Ayr 16:00 RESULTED
Class 5 17 Sep 2026

Last Thursday Idp Supporting Care Through Better Purchasing Handicap Stakes (Div II)

Idp Supporting Care Through Better Purchasing Handicap Stakes (Div II) · 1m

Official Result

Idp Supporting Care Through Better Purchasing Handicap Stakes (Div II)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Sailthisshipalone (GB) Jason Hart · Ivan Furtado
    7/1
  2. 15/2
  3. Third Barley (IRE)
    7/1
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Settled
  • 13 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 4 days, 10 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Sailthisshipalone silks
Sailthisshipalone
Age 5 · 9-13
143933
74
79
84
5
9-13
4/1 9/2 4/1
Sailthisshipalone has placed in three of his last four starts, including a third last time out, and he has experience over today's trip and going; drawn in stall one carrying 139 lb, the main risk is 62 days between runs.
AI verdict

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
They All Know Me silks
They All Know Me
Age 4 · 9-12
818042
73
69
84
4
9-12
11/2 FCST 5/1
Placed last time out and a winner five starts back, They All Know Me arrives here fresh on just eight days' rest, has experience of today's trip and conditions, and carries 138 lb from stall seven.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Roaring Ralph silks
Roaring Ralph
Age 6 · 9-12
113075
73
52
75
6
9-12
20/1 FCST 16/1
Roaring Ralph has run over today's trip and going, and back-to-back wins five and six starts back show he can find the winner's enclosure; however, consecutive finishes of unplaced, seventh and fifth in his last three runs make this a tougher ask, and 138 lb from stall 10 adds to the challenge.
AI verdict

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

4
Barley silks
Barley
Age 7 · 9-11
324401
68
71
79
7
9-11
13/2 9/2 13/2
Barley won last time out and has experience of today's trip and going, but his official rating of 68 sits well below our assessment of 79, and five unplaced or mid-pack efforts before that win suggest consistency remains a question.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Green Pursuit silks
Green Pursuit
Age 4 · 9-10
-05352
71
69
87
4
9-10
8/1 5/1 7/1
Consistent in defeat of late, Green Pursuit has placed second last time out and third three starts back, and his experience over today's trip and going stands him in good stead from stall nine carrying 136 lb; the concern is that he remains yet to win in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Upper East silks
Upper East
Age 3 · 9-10
467
75
43
75
3
9-10
40/1 20/1 22/1
Winless in his last three starts, Upper East does at least have experience over today's trip and arrives reasonably fresh off a 37-day break, though a seventh last time out and a draw of six carrying 136 lb make this a tough ask for a gelding rated 75.
AI verdict

SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

7
Quiet Resolve silks
Quiet Resolve
Age 5 · 9-9
264620
70
53
75
5
9-9
22/1 14/1 18/1
Quiet Resolve is winless in his last six starts, though he shaped with promise when second two starts back, and has run over today's distance and going before; the concern is a below-par effort last time out just six days ago, leaving his current form open to question.
AI verdict

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

8
You Sexy Thing silks
You Sexy Thing
Age 3 · 9-7
130-64
72
73
77
3
9-7
9/2 9/2 4/1
Returned a fourth last time out after a tough recent spell, but You Sexy Thing does hold a win in his last five starts — that came five runs back — and he has experience over today's trip and going; 133 lb from stall 13 is the main query.
AI verdict

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Mandarin Spirit silks
Mandarin Spirit
Age 3 · 9-7
8-6944
72
52
84
3
9-7
20/1 20/1 18/1
Winless in her last five starts, Mandarin Spirit nonetheless catches the eye with an our-rating of 84 that sits well clear of her official mark of 72, suggesting she is better than her record implies, and she has run over today's trip and going before; the risk is that consistency has eluded her in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

10
Starliner silks
Starliner
Age 5 · 9-4
226221
65
75
72
5
9-4
13/2 9/2 6/1
Starliner arrives in decent nick after finishing second two starts back and winning last time out, and he has experience of today's trip and conditions, but ranked tenth of thirteen on our figures he faces a stiff ask against stronger-rated rivals carrying 130 lb from stall 12.
AI verdict

SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Trinculo silks
Trinculo
Age 3 · 9-3
8-335
68
53
70
3
9-3
22/1 11/1 18/1
Winless in his last four starts and ranked well down our figures, Trinculo is hard to fancy here, though he has placed twice in that spell and has run over today's going before, offering slim positives for a gelding returning after 77 days off.
AI verdict

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

12
Mayor of Maghera silks
Mayor of Maghera
Age 4 · 8-13
176054
60
45
64
4
8-13
16/1 20/1 14/1
Ranked 12 of 13 on our figures and without a win in his last five starts, Mayor of Maghera makes little appeal off 60, though he has run over today's trip and a draw of four at least keeps him out of trouble.
AI verdict

SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

13
Penelope's Sister silks
Penelope's Sister
Age 6 · 8-9
543567
56
59
62
6
8-9
8/1 17/2 7/1
Winless in her last six starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Penelope's Sister has shown little sign of reversing that trend despite the experience of today's trip and going to call upon, though a run just five days ago at least confirms she is fit and ready.
AI verdict

