Yarmouth 15:41 RESULTED
Class 1 16 Sep 2026

Last Wednesday Ebf Stallions John Musker Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race)

Ebf Stallions John Musker Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race) · 1m2f23y

Official Result

Ebf Stallions John Musker Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Naga (FR) Robert Havlin · John & Thady Gosden
    20/1
  2. 13/8F
  3. 11/1
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  • 12 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 5 days, 11 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Ashariba silks
Ashariba
Age 5 · 9-4
19-270
95
69
91
5
9-4
33/1 40/1 33/1
Beaten in her last two starts and ranked tenth of twelve on our figures, Ashariba is hard to fancy here, though she has run over today's distance and going before and comes into this fresh enough at 27 days since her last outing.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Fairy Glen silks
Fairy Glen
Age 5 · 9-4
21-115
112
118
98
5
9-4
11/4 2/1 11/4
Fairy Glen has won three of her last five starts, including back-to-back victories two and three runs back, but a fifth last time out and 118 days off the track temper enthusiasm; she has run over today's trip and going and carries 130 lb from stall two.
AI verdict

SR 118 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Miss Wong silks
Miss Wong
Age 4 · 9-4
28-765
83
54
83
4
9-4
100/1 66/1 100/1
Winless in her last five starts, with finishes no better than fifth in her four most recent outings, Miss Wong faces a stiff ask here; 74 days off the track adds a fitness query, and being ranked 11 of 12 on our figures makes her hard to fancy, despite having run over today's trip before.
AI verdict

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 100/1.

4
Morrophore silks
Morrophore
Age 5 · 9-4
141-10
105
107
101
5
9-4
17/2 7/1 17/2
Morrophore brings a strong recent profile — a winner two starts back and two starts before that, with a trainer firing at 29% in the last fortnight — but her latest run was unplaced and she heads here off 130 lb having run over today's trip before.
AI verdict

SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Naga silks
Naga
Age 4 · 9-4
1-1346
95
81
94
4
9-4
16/1 FCST 14/1
Third three starts back and a winner on two occasions in her last five, Naga has distance and going experience in her favour and is trained by a yard firing at 29%, though 60 days off and a sixth last time out temper enthusiasm at 130 lb from stall seven.
AI verdict

SR 81 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Orionis silks
Orionis
Age 4 · 9-4
3-1736
96
82
97
4
9-4
16/1 12/1 14/1
Orionis showed she can win in recent starts, and a third two starts back suggests some consistency, but a sixth last time out after 46 days off raises fitness questions; she has run over today's trip and going, and a 30% trainer strike-rate offers encouragement.
AI verdict

SR 82 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Rhapsody silks
Rhapsody
Age 4 · 9-4
13-422
102
109
105
4
9-4
7/2 11/4 10/3
Consistent and in-form connections make Rhapsody hard to oppose: second in each of her last two starts and a winner three starts further back, she has experience of today's trip and going, and a trainer firing at 30% over the past fortnight is a significant plus.
AI verdict

SR 109 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Sky Safari silks
Sky Safari
Age 5 · 9-4
1-2183
106
102
100
5
9-4
9/1 15/2 9/1
Third last time out keeps Sky Safari firmly in the mix, and a winner three starts back underlines her class at this level; drawn in stall five carrying 130 lb, the fitness query after 82 days off is the one thing to weigh up.
AI verdict

SR 102 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Capichera silks
Capichera
Age 3 · 8-13
-32133
102
106
98
3
8-13
13/2 8/1 11/2
Capichera arrives here in solid recent form — third last time out, and a winner three starts back — with experience over today's trip and going working in her favour; the main risk is whether her rating of 102 proves a pound or two too stiff at the weights.
AI verdict

SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Della Pace silks
Della Pace
Age 3 · 8-13
-24340
93
70
92
3
8-13
50/1 40/1 50/1
Winless in her last five starts, Della Pace has struggled to convert — unplaced last time out and fourth two starts back — though a third three starts back offers a crumb of encouragement, and she has distance and going experience to draw on from stall one at 125 lb.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Seet silks
Seet
Age 3 · 8-13
5117
96
103
98
3
8-13
9/2 7/2 4/1
Seet won two of her last four starts, including a victory two runs back, but she has not raced in 89 days and was beaten into seventh last time out, so fitness after the break is the key question, even with the trainer firing at 29%.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 8-13 gives a real edge in this handicap.

