← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Ebf Stallions John Musker Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Fairy Glen
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/4 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Fairy Glen (SR 118, 9/4) is the clear class leader in this field by a significant margin — 9 SR points clear of the next-best Rhapsody (SR 109) and 15 clear of Capichera (SR 106). The Crisford yard runs at a 20% strike rate with 1,123 career runners, and Callum Rodriguez at 20% is one of the strongest jockey-trainer combinations in the field. The 7% drift from the market is the one note of caution, but in a race where no rival comes close on the SR scale and the form string 21-115 shows consistent placing and recent winning form, this drift is likely no more than market noise from a competitive-looking price for listed class. The weight parity across the field (9-4 for the older runners, 8-13 for the three-year-olds, giving Fairy Glen no penalty disadvantage) removes the one structural argument against her. Each-way alternative: Rhapsody. Main danger: Rhapsody — Rhapsody (SR 109, 3/1) has steamed in 19% in the market, holds course form (W1P1 at Yarmouth), is trained by the powerful Haggas yard running at 23%, and Tom Marquand — a 16% career striker — is a significant booking; the DistFit:- flag is the only structural concern and at this price the market clearly believes the trip will be handled.
Full result
Winner: Naga (FR) at SP 20/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
Naga 16/1
-
2
Fairy Glen Fox #1 11/4
-
3
Morrophore 17/2
-
4
Rhapsody Fox #2 7/2
-
5
Seet Fox #4 9/2
-
6
Miss Wong 100/1
-
7
Sky Safari 9/1
-
8
Capichera Fox #3 13/2
-
9
She Commands 28/1
-
10
Orionis 16/1
-
11
Ashariba 33/1
-
—
Della Pace 50/1
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
Fairy Glen 9/4 🥈 2ND
-
2
Rhapsody 3/1 🏁 4TH
-
3
Capichera 8/1 8TH
-
4
Seet 5/1 5TH