Ayr 13:30 RESULTED
Class 3 17 Sep 2026

Last Thursday Almins Vantage/Lallemand Magniva Classic EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

Almins Vantage/Lallemand Magniva Classic EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m

Official Result

Almins Vantage/Lallemand Magniva Classic EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Zarak Crown (FR) David Nolan · Richard & Peter Fahey
    3/1
  2. 13/2
  3. 28/1
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16:20–20:30 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 4 days, 11 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Bollin Farhh Go silks
Bollin Farhh Go
Age 2 · 9-7
123
2
9-7
66/1 40/1 66/1
SR 123 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 123 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Giant Dan Burn silks
Giant Dan Burn
Age 2 · 9-7
4
123
2
9-7
40/1 18/1 30/1
SR 123 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 123 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Magwitch silks
Magwitch
Age 2 · 9-7
0
148
2
9-7
4/1 7/1 10/3
SR 148 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 148 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Nextgen King silks
Nextgen King
Age 2 · 9-7
140
2
9-7
16/1 17/2 12/1
SR 140 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 140 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Perfect Heir silks
Perfect Heir
Age 2 · 9-7
4
151
2
9-7
5/1 5/2 5/1
SR 151 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 151 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Shared Odyssey silks
Shared Odyssey
Age 2 · 9-7
141
2
9-7
15/2 5/1 13/2
SR 141 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 141 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Tyrrhenian Thunder silks
Tyrrhenian Thunder
Age 2 · 9-7
149
2
9-7
9/2 5/1 4/1
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

8
Youcanbetheone silks
Youcanbetheone
Age 2 · 9-7
121
2
9-7
40/1 16/1 33/1
SR 121 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 121 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Zarak Crown silks
Zarak Crown
Age 2 · 9-7
4
144
2
9-7
13/2 11/2 5/1
SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Bassrah silks
Bassrah
Age 2 · 9-2
624
78
87
78OR
2
9-2
3/1 5/2 3/1
SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Here's To It silks
Here's To It
Age 2 · 9-2
4
126
2
9-2
50/1 FCST 33/1
SR 126 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 126 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Bollin Farhh Go 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 Bet365
2 Giant Dan Burn 40/1 open 19.00 30/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 26.00 40/1 Bet365
3 Magwitch 4/1 open 9.00 4/1 open 8.50 4/1 open 8.50 4/1 open 8.50 10/3 open 8.50 7/2 open 8.00 4/1 Bet365
4 Nextgen King 16/1 open 34.00 16/1 open 34.00 12/1 open 34.00 12/1 open 34.00 18/1 open 34.00 18/1 open 9.50 18/1 William Hill
5 Perfect Heir 5/1 open 5.00 5/1 open 3.50 5/1 open 4.33 5/1 open 4.33 5/1 open 4.33 5/1 open 3.50 5/1 Bet365
6 Shared Odyssey 15/2 open 6.00 15/2 open 6.00 13/2 open 6.00 13/2 open 6.00 8/1 open 6.00 8/1 open 6.50 8/1 William Hill
7 Tyrrhenian Thunder 9/2 open 6.00 4/1 open 7.50 4/1 open 6.50 4/1 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 4/1 open 7.50 9/2 Bet365
8 Youcanbetheone 40/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 17.00 40/1 Bet365
9 Zarak Crown 13/2 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 7/1 open 6.50 7/1 Betfred
10 Bassrah 3/1 open 3.50 3/1 open 3.75 10/3 open 3.50 10/3 open 3.50 10/3 open 3.50 10/3 open 4.00 10/3 Coral
11 Here's To It 50/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 33/1 33/1 50/1 open 34.00 33/1 50/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Magwitch

Live signal

Magwitch owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (82) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/1 Kevin Ryan Kevin Stott
64% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Tyrrhenian Thunder

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/2 · Adrian Keatley
✓ Value Signal

Here's To It

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · Michael & David Easterby
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating High conviction
82 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +31.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
82 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.3 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Magwitch
69.2 4/1
2 7. Tyrrhenian Thunder
69.0 9/2
3 5. Perfect Heir
68.9 5/1
4 9. Zarak Crown
65.3 13/2
5 6. Shared Odyssey
63.0 15/2
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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🤖 AI view
Perfect Heir
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

10
Age 2 · 9-2
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 87 🐾

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 2 · 9-7
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 148 🐾

SR 148 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 2 · 9-7
9/2
★★★★☆ SR 149 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Age 2 · 9-7
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 151 🐾

SR 151 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 2 · 9-7
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 144 🐾

SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 2 · 9-7
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 141 🐾

SR 141 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 2 · 9-7
16/1
★★★☆☆ SR 140 🐾

SR 140 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Perfect Heir
Confidence: Speculative

Perfect Heir leads the rated horses in this novice field with SR:151, trained by Andrew Balding (18% strike rate — the strongest trainer stat in the race) and ridden by P.J. McDonald (14%). The 10/3 market position is consistent with a horse the market respects, and the stable's 18% hit-rate makes Balding runners well worth following in novice company. Although the single form figure of '4' is modest, in the context of a novice with DistFit:? across the board, the key differentiators are SR ceiling and connections — and Perfect Heir wins both. Magwitch (SR:148) has shortened 21% and is the primary danger, but its only run produced a '0' (10th or worse), whereas Tyrrhenian Thunder (SR:149) faces a jockey booking (Sheehy, 7% strike rate) that weakens confidence despite the SR. Each-way alternative: Magwitch. Main danger: Magwitch — Magwitch (SR:148) has steamed in 21% in the market and drops a class — the clearest positive market signal in the race — and Kevin Stott (15% strike rate) is the strongest jockey booking in the field; if its previous '0' run is excused on unsuitable conditions, it represents the most live challenger.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Perfect Heir's only form figure is '4' (4th or worse) and carries no market movement indicator — no shortening — suggesting connections/market have not backed it with conviction ahead of today.
  • Magwitch (SR:148) has shortened 21% into 13/2 and runs just 27 days fresh, while Nextgen King has surged in 57% — multiple rivals show stronger market support than Perfect Heir despite its SR lead.
  • Perfect Heir's SR:151 ceiling is based on ratings projection, not proven race performance; its single run ended in a defeat and DistFit is unknown, leaving the rating entirely unvalidated on the trac…
  • Bassrah at 11/4 is the market favourite with multiple runs (Form:624) showing progressive experience this field largely lacks — a horse with racecourse know-how at a shorter price is a meaningful thr…
Shortlist Perfect Heir, Magwitch, Tyrrhenian Thunder, Nextgen King
Each-way: Magwitch Danger: Magwitch

🗺 The Course Class 3

1m Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Ayr Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade