Satono Chevalier tops the ratings among these ten and arrives in decent order on 27 days' rest, with experience of today's trip and going to call on; the main concern is his last two outings both ended in unplaced efforts.
Form last 6181300
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
61SR83RPR79OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Lough Leane won last time out and has run over today's trip and going, giving him some relevant experience, though a fourth and sixth in the two starts prior suggest he can be inconsistent; 136 lb from stall nine is no small ask at a rating of 75.
Form last 6410641
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
76SR77RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Earthwatch's win came five starts back, and he has experience over today's trip and going to call upon, with our rating of 79 suggesting he retains ability; the primary concern is a trainer in the depths of a barren run, going 0/22 in the past fortnight.
Form last 61089-0
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
40SR79RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Expound has run over today's trip and going, and his fourth two starts back hints at ability worth noting, but a winless recent sequence and a trainer without a return from 22 runners in the last fortnight make confidence hard to hold.
Form last 6-54047
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
58SR78RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
Quatre Bras shaped with more purpose when fourth three starts back, and he arrives here fit enough after 24 days off, with experience over today's trip and going in his favour; yet to win in recent starts, but our figures put him clear of his official mark and make him an interesting proposition from stall 3 carrying 133 lb.
Form last 6884465
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
76SR82RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 76 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Areana showed she retains ability with a third two starts back and back-to-back wins in her last five, but a ninth last time out and just one day since that run are real concerns at 129 lb.
Form last 6110-39
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
76SR74RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last six starts, Sinbad My Dad does at least bring distance and going experience to the table and a second two starts back shows he can hit the frame, though that eighth last time out is harder to ignore with 129 lb to carry from stall four.
Form last 6864928
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
69SR75RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 69 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts, with four unplaced efforts leading into this, Solomon Coop faces a stiff ask from a rating of 68 and ranks eighth of ten on our figures, though he has run over today's trip and going before and returns fit enough on a 12-day turnaround.
Form last 67000-0
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
43SR73RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Femme Beauty has shown a knack for winning, with three wins in her last six starts including back-to-back victories, but our figures rank her ninth of ten and she looks hard to fancy from stall seven carrying 128 lb.
Form last 6414311
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
80SR69RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Ranked last of ten on our figures, A Pretty Penny faces a stiff ask, though she arrives in decent nick — a winner last time out and a second two starts back — and has experience of today's trip and going.
Form last 6515421
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
79SR68RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Lough Leane owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (42) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
7/2Maurice Andrew AhernAdam Browne-Souza(7)
65%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Areana
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
9/2 · Eddie & Patrick Harty✓ Value Signal
Earthwatch
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
40/1 · Denis Gerard Hogan◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Femme Beauty (SR:80, 9/2) carries the joint-highest SR in the field and is the only runner combining that rating with confirmed distance fitness (DistFit:+) and a strong recent form line of 414311 — that last-time-out win is a clear positive. Trainer G. O'Leary operates at an 11% strike rate from 331 runners, making this yard a credible force at this level. While the market has drifted 12% (Mkt:out12%), the underlying data — highest SR, proven at the trip, last-out winner — argues the drift is an overreaction, possibly to the 3-year-old age factor or the going (GoingFit:~), neither of which is a decisive concern on good ground over a distance she has already demonstrated ability at. The light weight of 9-2 versus the heavier-framed older rivals is also an asset.
Each-way alternative: A Pretty Penny.
Main danger: A Pretty Penny — A Pretty Penny (SR:79, 11/4) carries the lowest weight in the field at 8-8, has confirmed DistFit:+, a last-out win in her form string (515421), and the market has shortened 12% — the money is firmly on her side, and the weight advantage over Femme Beauty (9-2 vs 8-8) is a genuine 8lb edge that could prove decisive on good ground.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Femme Beauty's going fitness is flagged as '~' (uncertain), and while today's ground may be described as good, any ease could expose a horse without a confirmed going preference at a track like Clonm…
The market has drifted 12% (out12%) while market rival A Pretty Penny — nearly identical SR of 79, also a last-out winner, same 32 days off — has been backed in 12%, suggesting informed money is acti…
Jockey Patrick McGettigan has an 8% strike rate from 483 rides, meaningfully below the 15% W.J. Lee brings to joint-market-leader Quatre Bras, creating a rider quality disadvantage at the business en…
As a 3-year-old taking on a field dominated by 5-7 year-olds at an age-mixed flat handicap, Femme Beauty's 32-day absence and GoingFit uncertainty combine with the drift to suggest connections themse…
ShortlistFemme Beauty, A Pretty Penny, Lough Leane, Areana