SR 59 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Sailthisshipalone 4/1 open 7.50 4/1 open 6.50 9/2 open 7.00 9/2 open 7.00 9/2 open 7.00 4/1 open 5.50 9/2 Coral
2 They All Know Me 11/2 5/1 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 6/1 Coral
3 Roaring Ralph 20/1 open 17.00 16/1 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 Bet365
4 Barley 13/2 open 5.50 13/2 open 6.00 15/2 open 5.50 15/2 open 5.50 7/1 open 5.50 7/1 open 6.50 15/2 Coral
5 Green Pursuit 8/1 open 8.00 15/2 open 6.00 7/1 open 7.00 9/1 open 7.00 8/1 open 7.00 8/1 open 7.50 9/1 Ladbrokes
6 Upper East 40/1 open 21.00 30/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 26.00 40/1 Bet365
7 Quiet Resolve 22/1 open 15.00 18/1 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 19.00 22/1 Bet365
8 You Sexy Thing 9/2 open 7.00 5/1 open 6.50 4/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 4/1 open 6.50 9/2 5/1 Paddy Power
9 Mandarin Spirit 20/1 18/1 open 21.00 20/1 20/1 20/1 20/1 Bet365
10 Starliner 13/2 open 5.50 6/1 open 6.00 7/1 open 5.50 7/1 open 5.50 7/1 open 5.50 7/1 open 6.00 7/1 Coral
11 Trinculo 22/1 open 12.00 22/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 12.00 22/1 open 12.00 22/1 open 12.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 Bet365
12 Mayor of Maghera 16/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 21.00 14/1 open 21.00 18/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 21.00 14/1 open 23.00 18/1 Ladbrokes
13 Penelope's Sister 8/1 open 15.00 7/1 open 13.00 17/2 open 13.00 17/2 open 13.00 8/1 open 13.00 8/1 open 9.50 17/2 Coral

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Barley

Speculative

Barley owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (39) and market confidence (70). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

13/2 Tim Easterby David Allan
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Starliner

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

13/2 · Linda Perratt
✓ Value Signal

Upper East

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Katie Scott
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +15.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Live signal
70 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +15.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
34 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +3.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Barley
51.2 13/2
2 10. Starliner
49.2 13/2
3 1. Sailthisshipalone
49.1 4/1
4 8. You Sexy Thing
47.9 9/2
5 5. Green Pursuit
46.5 8/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Sailthisshipalone
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 5 · 9-13
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 79 🐾

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 3 · 9-7
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 4 · 9-12
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾

SR 69 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 7 · 9-11
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 5 · 9-4
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 75 🐾

SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 4 · 9-10
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾

SR 69 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Age 6 · 8-9
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 59 🐾

SR 59 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Age 4 · 8-13
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 45 🐾

SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

3
Age 6 · 9-12
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 52 🐾

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

9
Age 3 · 9-7
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 52 🐾

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Sailthisshipalone
Confidence: Speculative

Sailthisshipalone (SR:79, 4/1) is the clear SR leader in a weak Class 5 field, and the 23% market inward move is the most significant steaming signal in the race — money is arriving with purpose. The class drop (↓1) and a mark only 1lb above last win (MarkMv:-1) place it in a very winnable position. Jason Hart (14% strike rate, 2,641 career rides) is a strong northern booking, and the tongue-tie/cheekpieces combo suggests connections are targeting this specifically. The DistFit:- is a concern over 1m, but the market's conviction overrides that reservation — if connections had doubts about the trip they would not be backing it this aggressively. Each-way alternative: Penelope's Sister. Main danger: Penelope's Sister — Penelope's Sister (SR:59, 9/1) has steamed 24% in the market, carries a featherweight 8-9, is proven on today's going (GoingFit:+), is a course specialist (W3P9 at Ayr), and runs off a mark 10lb lower than her last win — that combination of course form, going preference, and dropped mark makes her a genuine threat despite the SR gap.

Case against 4 clamped
  • DistFit:- flags no confirmed form over today's 1m trip — connections adding tongue-tie/cheekpieces may be masking stamina doubt rather than signalling confidence
  • 62-day absence is the longest lay-off in the field; Ivan Furtado's stable runs at only 10% and has just 1,000 career rides, suggesting limited firepower to have a returnee cherry-ripe
  • Starliner (SR:75, W1P4 at Ayr course) is course-proven, fresh off 8 days, and only marginally below on SR — a serious rival the primary case largely ignores
  • Penelope's Sister is steaming in 24% with three course wins and 9 places at Ayr; that rival's course dominance plus live market move directly undermines the uniqueness of Sailthisshipalone's inward m…
Shortlist Sailthisshipalone, Penelope's Sister, You Sexy Thing, Starliner
Each-way: Penelope's Sister Danger: Penelope's Sister

🗺 The Course Class 5

1m Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
13 Confirmed runners
Ayr Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade