & Tile Fortune Stakes (Listed Race) · 1m0f0y
SR 72 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
SR 79 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 88 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 111 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 74 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 88 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 101 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Balmacara | 80/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 40/1 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Blue RC | 28/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 open 23.00 | 20/1 open 23.00 | 20/1 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Centigrade | 6/1 open 6.00 | 13/2 open 7.00 | 9/2 open 7.00 | 9/2 open 7.00 | 11/2 | 13/2 open 6.00 | 13/2 Paddy Power |
| 4 Crown of Oaks | 16/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 10/1 open 13.00 | 10/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Nahraan | 9/2 open 4.33 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 10/3 open 5.00 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 4/1 open 5.50 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 6 Room Service | 12/1 open 6.50 | 12/1 open 7.00 | 15/2 open 6.00 | 15/2 open 6.00 | 11/1 open 7.00 | 12/1 open 7.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Skukuza | 28/1 open 19.00 | 28/1 open 21.00 | 20/1 open 19.00 | 20/1 open 19.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Avicenna | 20/1 open 26.00 | 20/1 open 34.00 | 20/1 open 26.00 | 20/1 open 26.00 | 16/1 open 26.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Cerro Blanco | 10/11 open 2.38 | 1/1 open 2.38 | 8/11 open 2.10 | 8/11 open 2.10 | 1/1 open 2.25 | 5/6 open 2.38 | 1/1 Paddy Power |
| 10 Pacific Mission | 14/1 open 23.00 | 14/1 open 34.00 | 8/1 open 29.00 | 8/1 open 29.00 | 14/1 open 26.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Cerro Blanco owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (65) and market confidence (96). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 111 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 108 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 101 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 88 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 88 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Cerro Blanco (SR 117, 11/10) is the standout on every meaningful metric. The highest SR in the field by 6 points over Nahraan, trained by the highest strike-rate handler in the race (Charlie Appleby at 33%), ridden by William Buick (25% career strike rate), and carrying the lightest competitive weight at 9-2 — a 4lb advantage over the older fillies on 9-6. The form figure '121' shows a recent win, which is exactly the kind of progressive three-year-old profile that dominates Listed races, and the market has shortened 7% since opening, confirming quiet confidence rather than panic money. The ClassMv:↑3 step up is the only question mark, but the SR gap to the field makes this a credible leap for a Godolphin juvenile on the improve. Each-way alternative: Centigrade. Main danger: Nahraan — Nahraan (SR 111, 9/2) holds the second-highest SR, is trained by John & Thady Gosden (24% strike rate) with Oisin Murphy aboard, and has a DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ combination — the drift from a morning price is the main concern, but the underlying credentials make this a genuine threat if Cerro Blanco finds the Listed step up too sharp.