Yarmouth 14:31 RESULTED
Class 4 16 Sep 2026

Last Wednesday British Ebf Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race)

British Ebf Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race) · 0m6f3y

Official Result

British Ebf Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Bidsta (IRE) Billy Loughnane · George Boughey
    1/3F
  2. 100/30
  3. 33/1
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Settled
  • 8 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 5 days, 11 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Antoinette silks
Antoinette
Age 2 · 9-2
126
2
9-2
50/1 25/1 20/1
SR 126 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 126 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Bidsta silks
Bidsta
Age 2 · 9-2
2
160
2
9-2
4/11 7/16 3/10
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Blue Sign silks
Blue Sign
Age 2 · 9-2
4085
68
46
68OR
2
9-2
22/1 FCST 16/1
SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
AI verdict

SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

4
Cuban Promise silks
Cuban Promise
Age 2 · 9-2
5
129
2
9-2
25/1 10/1 20/1
SR 129 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 129 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Faith In Florence silks
Faith In Florence
Age 2 · 9-2
423
79
89
79OR
2
9-2
10/3 5/2 31/19
SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Happy Daisy silks
Happy Daisy
Age 2 · 9-2
75
128
2
9-2
50/1 28/1 20/1
SR 128 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 128 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Hoya Bella silks
Hoya Bella
Age 2 · 9-2
126
2
9-2
40/1 16/1 20/1
SR 126 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 126 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Plastic Dream silks
Plastic Dream
Age 2 · 9-2
43
144
2
9-2
10/1 10/1 11/2
SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Antoinette 50/1 open 29.00 35/1 open 34.00 20/1 open 26.00 20/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 29.00 50/1 Bet365
2 Bidsta 4/11 open 1.57 2/5 open 1.44 2/5 open 1.50 2/5 open 1.50 3/10 open 1.44 4/11 open 1.44 2/5 Paddy Power
3 Blue Sign 22/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 19.00 16/1 16/1 18/1 18/1 open 23.00 22/1 Bet365
4 Cuban Promise 25/1 open 11.00 22/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 12.00 20/1 open 12.00 33/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 33/1 William Hill
5 Faith In Florence 10/3 open 4.50 3/1 13/8 open 3.50 13/8 open 3.50 11/4 open 4.00 5/2 open 3.75 10/3 Bet365
6 Happy Daisy 50/1 open 34.00 40/1 20/1 open 34.00 20/1 open 34.00 40/1 40/1 open 29.00 50/1 Bet365
7 Hoya Bella 40/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 21.00 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 40/1 Bet365
8 Plastic Dream 10/1 17/2 open 13.00 11/2 open 11.00 11/2 open 11.00 12/1 open 12.00 8/1 open 12.00 12/1 William Hill

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Bidsta

High conviction

Bidsta owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (89) and market confidence (98). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/11 George Boughey Billy Loughnane
92% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Plastic Dream

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

10/1 · Chris Dwyer
✓ Value Signal

Happy Daisy

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · Stuart Williams
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
89 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +33.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
98 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
62 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +5.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Bidsta
76.4 4/11
2 8. Plastic Dream
64.5 10/1
3 5. Faith In Florence
58.5 10/3
4 6. Happy Daisy
53.6 50/1
5 4. Cuban Promise
53.4 25/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Bidsta
High

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 2 · 9-2
4/11
★★★★☆ SR 160 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Age 2 · 9-2
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 89 🐾

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 2 · 9-2
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 144 🐾

SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Bidsta
Confidence: High

Bidsta (SR:160, 2/5) is in a completely different ability bracket to every rival — a 16-point SR gap over the next-best Plastic Dream (SR:144) is enormous at juvenile novice level. The market has reinforced this with a 7% inward move to 2/5, confirming professional confidence. George Boughey (18% strike rate, 1268 runners) and Billy Loughnane (18% strike rate, 2993 runners) is a high-calibre pairing, and same-class placement after a debut second shows the horse is already race-experienced and ready to go one better. With all runners on equal 9-2 weight, Bidsta has no handicap penalty to overcome — pure ability should dominate. Each-way alternative: Plastic Dream. Main danger: Plastic Dream — Plastic Dream (SR:144) steps up in class but has the second-highest SR in the field, is trained by Chris Dwyer with De Sousa aboard, and runs just 9 days after its last start suggesting the yard believes it is fit and ready — at 12/1 it represents the only realistic threat to Bidsta.

Case against 4
  • Bidsta's only run was a debut second — we have just one data point, and that bare form has yet to be independently confirmed or franked by subsequent performances of the horse that beat it.
  • Faith In Florence (SR:89, 7/2) has three runs of experience including a recent third, giving her a significant fitness and tactical sharpness edge over Bidsta's single-race profile at 21-day freshnes…
  • Plastic Dream (SR:144) ran just 9 days ago and arrives race-fit and in form — its compressed turnaround suggests the stable is targeting this race with intent, and it closed to within 16 SR points of…
  • At 2/5, Bidsta offers almost no value cushion — any minor underperformance (wide draw effect at Yarmouth, slow start, greenness) will be punished disproportionately, and the market leaves no room for…
Shortlist Bidsta, Plastic Dream, Faith In Florence
Each-way: Plastic Dream Danger: Plastic Dream

🗺 The Course Class 4

0m6f3y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
8 Confirmed runners
Yarmouth Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade