← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Camida Gold Champion Handicap
Mr Fox’s call
Femme Beauty
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/2 Est. 24%
Mr Fox says
Femme Beauty (SR:80, 9/2) carries the joint-highest SR in the field and is the only runner combining that rating with confirmed distance fitness (DistFit:+) and a strong recent form line of 414311 — that last-time-out win is a clear positive. Trainer G. O'Leary operates at an 11% strike rate from 331 runners, making this yard a credible force at this level. While the market has drifted 12% (Mkt:out12%), the underlying data — highest SR, proven at the trip, last-out winner — argues the drift is an overreaction, possibly to the 3-year-old age factor or the going (GoingFit:~), neither of which is a decisive concern on good ground over a distance she has already demonstrated ability at. The light weight of 9-2 versus the heavier-framed older rivals is also an asset. Each-way alternative: A Pretty Penny. Main danger: A Pretty Penny — A Pretty Penny (SR:79, 11/4) carries the lowest weight in the field at 8-8, has confirmed DistFit:+, a last-out win in her form string (515421), and the market has shortened 12% — the money is firmly on her side, and the weight advantage over Femme Beauty (9-2 vs 8-8) is a genuine 8lb edge that could prove decisive on good ground.
Full result
Winner: Sinbad My Dad (IRE) at SP 9/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Sinbad My Dad 6/1
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2
Lough Leane Fox #3 7/2
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3
Femme Beauty Fox #1 9/2
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4
Expound 10/1
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5
Solomon Coop 50/1
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6
Satono Chevalier 16/1
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7
Quatre Bras 7/2
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8
A Pretty Penny Fox #2 3/1
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9
Earthwatch 40/1
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—
Areana Fox #4 9/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Femme Beauty 9/2 🥉 3RD
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2
A Pretty Penny 11/4 8TH
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3
Lough Leane 10/3 🥈 2ND
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4
Areana 9/2