12
She Commands silks
She Commands
Age 3 · 8-13
51-101
91
73
83
3
8-13
28/1 16/1 25/1
She Commands has won three of her last five starts, including a win last time out, and has run over today's trip, but our rating of 83 ranks her last of twelve here and she faces a stiff task conceding experience to stronger rivals from stall 12.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Ashariba 33/1 open 41.00 35/1 open 51.00 33/1 open 41.00 33/1 open 41.00 40/1 open 51.00 33/1 open 41.00 40/1 William Hill
2 Fairy Glen 11/4 open 3.25 3/1 open 3.50 10/3 open 3.00 10/3 open 3.00 3/1 open 3.25 3/1 open 3.00 10/3 Coral
3 Miss Wong 100/1 open 67.00 100/1 open 81.00 100/1 open 67.00 100/1 open 67.00 100/1 open 81.00 100/1 open 81.00 100/1 Bet365
4 Morrophore 17/2 open 8.00 9/1 open 8.50 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 8.50 17/2 open 8.50 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 Paddy Power
5 Naga 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 14/1 open 19.00 16/1 Bet365
6 Orionis 16/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 15.00 16/1 16/1 14/1 16/1 18/1 Paddy Power
7 Rhapsody 7/2 open 5.50 7/2 open 5.00 10/3 open 3.75 10/3 open 3.75 7/2 open 6.00 10/3 open 3.75 7/2 Bet365
8 Sky Safari 9/1 open 9.00 10/1 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 9/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 Paddy Power
9 Capichera 13/2 open 9.00 13/2 open 10.00 11/2 open 9.00 11/2 open 9.00 13/2 open 9.50 13/2 open 9.00 13/2 Bet365
10 Della Pace 50/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 50/1 66/1 Paddy Power
11 Seet 9/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 5.00 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 9/2 Bet365
12 She Commands 28/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Fairy Glen

Live signal

Fairy Glen owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (66) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/4 Simon & Ed Crisford Callum Rodriguez
78% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Morrophore

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

17/2 · John & Thady Gosden
✓ Value Signal

Ashariba

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · David Menuisier
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
66 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +24.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
87 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Fairy Glen
65.0 11/4
2 4. Morrophore
58.9 17/2
3 7. Rhapsody
58.2 7/2
4 11. Seet
56.8 9/2
5 8. Sky Safari
56.8 9/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Fairy Glen
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 5 · 9-4
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 118 🐾

SR 118 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 4 · 9-4
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 109 🐾

SR 109 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Age 3 · 8-13
9/2
★★★★☆ SR 103 🐾

Favourable weight of 8-13 gives a real edge in this handicap.

9
Age 3 · 8-13
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 106 🐾

SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 5 · 9-4
17/2
★★★☆☆ SR 107 🐾

SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 5 · 9-4
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 102 🐾

SR 102 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 4 · 9-4
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 4 · 9-4
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 82 🐾

SR 82 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Fairy Glen
Confidence: Speculative

Fairy Glen (SR 118, 9/4) is the clear class leader in this field by a significant margin — 9 SR points clear of the next-best Rhapsody (SR 109) and 15 clear of Capichera (SR 106). The Crisford yard runs at a 20% strike rate with 1,123 career runners, and Callum Rodriguez at 20% is one of the strongest jockey-trainer combinations in the field. The 7% drift from the market is the one note of caution, but in a race where no rival comes close on the SR scale and the form string 21-115 shows consistent placing and recent winning form, this drift is likely no more than market noise from a competitive-looking price for listed class. The weight parity across the field (9-4 for the older runners, 8-13 for the three-year-olds, giving Fairy Glen no penalty disadvantage) removes the one structural argument against her. Each-way alternative: Rhapsody. Main danger: Rhapsody — Rhapsody (SR 109, 3/1) has steamed in 19% in the market, holds course form (W1P1 at Yarmouth), is trained by the powerful Haggas yard running at 23%, and Tom Marquand — a 16% career striker — is a significant booking; the DistFit:- flag is the only structural concern and at this price the market clearly believes the trip will be handled.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Fairy Glen drifted 7% in the market despite being the clear SR leader — bookmakers and informed money are fading her, suggesting a specific race-day concern (fitness, going, stable confidence).
  • Rhapsody is 19% into the market (MarkMv +19) at 3/1 and holds a Course:W1P1 record at Yarmouth — sharper market move and proven course form is a material threat the primary analyst downplays.
  • No Days Since Last Run figure listed for Fairy Glen, which may indicate an unusually long absence or data gap; combined with the market drift, stable confidence in her readiness is questionable.
  • Three-year-olds Seet and Capichera receive a 5lb weight allowance vs Fairy Glen's 9-4, and Seet's form 5117 shows rapid improvement — that pull in the weights could neutralise the SR class edge.
Shortlist Fairy Glen, Rhapsody, Capichera, Seet
Each-way: Rhapsody Danger: Rhapsody

🗺 The Course Class 1

1m2f23y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
12 Confirmed runners
Yarmouth Track and setting
Class 1 Race grade