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Almins Vantage/Lallemand Magniva Classic EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

13:30 Ayr Thu 17 Sep 2026 1m Class 3 Good to Soft 11 runners

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Mr Fox’s call

Perfect Heir silks

Perfect Heir

SPECULATIVE Advised 10/3 Est. 28%

🥈 2ND

Mr Fox says

Perfect Heir leads the rated horses in this novice field with SR:151, trained by Andrew Balding (18% strike rate — the strongest trainer stat in the race) and ridden by P.J. McDonald (14%). The 10/3 market position is consistent with a horse the market respects, and the stable's 18% hit-rate makes Balding runners well worth following in novice company. Although the single form figure of '4' is modest, in the context of a novice with DistFit:? across the board, the key differentiators are SR ceiling and connections — and Perfect Heir wins both. Magwitch (SR:148) has shortened 21% and is the primary danger, but its only run produced a '0' (10th or worse), whereas Tyrrhenian Thunder (SR:149) faces a jockey booking (Sheehy, 7% strike rate) that weakens confidence despite the SR. Each-way alternative: Magwitch. Main danger: Magwitch — Magwitch (SR:148) has steamed in 21% in the market and drops a class — the clearest positive market signal in the race — and Kevin Stott (15% strike rate) is the strongest jockey booking in the field; if its previous '0' run is excused on unsuitable conditions, it represents the most live challenger.

Verify· #18152

Full result

Winner: Zarak Crown (FR) at SP 3/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Zarak Crown silks Zarak Crown Richard & Peter Fahey · David Nolan 13/2
  2. 2 Perfect Heir silks Perfect Heir Fox #1 Andrew Balding · P. J. McDonald 5/1
  3. 3 Youcanbetheone silks Youcanbetheone John & Sean Quinn · Jason Hart 40/1
  4. 4 Nextgen King silks Nextgen King Fox #4 Michael & David Easterby · Billy Garritty 16/1
  5. 5 Bassrah silks Bassrah Charlie Fellowes · Paddy Bradley 3/1
  6. 6 Shared Odyssey silks Shared Odyssey Hugo Palmer · Oisin Orr 15/2
  7. 7 Giant Dan Burn silks Giant Dan Burn Charlie Johnston · Saffie Osborne 40/1
  8. 8 Bollin Farhh Go silks Bollin Farhh Go Tim Easterby · David Allan 66/1
  9. 9 Magwitch silks Magwitch Fox #2 Kevin Ryan · Kevin Stott 4/1
  10. 10 Here's To It silks Here's To It Michael & David Easterby · Joanna Mason 50/1
  11. — Tyrrhenian Thunder silks Tyrrhenian Thunder Fox #3 Adrian Keatley · M. P. Sheehy 9/2

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Perfect Heir silks Perfect Heir 10/3 🥈 2ND
  2. 2 Magwitch silks Magwitch 13/2 9TH
  3. 3 Tyrrhenian Thunder silks Tyrrhenian Thunder 5/1
  4. 4 Nextgen King silks Nextgen King 14/1 🏁 4TH