← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
British Ebf Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Bidsta
HIGH Advised 2/5 SP 1/3F Est. 52%
Mr Fox says
Bidsta (SR:160, 2/5) is in a completely different ability bracket to every rival — a 16-point SR gap over the next-best Plastic Dream (SR:144) is enormous at juvenile novice level. The market has reinforced this with a 7% inward move to 2/5, confirming professional confidence. George Boughey (18% strike rate, 1268 runners) and Billy Loughnane (18% strike rate, 2993 runners) is a high-calibre pairing, and same-class placement after a debut second shows the horse is already race-experienced and ready to go one better. With all runners on equal 9-2 weight, Bidsta has no handicap penalty to overcome — pure ability should dominate. Each-way alternative: Plastic Dream. Main danger: Plastic Dream — Plastic Dream (SR:144) steps up in class but has the second-highest SR in the field, is trained by Chris Dwyer with De Sousa aboard, and runs just 9 days after its last start suggesting the yard believes it is fit and ready — at 12/1 it represents the only realistic threat to Bidsta.
Full result
Winner: Bidsta (IRE) at SP 1/3F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
Bidsta Fox #1 4/11
-
2
Faith In Florence Fox #3 10/3
-
3
Hoya Bella 40/1
-
4
Plastic Dream Fox #2 10/1
-
5
Blue Sign 22/1
-
6
Antoinette 50/1
-
7
Cuban Promise 25/1
-
8
Happy Daisy 50/1
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
-
2
-
3