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IDP Supporting Care Through Better Purchasing Handicap Stakes (Div I)

15:30 Ayr Thu 17 Sep 2026 1m Class 5 Good to Soft 13 runners

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Mr Fox’s call

Tarmonbarry Kid silks

Tarmonbarry Kid

SPECULATIVE Advised 7/2 Est. 28%

🥉 3RD

Mr Fox says

Tarmonbarry Kid (SR:82, 7/2) is the clear SR leader in this field by 4 points over Atmosphere (SR:78), and crucially carries only 9-9 — a meaningful weight advantage over Orangesandlemons (9-12) and Atmosphere (9-11). The form line 5-6131 shows a horse that has found its feet sharply, winning twice and finishing third from its last four starts; the rightmost '1' confirms last-time-out winning form at the same class. Oisin Orr (14%, 1544 runners) is a reliable booking for a yard that sends horses north with purpose. While GoingFit is marked '?' (untested on Good to Soft), the form line suggests a versatile horse in peak condition at the right weight. Each-way alternative: Orangesandlemons. Main danger: Atmosphere — Atmosphere (SR:78, 5/1) has shortened 10% in the market, carries the visor for the first time which often sharpens focus, drops a class, and has DistFit:+ over this mile trip — the combination of headgear switch and class relief makes it the most credible threat to the selection.

Verify· #18203

Full result

Winner: Cisco Disco (IRE) at SP 16/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Cisco Disco silks Cisco Disco R. Mike Smith · Clifford Lee 8/1
  2. 2 Keats House silks Keats House Michael & David Easterby · Joanna Mason 12/1
  3. 3 Tarmonbarry Kid silks Tarmonbarry Kid Fox #1 Richard & Peter Fahey · Oisin Orr 9/2
  4. 4 Selection silks Selection Ivan Furtado · David Nolan 14/1
  5. 5 It'sneverjustone silks It'sneverjustone David Loughnane · Kevin Stott 12/1
  6. 6 Runninsonofagun silks Runninsonofagun Tristan Davidson · Jason Hart 15/2
  7. 7 Orangesandlemons silks Orangesandlemons Fox #3 Edward Bethell · Daniel Tudhope 6/1
  8. 8 Havana Touch silks Havana Touch John Butler · M. P. Sheehy 11/1
  9. 9 Perfidia silks Perfidia Tim Easterby · David Allan 20/1
  10. 10 Second Fiddle silks Second Fiddle Iain Jardine · Andrew Mullen 16/1
  11. 11 Atmosphere silks Atmosphere Fox #2 Richard Spencer · Saffie Osborne 5/1
  12. 12 Sanafi Zabeel silks Sanafi Zabeel Fox #4 Jim Goldie · Paul Mulrennan 17/2
  13. — Calyxoh silks Calyxoh Patrick Morris · Paddy Bradley -

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Tarmonbarry Kid silks Tarmonbarry Kid 7/2 🥉 3RD
  2. 2 Atmosphere silks Atmosphere 5/1 11TH
  3. 3 Orangesandlemons silks Orangesandlemons 11/2 7TH
  4. 4 Sanafi Zabeel silks Sanafi Zabeel 8/1 12TH