← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Idp Supporting Care Through Better Purchasing Handicap Stakes (Div II)
Mr Fox’s call
Sailthisshipalone
SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 SP 7/1 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Sailthisshipalone (SR:79, 4/1) is the clear SR leader in a weak Class 5 field, and the 23% market inward move is the most significant steaming signal in the race — money is arriving with purpose. The class drop (↓1) and a mark only 1lb above last win (MarkMv:-1) place it in a very winnable position. Jason Hart (14% strike rate, 2,641 career rides) is a strong northern booking, and the tongue-tie/cheekpieces combo suggests connections are targeting this specifically. The DistFit:- is a concern over 1m, but the market's conviction overrides that reservation — if connections had doubts about the trip they would not be backing it this aggressively. Each-way alternative: Penelope's Sister. Main danger: Penelope's Sister — Penelope's Sister (SR:59, 9/1) has steamed 24% in the market, carries a featherweight 8-9, is proven on today's going (GoingFit:+), is a course specialist (W3P9 at Ayr), and runs off a mark 10lb lower than her last win — that combination of course form, going preference, and dropped mark makes her a genuine threat despite the SR gap.
Full result
Winner: Sailthisshipalone (GB) at SP 7/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
Sailthisshipalone Fox #1 4/1
-
2
Penelope's Sister Fox #2 8/1
-
3
Barley 13/2
-
4
You Sexy Thing Fox #3 9/2
-
5
Mandarin Spirit 20/1
-
6
Green Pursuit 8/1
-
7
They All Know Me 11/2
-
8
Starliner Fox #4 13/2
-
9
Quiet Resolve 22/1
-
10
Trinculo 22/1
-
11
Upper East 40/1
-
12
Mayor of Maghera 16/1
-
13
Roaring Ralph 20/1
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
Sailthisshipalone 4/1 SP 7/1 🏆 WON
-
2
Penelope's Sister 9/1 🥈 2ND
-
3
You Sexy Thing 5/1 🏁 4TH
-
4
Starliner 11/2 8TH